Vulnerability of terrestrial Antarctic biodiversity to all threats under climate forcing scenario RCP8.5 and the most beneficial and cost-effective conservation management strategies.

• Main Authors: Jasmine R. Lee (14294743), Aleks Terauds (441336), Josie Carwardine (344109), Justine D. Shaw (8748081), Richard A. Fuller (8150196), Hugh P. Possingham (7909718), Steven L. Chown (7518710), Peter Convey (40344), Neil Gilbert (3873112), Kevin A. Hughes (3639802), Ewan McIvor (14294746), Sharon A. Robinson (4335784), Yan Ropert-Coudert (251454), Dana M. Bergstrom (14294749), Elisabeth M. Biersma (8139753), Claire Christian (13958763), Don A. Cowan (6695120), Yves Frenot (500362), Stéphanie Jenouvrier (183054), Lisa Kelley (14294752), Michael J. Lee (7153229), Heather J. Lynch (7450535), Birgit Njåstad (14294755), Antonio Quesada (1680352), Ricardo M. Roura (14294758), E. Ashley Shaw (3591695), Damon Stanwell-Smith (14294761), Megumu Tsujimoto (7996952), Diana H. Wall (8028152), Annick Wilmotte (5558768), Iadine Chadès (182849)
• Format: Still Image
• Language: unknown
• Published: 2022
• Subjects: Genetics; Ecology; Inorganic Chemistry; Science Policy; Plant Biology; Environmental Sciences not elsewhere classified; worst 97 %); structured participatory approach; new infrastructure projects; dry soil nematodes; best 37 %; beneficial conservation strategy; native terrestrial taxa; minimise regional threats; influencing global policy; existing conservation efforts; secure antarctic biodiversity; threat management priorities; regional efforts; antarctic taxa; antarctic biodiversity; simultaneous global; pervasive threat; vulnerable taxon; scale assessments; minimising impacts; invasive species; improved planning; human activities; estimated present; emperor penguins; current trajectories; could benefit; climate change; changing world; 23 million; Antarctic; The Antarctic; Antarc*; Emperor penguins
• Online Access: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pbio.3001921.g001

( a ) Regional vulnerability of biodiversity groups to all potential threats, where colours represent each taxon’s expected response to threats, with darker/lighter shadings denoting the regional delineation as peninsula or continent, respectively. Bars represent experts’ best estimate of the future intactness of each taxon relative to current (100%) intactness if no additional conservation strategies are implemented. Taxa with values below 100% are predicted to be vulnerable, while taxa with values beyond 100% are predicted to benefit. ( b ) The 2 main Antarctic regions considered in this study. ( c ) The top 3 individual management strategies that would provide the highest total benefit to biodiversity. ( d ) The top 3 most cost-effective strategies for conserving biodiversity. The data underlying this figure can be found in S2 Data . The Antarctic coastline file for the map has been downloaded from the Antarctic Digital Database (ADD Version 7; http://www.add.scar.org ).