Response of Antarctic terrestrial biodiversity to various conservation management strategies by the end of 2100 under 2 climate forcing scenarios (RCP4.5, RCP8.5).

( a ) Percentage of taxonomic groups likely to benefit. ( b ) Total expected benefit of strategies summed for all taxa and both regions combined. Bars represent the experts’ best estimates when assessing benefit, while error bars represent upper (best-case scenario) and lower (worst-case scenario) b...

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Main Authors: Jasmine R. Lee (14294743), Aleks Terauds (441336), Josie Carwardine (344109), Justine D. Shaw (8748081), Richard A. Fuller (8150196), Hugh P. Possingham (7909718), Steven L. Chown (7518710), Peter Convey (40344), Neil Gilbert (3873112), Kevin A. Hughes (3639802), Ewan McIvor (14294746), Sharon A. Robinson (4335784), Yan Ropert-Coudert (251454), Dana M. Bergstrom (14294749), Elisabeth M. Biersma (8139753), Claire Christian (13958763), Don A. Cowan (6695120), Yves Frenot (500362), Stéphanie Jenouvrier (183054), Lisa Kelley (14294752), Michael J. Lee (7153229), Heather J. Lynch (7450535), Birgit Njåstad (14294755), Antonio Quesada (1680352), Ricardo M. Roura (14294758), E. Ashley Shaw (3591695), Damon Stanwell-Smith (14294761), Megumu Tsujimoto (7996952), Diana H. Wall (8028152), Annick Wilmotte (5558768), Iadine Chadès (182849)
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Language:unknown
Published: 2022
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Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pbio.3001921.g002
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Summary:( a ) Percentage of taxonomic groups likely to benefit. ( b ) Total expected benefit of strategies summed for all taxa and both regions combined. Bars represent the experts’ best estimates when assessing benefit, while error bars represent upper (best-case scenario) and lower (worst-case scenario) bounds. An outcome of the “Influence external policy” (IEP) and “All strategies combined” strategies is that carbon emissions are reduced globally (in line with the milder RCP2.6); however, benefits are still calculated relative to the baselines of RCP4.5 and RCP8.5. Values used to calculate benefit were capped at current (100%) intactness (see Fig A in S1 Text for inclusion of benefits beyond current intactness). The data underlying this figure can be found in S2 Data . RCP, Representative Concentration Pathway.