Accounting for species interactions is necessary for predicting how arctic arthropod communities respond to climate change
Species interactions are known to structure ecological communities. Still, the influ- ence of climate change on biodiversity has primarily been evaluated by correlating individual species distributions with local climatic descriptors, then extrapolating into future climate scenarios. We ask whether...
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Language: | English |
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2021
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Online Access: | https://ueaeprints.uea.ac.uk/id/eprint/79557/ https://ueaeprints.uea.ac.uk/id/eprint/79557/1/Published_Version.pdf https://doi.org/10.1111/ecog.05547 |
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ftuniveastangl:oai:ueaeprints.uea.ac.uk:79557 2023-05-15T14:26:27+02:00 Accounting for species interactions is necessary for predicting how arctic arthropod communities respond to climate change Abrego, Nerea Roslin, Tomas Huotari, Tea Ji, Yinqiu Schmidt, Niels Martin Wang, Jiaxin Yu, Douglas W. Ovaskainen, Otso 2021-06 application/pdf https://ueaeprints.uea.ac.uk/id/eprint/79557/ https://ueaeprints.uea.ac.uk/id/eprint/79557/1/Published_Version.pdf https://doi.org/10.1111/ecog.05547 en eng https://ueaeprints.uea.ac.uk/id/eprint/79557/1/Published_Version.pdf Abrego, Nerea, Roslin, Tomas, Huotari, Tea, Ji, Yinqiu, Schmidt, Niels Martin, Wang, Jiaxin, Yu, Douglas W. and Ovaskainen, Otso (2021) Accounting for species interactions is necessary for predicting how arctic arthropod communities respond to climate change. Ecography, 44 (6). pp. 885-896. ISSN 0906-7590 doi:10.1111/ecog.05547 cc_by CC-BY Article PeerReviewed 2021 ftuniveastangl https://doi.org/10.1111/ecog.05547 2023-01-30T21:54:44Z Species interactions are known to structure ecological communities. Still, the influ- ence of climate change on biodiversity has primarily been evaluated by correlating individual species distributions with local climatic descriptors, then extrapolating into future climate scenarios. We ask whether predictions on arctic arthropod response to climate change can be improved by accounting for species interactions. For this, we use a 14-year-long, weekly time series from Greenland, resolved to the species level by mitogenome mapping. During the study period, temperature increased by 2°C and arthropod species richness halved. We show that with abiotic variables alone, we are essentially unable to predict species responses, but with species interactions included, the predictive power of the models improves considerably. Cascading trophic effects thereby emerge as important in structuring biodiversity response to climate change. Given the need to scale up from species-level to community-level projections of bio- diversity change, these results represent a major step forward for predictive ecology. Article in Journal/Newspaper Arctic Arctic Climate change Greenland University of East Anglia: UEA Digital Repository Arctic Greenland Ecography 44 6 885 896 |
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Open Polar |
collection |
University of East Anglia: UEA Digital Repository |
op_collection_id |
ftuniveastangl |
language |
English |
description |
Species interactions are known to structure ecological communities. Still, the influ- ence of climate change on biodiversity has primarily been evaluated by correlating individual species distributions with local climatic descriptors, then extrapolating into future climate scenarios. We ask whether predictions on arctic arthropod response to climate change can be improved by accounting for species interactions. For this, we use a 14-year-long, weekly time series from Greenland, resolved to the species level by mitogenome mapping. During the study period, temperature increased by 2°C and arthropod species richness halved. We show that with abiotic variables alone, we are essentially unable to predict species responses, but with species interactions included, the predictive power of the models improves considerably. Cascading trophic effects thereby emerge as important in structuring biodiversity response to climate change. Given the need to scale up from species-level to community-level projections of bio- diversity change, these results represent a major step forward for predictive ecology. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Abrego, Nerea Roslin, Tomas Huotari, Tea Ji, Yinqiu Schmidt, Niels Martin Wang, Jiaxin Yu, Douglas W. Ovaskainen, Otso |
spellingShingle |
Abrego, Nerea Roslin, Tomas Huotari, Tea Ji, Yinqiu Schmidt, Niels Martin Wang, Jiaxin Yu, Douglas W. Ovaskainen, Otso Accounting for species interactions is necessary for predicting how arctic arthropod communities respond to climate change |
author_facet |
Abrego, Nerea Roslin, Tomas Huotari, Tea Ji, Yinqiu Schmidt, Niels Martin Wang, Jiaxin Yu, Douglas W. Ovaskainen, Otso |
author_sort |
Abrego, Nerea |
title |
Accounting for species interactions is necessary for predicting how arctic arthropod communities respond to climate change |
title_short |
Accounting for species interactions is necessary for predicting how arctic arthropod communities respond to climate change |
title_full |
Accounting for species interactions is necessary for predicting how arctic arthropod communities respond to climate change |
title_fullStr |
Accounting for species interactions is necessary for predicting how arctic arthropod communities respond to climate change |
title_full_unstemmed |
Accounting for species interactions is necessary for predicting how arctic arthropod communities respond to climate change |
title_sort |
accounting for species interactions is necessary for predicting how arctic arthropod communities respond to climate change |
publishDate |
2021 |
url |
https://ueaeprints.uea.ac.uk/id/eprint/79557/ https://ueaeprints.uea.ac.uk/id/eprint/79557/1/Published_Version.pdf https://doi.org/10.1111/ecog.05547 |
geographic |
Arctic Greenland |
geographic_facet |
Arctic Greenland |
genre |
Arctic Arctic Climate change Greenland |
genre_facet |
Arctic Arctic Climate change Greenland |
op_relation |
https://ueaeprints.uea.ac.uk/id/eprint/79557/1/Published_Version.pdf Abrego, Nerea, Roslin, Tomas, Huotari, Tea, Ji, Yinqiu, Schmidt, Niels Martin, Wang, Jiaxin, Yu, Douglas W. and Ovaskainen, Otso (2021) Accounting for species interactions is necessary for predicting how arctic arthropod communities respond to climate change. Ecography, 44 (6). pp. 885-896. ISSN 0906-7590 doi:10.1111/ecog.05547 |
op_rights |
cc_by |
op_rightsnorm |
CC-BY |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1111/ecog.05547 |
container_title |
Ecography |
container_volume |
44 |
container_issue |
6 |
container_start_page |
885 |
op_container_end_page |
896 |
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1766299030013345792 |