CLIMATE CHANGE PERSPECTIVES OF THE CYCLONES AND OCEANIC HAZARDS IN THE WESTERN SOUTH ATLANTIC OCEAN
Cyclone-related oceanic hazards, such as extreme waves and surges, are frequently reported on the western South Atlantic. These events are associated with coastal erosion, coastal infrastructure damage, maritime navigation, and offshore industry incidents, being important for safety and maintenance...
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Universidade Federal do Ceará
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ftunivfcearaojs:oai:periodicos.ufc:article/78186 2023-05-15T18:21:15+02:00 CLIMATE CHANGE PERSPECTIVES OF THE CYCLONES AND OCEANIC HAZARDS IN THE WESTERN SOUTH ATLANTIC OCEAN Barnez Gramcianinov, Carolina M. Campos, Ricardo de Camargo, Ricardo 2022-03-18 application/pdf http://www.periodicos.ufc.br/arquivosdecienciadomar/article/view/78186 https://doi.org/10.32360/acmar.v55iEspecial.78186 eng eng Universidade Federal do Ceará http://www.periodicos.ufc.br/arquivosdecienciadomar/article/view/78186/218352 http://www.periodicos.ufc.br/arquivosdecienciadomar/article/view/78186 doi:10.32360/acmar.v55iEspecial.78186 Copyright (c) 2022 Arquivos de Ciências do Mar http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0 CC-BY Arquivos de Ciências do Mar; v. 55 n. Especial (2022): Arquivos de Ciências do Mar; 141-162 2526-7639 0374-5686 10.32360/acmar.v55iEspecial info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion 2022 ftunivfcearaojs https://doi.org/10.32360/acmar.v55iEspecial.78186 https://doi.org/10.32360/acmar.v55iEspecial 2022-04-09T19:18:36Z Cyclone-related oceanic hazards, such as extreme waves and surges, are frequently reported on the western South Atlantic. These events are associated with coastal erosion, coastal infrastructure damage, maritime navigation, and offshore industry incidents, being important for safety and maintenance management in ocean engineering. Present climate trends and future projections of this event are frequently linked with the expected general poleward shift of the storm track over the globe, but regional approaches revealed a slight increase in the cyclonic activity in South America 35ºS and 40ºS, which would be restricted to the coast. However, the signals of these changes are weak and frequently of the same magnitude of model biases, producing results with a lack of confidence, especially in the coastal zone. Extreme events related to waves and surges used to present large uncertainty and heterogeneity around the globe. Most of the problems regarding future estimation rely on methodological limitations that will not overrun without collaborative efforts to the improvement of observational-based science. Taking advantage of the UN Ocean Decade goals, national and regional initiatives need to collaborate towards a robust and continuous Brazilian observational network in order to face the climate crises in the country. Keywords: ocean wind-waves, coastal flooding, storm surge, extratropical cyclones, ocean waves, natural hazards. Riscos oceânicos relacionados a ciclones, como ondas extremas e inundações costeiras, são frequentemente relatados no oeste do Atlântico Sul. Esses eventos estão associados a erosão costeira, danos à infraestrutura costeira, navegação marítima e incidentes na indústria offshore, sendo importantes para a gestão de segurança e manutenção na engenharia oceânica. As tendências climáticas atuais e as projeções futuras desse evento estão frequentemente relacionadas com o deslocamento generalizado da trajetória preferencial de ciclones em direção aos polos no globo, mas abordagens regionais ... Article in Journal/Newspaper South Atlantic Ocean Universidade Federal do Ceará (UFC): Portal de Periódico Arquivos de Ciências do Mar 55 Especial 141 162 |
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Universidade Federal do Ceará (UFC): Portal de Periódico |
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ftunivfcearaojs |
language |
English |
description |
