Mapping environmental suitability for anthrax reemergence in the Arctic
Recent studies have raised concerns about the potential reemergence of infectious diseases in Arctic regions associated with warming temperatures. Among these, particular attention has been devoted to anthrax, as a consequence of the outbreak that occurred in the Russian Yamalo-Nenets peninsula in 2...
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ftuniveneziairis:oai:iris.unive.it:10278/3746054 2024-04-14T08:06:06+00:00 Mapping environmental suitability for anthrax reemergence in the Arctic Stella, Elisa Mari, Lorenzo Gabrieli, Jacopo Barbante, Carlo Bertuzzo, Enrico Stella, Elisa Mari, Lorenzo Gabrieli, Jacopo Barbante, Carlo Bertuzzo, Enrico 2021 http://hdl.handle.net/10278/3746054 https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac2527 https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/ac2527/meta unknown info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/wos/WOS:000706473400001 volume:16 issue:10 firstpage:105013 journal:ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS http://hdl.handle.net/10278/3746054 doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ac2527 info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/scopus/2-s2.0-85118643014 https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/ac2527/meta info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess anthrax disease Arctic climate warming ecological niche model MaxEnt re-emerging disease Settore ICAR/02 - Costruzioni Idrauliche e Marittime e Idrologia info:eu-repo/semantics/article 2021 ftuniveneziairis https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac2527 2024-03-21T18:20:11Z Recent studies have raised concerns about the potential reemergence of infectious diseases in Arctic regions associated with warming temperatures. Among these, particular attention has been devoted to anthrax, as a consequence of the outbreak that occurred in the Russian Yamalo-Nenets peninsula in 2016. Understanding how environmental change might influence the diffusion of this pathogen could allow informed decisions to prevent further zoonotic or epidemic episodes. To that end, the present study aims to identify and investigate the driving variables that may favor anthrax transmission within the Arctic, in order to build environmental niche maps describing the future suitability of these regions for the pathogen. To do so, we use the MaxEnt statistical learning tool informed by Arctic-specific variables, such as reindeer herd distribution and active-layer variation. Because of the relative lack of reliable georeferenced information in these regions, the resulting potential distribution maps are to be considered preliminary, but they can already provide a first assessment tool for local communities living in potential risk areas. They also indicate areas in which additional investigation is needed to improve the reliability of environmental niche modeling, hence the accuracy of risk mapping and the usefulness to Arctic communities. Article in Journal/Newspaper Arctic nenets Yamalo Nenets Università Ca’ Foscari Venezia: ARCA (Archivio Istituzionale della Ricerca) Arctic Environmental Research Letters 16 10 105013 |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
Università Ca’ Foscari Venezia: ARCA (Archivio Istituzionale della Ricerca) |
op_collection_id |
ftuniveneziairis |
language |
unknown |
topic |
anthrax disease Arctic climate warming ecological niche model MaxEnt re-emerging disease Settore ICAR/02 - Costruzioni Idrauliche e Marittime e Idrologia |
spellingShingle |
anthrax disease Arctic climate warming ecological niche model MaxEnt re-emerging disease Settore ICAR/02 - Costruzioni Idrauliche e Marittime e Idrologia Stella, Elisa Mari, Lorenzo Gabrieli, Jacopo Barbante, Carlo Bertuzzo, Enrico Mapping environmental suitability for anthrax reemergence in the Arctic |
topic_facet |
anthrax disease Arctic climate warming ecological niche model MaxEnt re-emerging disease Settore ICAR/02 - Costruzioni Idrauliche e Marittime e Idrologia |
description |
Recent studies have raised concerns about the potential reemergence of infectious diseases in Arctic regions associated with warming temperatures. Among these, particular attention has been devoted to anthrax, as a consequence of the outbreak that occurred in the Russian Yamalo-Nenets peninsula in 2016. Understanding how environmental change might influence the diffusion of this pathogen could allow informed decisions to prevent further zoonotic or epidemic episodes. To that end, the present study aims to identify and investigate the driving variables that may favor anthrax transmission within the Arctic, in order to build environmental niche maps describing the future suitability of these regions for the pathogen. To do so, we use the MaxEnt statistical learning tool informed by Arctic-specific variables, such as reindeer herd distribution and active-layer variation. Because of the relative lack of reliable georeferenced information in these regions, the resulting potential distribution maps are to be considered preliminary, but they can already provide a first assessment tool for local communities living in potential risk areas. They also indicate areas in which additional investigation is needed to improve the reliability of environmental niche modeling, hence the accuracy of risk mapping and the usefulness to Arctic communities. |
author2 |
Stella, Elisa Mari, Lorenzo Gabrieli, Jacopo Barbante, Carlo Bertuzzo, Enrico |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Stella, Elisa Mari, Lorenzo Gabrieli, Jacopo Barbante, Carlo Bertuzzo, Enrico |
author_facet |
Stella, Elisa Mari, Lorenzo Gabrieli, Jacopo Barbante, Carlo Bertuzzo, Enrico |
author_sort |
Stella, Elisa |
title |
Mapping environmental suitability for anthrax reemergence in the Arctic |
title_short |
Mapping environmental suitability for anthrax reemergence in the Arctic |
title_full |
Mapping environmental suitability for anthrax reemergence in the Arctic |
title_fullStr |
Mapping environmental suitability for anthrax reemergence in the Arctic |
title_full_unstemmed |
Mapping environmental suitability for anthrax reemergence in the Arctic |
title_sort |
mapping environmental suitability for anthrax reemergence in the arctic |
publishDate |
2021 |
url |
http://hdl.handle.net/10278/3746054 https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac2527 https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/ac2527/meta |
geographic |
Arctic |
geographic_facet |
Arctic |
genre |
Arctic nenets Yamalo Nenets |
genre_facet |
Arctic nenets Yamalo Nenets |
op_relation |
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/wos/WOS:000706473400001 volume:16 issue:10 firstpage:105013 journal:ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS http://hdl.handle.net/10278/3746054 doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ac2527 info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/scopus/2-s2.0-85118643014 https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/ac2527/meta |
op_rights |
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac2527 |
container_title |
Environmental Research Letters |
container_volume |
16 |
container_issue |
10 |
container_start_page |
105013 |
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1796302736192438272 |