Seasonal Responses of Terrestrial Carbon Cycle to Climate Variations in CMIP5 Models: Evaluation and Projection
International audience Seventeen Earth system models (ESMs) from phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) were evaluated, focusing on the seasonal sensitivities of net biome production (NBP), net primary production (NPP), and heterotrophic respiration (Rh) to interannual variatio...
Published in: | Journal of Climate |
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Main Authors: | , , , , |
Other Authors: | , , , , , , , , |
Format: | Article in Journal/Newspaper |
Language: | English |
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HAL CCSD
2017
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Online Access: | https://hal.science/hal-02904039 https://hal.science/hal-02904039/document https://hal.science/hal-02904039/file/%5B15200442%20-%20Journal%20of%20Climate%5D%20Seasonal%20Responses%20of%20Terrestrial%20Carbon%20Cycle%20to%20Climate%20Variations%20in%20CMIP5%20Models%20Evaluation%20and%20Projection.pdf https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0555.1 |
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ftuniversailles:oai:HAL:hal-02904039v1 |
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record_format |
openpolar |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines: HAL-UVSQ |
op_collection_id |
ftuniversailles |
language |
English |
topic |
Land surface Vegetation Coupled models Model evaluation/performance Interannual variability [SDU.STU.CL]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Earth Sciences/Climatology |
spellingShingle |
Land surface Vegetation Coupled models Model evaluation/performance Interannual variability [SDU.STU.CL]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Earth Sciences/Climatology Liu, Yongwen Piao, Shilong Lian, Xu Ciais, Philippe Smith, William Kolby Seasonal Responses of Terrestrial Carbon Cycle to Climate Variations in CMIP5 Models: Evaluation and Projection |
topic_facet |
Land surface Vegetation Coupled models Model evaluation/performance Interannual variability [SDU.STU.CL]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Earth Sciences/Climatology |
description |
International audience Seventeen Earth system models (ESMs) from phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) were evaluated, focusing on the seasonal sensitivities of net biome production (NBP), net primary production (NPP), and heterotrophic respiration (Rh) to interannual variations in temperature and precipitation during 1982–2005 and their changes over the twenty-first century. Temperature sensitivity of NPP in ESMs was generally consistent across northern high-latitude biomes but significantly more negative for tropical and subtropical biomes relative to satellite-derived estimates. The temperature sensitivity of NBP in both inversion-based and ESM estimates was generally consistent in March–May (MAM) and September–November (SON) for tropical forests, semiarid ecosystems, and boreal forests. By contrast, for inversion-based NBP estimates, temperature sensitivity of NBP was nonsignificant for June–August (JJA) for all biomes except boreal forest; whereas, for ESM NBP estimates, the temperature sensitivity for JJA was significantly negative for all biomes except shrublands and subarctic ecosystems. Both satellite-derived NPP and inversion-based NBP are often decoupled from precipitation, whereas ESM NPP and NBP estimates are generally positively correlated with precipitation, suggesting that ESMs are oversensitive to precipitation. Over the twenty-first century, changes in temperature sensitivities of NPP, Rh, and NBP are consistent across all RCPs but stronger under more intensive scenarios. The temperature sensitivity of NBP was found to decrease in tropics and subtropics and increase in northern high latitudes in MAM due to an increased temperature sensitivity of NPP. Across all biomes, projected temperature sensitivity of NPP decreased in JJA and SON. Projected precipitation sensitivity of NBP did not change across biomes, except over grasslands in MAM. |
author2 |
Sino-French Institute for Earth System Science, College of Urban and Environmental Sciences Peking University Beijing ICOS-ATC (ICOS-ATC) Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement Gif-sur-Yvette (LSCE) Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Université Paris-Saclay-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Direction de Recherche Fondamentale (CEA) (DRF (CEA)) Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Université Paris-Saclay-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Direction de Recherche Fondamentale (CEA) (DRF (CEA)) Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA) University of Arizona This study was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (41530528 and 41561134016), the 111 Project, and the National Youth Top-notch Talent Support Program in China. P.C. acknowledges support from the European Research Council Synergy Grant ERC-2013-SyG-610028 IMBALANCE-P. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Liu, Yongwen Piao, Shilong Lian, Xu Ciais, Philippe Smith, William Kolby |
author_facet |
Liu, Yongwen Piao, Shilong Lian, Xu Ciais, Philippe Smith, William Kolby |
author_sort |
Liu, Yongwen |
title |
Seasonal Responses of Terrestrial Carbon Cycle to Climate Variations in CMIP5 Models: Evaluation and Projection |
title_short |
Seasonal Responses of Terrestrial Carbon Cycle to Climate Variations in CMIP5 Models: Evaluation and Projection |
title_full |
Seasonal Responses of Terrestrial Carbon Cycle to Climate Variations in CMIP5 Models: Evaluation and Projection |
title_fullStr |
Seasonal Responses of Terrestrial Carbon Cycle to Climate Variations in CMIP5 Models: Evaluation and Projection |
title_full_unstemmed |
Seasonal Responses of Terrestrial Carbon Cycle to Climate Variations in CMIP5 Models: Evaluation and Projection |
title_sort |
seasonal responses of terrestrial carbon cycle to climate variations in cmip5 models: evaluation and projection |
publisher |
HAL CCSD |
publishDate |
2017 |
url |