Cyclone-related oceanic hazards, such as extreme waves and surges, are frequently reported on the western South Atlantic. These events are associated with coastal erosion, coastal infrastructure damage, maritime navigation, and offshore industry incidents, being important for safety and maintenance management in ocean engineering. Present climate trends and future projections of this event are frequently linked with the expected general poleward shift of the storm track over the globe, but regional approaches revealed a slight increase in the cyclonic activity in South America 35ºS and 40ºS, which would be restricted to the coast. However, the signals of these changes are weak and frequently of the same magnitude of model biases, producing results with a lack of confidence, especially in the coastal zone. Extreme events related to waves and surges used to present large uncertainty and heterogeneity around the globe. Most of the problems regarding future estimation rely on methodological limitations that will not overrun without collaborative efforts to the improvement of observational-based science. Taking advantage of the UN Ocean Decade goals, national and regional initiatives need to collaborate towards a robust and continuous Brazilian observational network in order to face the climate crises in the country. Keywords: ocean wind-waves, coastal flooding, storm surge, extratropical cyclones, ocean waves, natural hazards. Riscos oceânicos relacionados a ciclones, como ondas extremas e inundações costeiras, são frequentemente relatados no oeste do Atlântico Sul. Esses eventos estão associados a erosão costeira, danos à infraestrutura costeira, navegação marítima e incidentes na indústria offshore, sendo importantes para a gestão de segurança e manutenção na engenharia oceânica. As tendências climáticas atuais e as projeções futuras desse evento estão frequentemente relacionadas com o deslocamento generalizado da trajetória preferencial de ciclones em direção aos polos no globo, mas abordagens regionais ... |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Barnez Gramcianinov, Carolina M. Campos, Ricardo de Camargo, Ricardo |
spellingShingle |
Barnez Gramcianinov, Carolina M. Campos, Ricardo de Camargo, Ricardo CLIMATE CHANGE PERSPECTIVES OF THE CYCLONES AND OCEANIC HAZARDS IN THE WESTERN SOUTH ATLANTIC OCEAN |
author_facet |
Barnez Gramcianinov, Carolina M. Campos, Ricardo de Camargo, Ricardo |
author_sort |
Barnez Gramcianinov, Carolina |
title |
CLIMATE CHANGE PERSPECTIVES OF THE CYCLONES AND OCEANIC HAZARDS IN THE WESTERN SOUTH ATLANTIC OCEAN |
title_short |
CLIMATE CHANGE PERSPECTIVES OF THE CYCLONES AND OCEANIC HAZARDS IN THE WESTERN SOUTH ATLANTIC OCEAN |
title_full |
CLIMATE CHANGE PERSPECTIVES OF THE CYCLONES AND OCEANIC HAZARDS IN THE WESTERN SOUTH ATLANTIC OCEAN |
title_fullStr |
CLIMATE CHANGE PERSPECTIVES OF THE CYCLONES AND OCEANIC HAZARDS IN THE WESTERN SOUTH ATLANTIC OCEAN |
title_full_unstemmed |
CLIMATE CHANGE PERSPECTIVES OF THE CYCLONES AND OCEANIC HAZARDS IN THE WESTERN SOUTH ATLANTIC OCEAN |
title_sort |
climate change perspectives of the cyclones and oceanic hazards in the western south atlantic ocean |
publisher |
Universidade Federal do Ceará |
publishDate |
2022 |
url |
http://www.periodicos.ufc.br/arquivosdecienciadomar/article/view/78186 https://doi.org/10.32360/acmar.v55iEspecial.78186 |
genre |
South Atlantic Ocean |
genre_facet |
South Atlantic Ocean |
op_source |
Arquivos de Ciências do Mar; v. 55 n. Especial (2022): Arquivos de Ciências do Mar; 141-162 2526-7639 0374-5686 10.32360/acmar.v55iEspecial |
op_relation |
http://www.periodicos.ufc.br/arquivosdecienciadomar/article/view/78186/218352 http://www.periodicos.ufc.br/arquivosdecienciadomar/article/view/78186 doi:10.32360/acmar.v55iEspecial.78186 |
op_rights |
Copyright (c) 2022 Arquivos de Ciências do Mar http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0 |
op_rightsnorm |
CC-BY |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.32360/acmar.v55iEspecial.78186 https://doi.org/10.32360/acmar.v55iEspecial |
container_title |
Arquivos de Ciências do Mar |
container_volume |
55 |
container_issue |
Especial |
container_start_page |
141 |
op_container_end_page |
162 |
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