Northward shift in temperature sum isoclines may favour Ips typographus outbreaks in European Russia
1. As the development of the eight‐toothed spruce bark beetle Ips typographus is temperature‐dependent, climate change may encourage development of its additional generations per year and facilitate mass outbreaks further north than previously known. 2. The aim of the study was to analyse historical...
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ftuniveasternfin:oai:erepo.uef.fi:123456789/24369 2023-05-15T18:30:52+02:00 Northward shift in temperature sum isoclines may favour Ips typographus outbreaks in European Russia Romashkin, Ivan Neuvonen, Seppo Tikkanen, Olli-Pekka School of Forest Sciences, activities 2021-01-27T13:30:36Z 238-249 https://erepo.uef.fi/handle/123456789/24369 englanti unknown Wiley Agricultural and forest entomology http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/afe.12377 10.1111/afe.12377 1461-9555 3 22 https://erepo.uef.fi/handle/123456789/24369 In copyright 1.0 openAccess © 2020 The Royal Entomological Society https://rightsstatements.org/page/InC/1.0/ climate change ips typographus Norway spruce outbreaks voltinism Tieteelliset aikakauslehtiartikkelit A1 article artikkeli 2021 ftuniveasternfin https://doi.org/10.1111/afe.12377 2022-12-11T06:54:36Z 1. As the development of the eight‐toothed spruce bark beetle Ips typographus is temperature‐dependent, climate change may encourage development of its additional generations per year and facilitate mass outbreaks further north than previously known. 2. The aim of the study was to analyse historical changes in effective temperature sums (ETSs) and early season swarming weather for I. typographus in different forest zones of European Russia between 1960 and 2016. The difference in ETSs was analysed with linear regression using daily temperature data from the 30 meteorological stations. Historical data regarding the location of I. typographus outbreaks were examined and changes in their distribution during the entire study period were analysed. 3. There was a substantial increase in ETSs, especially in the latter half of the study period. Increased ETSs coincided with more favourable conditions for swarming of I. typographus. Areas with favourable ETSs for the complete development of bivoltine populations of I. typographus (>1500 DD) shifted northwards on average 450 km during the entire study period. 4. The northward shift of ETSs may enhance the transition from univoltine to bivoltine life cycles of I. typographus in the south and middle taiga and from bivoltine to trivoltine life cycles in conifer‐broadleaf forests. final draft peerReviewed Article in Journal/Newspaper taiga UEF eRepository (University of Eastern Finland) Norway Agricultural and Forest Entomology 22 3 238 249 |
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Open Polar |
collection |
UEF eRepository (University of Eastern Finland) |
op_collection_id |
ftuniveasternfin |
language |
unknown |
topic |
climate change ips typographus Norway spruce outbreaks voltinism |
spellingShingle |
climate change ips typographus Norway spruce outbreaks voltinism Romashkin, Ivan Neuvonen, Seppo Tikkanen, Olli-Pekka Northward shift in temperature sum isoclines may favour Ips typographus outbreaks in European Russia |
topic_facet |
climate change ips typographus Norway spruce outbreaks voltinism |
description |
1. As the development of the eight‐toothed spruce bark beetle Ips typographus is temperature‐dependent, climate change may encourage development of its additional generations per year and facilitate mass outbreaks further north than previously known. 2. The aim of the study was to analyse historical changes in effective temperature sums (ETSs) and early season swarming weather for I. typographus in different forest zones of European Russia between 1960 and 2016. The difference in ETSs was analysed with linear regression using daily temperature data from the 30 meteorological stations. Historical data regarding the location of I. typographus outbreaks were examined and changes in their distribution during the entire study period were analysed. 3. There was a substantial increase in ETSs, especially in the latter half of the study period. Increased ETSs coincided with more favourable conditions for swarming of I. typographus. Areas with favourable ETSs for the complete development of bivoltine populations of I. typographus (>1500 DD) shifted northwards on average 450 km during the entire study period. 4. The northward shift of ETSs may enhance the transition from univoltine to bivoltine life cycles of I. typographus in the south and middle taiga and from bivoltine to trivoltine life cycles in conifer‐broadleaf forests. final draft peerReviewed |
author2 |
School of Forest Sciences, activities |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Romashkin, Ivan Neuvonen, Seppo Tikkanen, Olli-Pekka |
author_facet |
Romashkin, Ivan Neuvonen, Seppo Tikkanen, Olli-Pekka |
author_sort |
Romashkin, Ivan |
title |
Northward shift in temperature sum isoclines may favour Ips typographus outbreaks in European Russia |
title_short |
Northward shift in temperature sum isoclines may favour Ips typographus outbreaks in European Russia |
title_full |
Northward shift in temperature sum isoclines may favour Ips typographus outbreaks in European Russia |
title_fullStr |
Northward shift in temperature sum isoclines may favour Ips typographus outbreaks in European Russia |
title_full_unstemmed |
Northward shift in temperature sum isoclines may favour Ips typographus outbreaks in European Russia |
title_sort |
northward shift in temperature sum isoclines may favour ips typographus outbreaks in european russia |
publisher |
Wiley |
publishDate |
2021 |
url |
https://erepo.uef.fi/handle/123456789/24369 |
geographic |
Norway |
geographic_facet |
Norway |
genre |
taiga |
genre_facet |
taiga |
op_relation |
Agricultural and forest entomology http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/afe.12377 10.1111/afe.12377 1461-9555 3 22 https://erepo.uef.fi/handle/123456789/24369 |
op_rights |
In copyright 1.0 openAccess © 2020 The Royal Entomological Society https://rightsstatements.org/page/InC/1.0/ |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1111/afe.12377 |
container_title |
Agricultural and Forest Entomology |
container_volume |
22 |
container_issue |
3 |
container_start_page |
238 |
op_container_end_page |
249 |
_version_ |
1766214480252895232 |