https://hal.science/hal-02904039 https://hal.science/hal-02904039/document https://hal.science/hal-02904039/file/%5B15200442%20-%20Journal%20of%20Climate%5D%20Seasonal%20Responses%20of%20Terrestrial%20Carbon%20Cycle%20to%20Climate%20Variations%20in%20CMIP5%20Models%20Evaluation%20and%20Projection.pdf https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0555.1 |
genre |
Subarctic |
genre_facet |
Subarctic |
op_source |
ISSN: 0894-8755 EISSN: 1520-0442 Journal of Climate https://hal.science/hal-02904039 Journal of Climate, 2017, 30 (16), pp.6481-6503. ⟨10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0555.1⟩ |
op_relation |
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0555.1 hal-02904039 https://hal.science/hal-02904039 https://hal.science/hal-02904039/document https://hal.science/hal-02904039/file/%5B15200442%20-%20Journal%20of%20Climate%5D%20Seasonal%20Responses%20of%20Terrestrial%20Carbon%20Cycle%20to%20Climate%20Variations%20in%20CMIP5%20Models%20Evaluation%20and%20Projection.pdf doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0555.1 |
op_rights |
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/ info:eu-repo/semantics/OpenAccess |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0555.1 |
container_title |
Journal of Climate |
container_volume |
30 |
container_issue |
16 |
container_start_page |
6481 |
op_container_end_page |
6503 |
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1797570833914265600 |
spelling |
ftuniversailles:oai:HAL:hal-02904039v1 2024-04-28T08:40:02+00:00 Seasonal Responses of Terrestrial Carbon Cycle to Climate Variations in CMIP5 Models: Evaluation and Projection Liu, Yongwen Piao, Shilong Lian, Xu Ciais, Philippe Smith, William Kolby Sino-French Institute for Earth System Science, College of Urban and Environmental Sciences Peking University Beijing ICOS-ATC (ICOS-ATC) Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement Gif-sur-Yvette (LSCE) Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Université Paris-Saclay-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Direction de Recherche Fondamentale (CEA) (DRF (CEA)) Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Université Paris-Saclay-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Direction de Recherche Fondamentale (CEA) (DRF (CEA)) Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA) University of Arizona This study was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (41530528 and 41561134016), the 111 Project, and the National Youth Top-notch Talent Support Program in China. P.C. acknowledges support from the European Research Council Synergy Grant ERC-2013-SyG-610028 IMBALANCE-P. 2017-08-15 https://hal.science/hal-02904039 https://hal.science/hal-02904039/document https://hal.science/hal-02904039/file/%5B15200442%20-%20Journal%20of%20Climate%5D%20Seasonal%20Responses%20of%20Terrestrial%20Carbon%20Cycle%20to%20Climate%20Variations%20in%20CMIP5%20Models%20Evaluation%20and%20Projection.pdf https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0555.1 en eng HAL CCSD American Meteorological Society info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0555.1 hal-02904039 https://hal.science/hal-02904039 https://hal.science/hal-02904039/document https://hal.science/hal-02904039/file/%5B15200442%20-%20Journal%20of%20Climate%5D%20Seasonal%20Responses%20of%20Terrestrial%20Carbon%20Cycle%20to%20Climate%20Variations%20in%20CMIP5%20Models%20Evaluation%20and%20Projection.pdf doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0555.1 http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/ info:eu-repo/semantics/OpenAccess ISSN: 0894-8755 EISSN: 1520-0442 Journal of Climate https://hal.science/hal-02904039 Journal of Climate, 2017, 30 (16), pp.6481-6503. ⟨10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0555.1⟩ Land surface Vegetation Coupled models Model evaluation/performance Interannual variability [SDU.STU.CL]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Earth Sciences/Climatology info:eu-repo/semantics/article Journal articles 2017 ftuniversailles https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0555.1 2024-04-11T00:03:41Z International audience Seventeen Earth system models (ESMs) from phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) were evaluated, focusing on the seasonal sensitivities of net biome production (NBP), net primary production (NPP), and heterotrophic respiration (Rh) to interannual variations in temperature and precipitation during 1982–2005 and their changes over the twenty-first century. Temperature sensitivity of NPP in ESMs was generally consistent across northern high-latitude biomes but significantly more negative for tropical and subtropical biomes relative to satellite-derived estimates. The temperature sensitivity of NBP in both inversion-based and ESM estimates was generally consistent in March–May (MAM) and September–November (SON) for tropical forests, semiarid ecosystems, and boreal forests. By contrast, for inversion-based NBP estimates, temperature sensitivity of NBP was nonsignificant for June–August (JJA) for all biomes except boreal forest; whereas, for ESM NBP estimates, the temperature sensitivity for JJA was significantly negative for all biomes except shrublands and subarctic ecosystems. Both satellite-derived NPP and inversion-based NBP are often decoupled from precipitation, whereas ESM NPP and NBP estimates are generally positively correlated with precipitation, suggesting that ESMs are oversensitive to precipitation. Over the twenty-first century, changes in temperature sensitivities of NPP, Rh, and NBP are consistent across all RCPs but stronger under more intensive scenarios. The temperature sensitivity of NBP was found to decrease in tropics and subtropics and increase in northern high latitudes in MAM due to an increased temperature sensitivity of NPP. Across all biomes, projected temperature sensitivity of NPP decreased in JJA and SON. Projected precipitation sensitivity of NBP did not change across biomes, except over grasslands in MAM. Article in Journal/Newspaper Subarctic Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines: HAL-UVSQ Journal of Climate 30 16 6481 6503 |