Old World megadroughts and pluvials during the Common Era
Climate model projections suggest widespread drying in the Mediterranean Basin and wetting in Fennoscandia in the coming decades largely as a consequence of greenhouse gas forcing of climate. To place these and other “Old World” climate projections into historical perspective based on more complete...
Published in: | Science Advances |
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Online Access: | https://ueaeprints.uea.ac.uk/id/eprint/55068/ https://ueaeprints.uea.ac.uk/id/eprint/55068/1/Cook_et_al_2015_.pdf https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.1500561 |
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ftuniveastangl:oai:ueaeprints.uea.ac.uk:55068 2023-05-15T16:11:54+02:00 Old World megadroughts and pluvials during the Common Era Cook, Edward R. Seager, Richard Kushnir, Yochanan Briffa, Keith Büntgen, Ulf Frank, David Krusic, Paul J. Tegel, Willy van der Schrier, Gerard Andreu-Hayles, Laia Baillie, Mike Baittinger, Claudia Bleicher, Niels Bonde, Niels Brown, David Carrer, Marco Cooper, Richard Cufar, Katarina Dittmar, Christoph Esper, Jan Griggs, Carol Gunnarson, Bjorn Gutierrez, Emilia Haneca, Kristof Helama, Samuli Herzig, Franz Heussner, Karl-Uwe Hofmann, Jutta Janda, Pavel Kontic, Raymond Kose, Nesibe Kyncl, Tomas Levanic, Tom Linderholm, Hans Manning, Sturt Melvin, Thomas Miles, Daniel Neuwirth, Burkhard Nicolussi, Kurt Nola, Paola Panayotov, Momchil Popa, Lonel Rothe, Andreas Seftigen, Kristina Seim, Andrea Svarva, Helene Svoboda, Miroslav Thun, Terje Timonen, Mauri Touchan, Ramzi 2015-11-06 application/pdf https://ueaeprints.uea.ac.uk/id/eprint/55068/ https://ueaeprints.uea.ac.uk/id/eprint/55068/1/Cook_et_al_2015_.pdf https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.1500561 en eng https://ueaeprints.uea.ac.uk/id/eprint/55068/1/Cook_et_al_2015_.pdf Cook, Edward R., Seager, Richard, Kushnir, Yochanan, Briffa, Keith, Büntgen, Ulf, Frank, David, Krusic, Paul J., Tegel, Willy, van der Schrier, Gerard, Andreu-Hayles, Laia, Baillie, Mike, Baittinger, Claudia, Bleicher, Niels, Bonde, Niels, Brown, David, Carrer, Marco, Cooper, Richard, Cufar, Katarina, Dittmar, Christoph, Esper, Jan, Griggs, Carol, Gunnarson, Bjorn, Gutierrez, Emilia, Haneca, Kristof, Helama, Samuli, Herzig, Franz, Heussner, Karl-Uwe, Hofmann, Jutta, Janda, Pavel, Kontic, Raymond, Kose, Nesibe, Kyncl, Tomas, Levanic, Tom, Linderholm, Hans, Manning, Sturt, Melvin, Thomas, Miles, Daniel, Neuwirth, Burkhard, Nicolussi, Kurt, Nola, Paola, Panayotov, Momchil, Popa, Lonel, Rothe, Andreas, Seftigen, Kristina, Seim, Andrea, Svarva, Helene, Svoboda, Miroslav, Thun, Terje, Timonen, Mauri, Touchan, Ramzi, Trotsiuk, Volodymyr, Trouet, Valerie, Walder, Felix, Wazny, Tomasz, Wilson, Rob and Zang, Christian (2015) Old World megadroughts and pluvials during the Common Era. Science Advances, 1 (10). ISSN 2375-2548 doi:10.1126/sciadv.1500561 cc_by_nc CC-BY-NC Article PeerReviewed 2015 ftuniveastangl https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.1500561 2023-01-30T21:41:43Z Climate model projections suggest widespread drying in the Mediterranean Basin and wetting in Fennoscandia in the coming decades largely as a consequence of greenhouse gas forcing of climate. To place these and other “Old World” climate projections into historical perspective based on more complete estimates of natural hydroclimatic variability, we have developed the “Old World Drought Atlas” (OWDA), a set of year-to-year maps of tree-ring reconstructed summer wetness and dryness over Europe and the Mediterranean Basin during the Common Era. The OWDA matches historical accounts of severe drought and wetness with a spatial completeness not previously available. In addition, megadroughts reconstructed over north-central Europe in the 11th and mid-15th centuries reinforce other evidence from North America and Asia that droughts were more severe, extensive, and prolonged over Northern Hemisphere land areas before the 20th century, with an inadequate understanding of their causes. The OWDA provides new data to determine the causes of Old World drought and wetness and attribute past climate variability to forced and/or internal variability. Article in Journal/Newspaper Fennoscandia University of East Anglia: UEA Digital Repository Science Advances 1 10 e1500561 |
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Open Polar |
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University of East Anglia: UEA Digital Repository |
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ftuniveastangl |
language |
English |
description |
Climate model projections suggest widespread drying in the Mediterranean Basin and wetting in Fennoscandia in the coming decades largely as a consequence of greenhouse gas forcing of climate. To place these and other “Old World” climate projections into historical perspective based on more complete estimates of natural hydroclimatic variability, we have developed the “Old World Drought Atlas” (OWDA), a set of year-to-year maps of tree-ring reconstructed summer wetness and dryness over Europe and the Mediterranean Basin during the Common Era. The OWDA matches historical accounts of severe drought and wetness with a spatial completeness not previously available. In addition, megadroughts reconstructed over north-central Europe in the 11th and mid-15th centuries reinforce other evidence from North America and Asia that droughts were more severe, extensive, and prolonged over Northern Hemisphere land areas before the 20th century, with an inadequate understanding of their causes. The OWDA provides new data to determine the causes of Old World drought and wetness and attribute past climate variability to forced and/or internal variability. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Cook, Edward R. Seager, Richard Kushnir, Yochanan Briffa, Keith Büntgen, Ulf Frank, David Krusic, Paul J. Tegel, Willy van der Schrier, Gerard Andreu-Hayles, Laia Baillie, Mike Baittinger, Claudia Bleicher, Niels Bonde, Niels Brown, David Carrer, Marco Cooper, Richard Cufar, Katarina Dittmar, Christoph Esper, Jan Griggs, Carol Gunnarson, Bjorn Gutierrez, Emilia Haneca, Kristof Helama, Samuli Herzig, Franz Heussner, Karl-Uwe Hofmann, Jutta Janda, Pavel Kontic, Raymond Kose, Nesibe Kyncl, Tomas Levanic, Tom Linderholm, Hans Manning, Sturt Melvin, Thomas Miles, Daniel Neuwirth, Burkhard Nicolussi, Kurt Nola, Paola Panayotov, Momchil Popa, Lonel Rothe, Andreas Seftigen, Kristina Seim, Andrea Svarva, Helene Svoboda, Miroslav Thun, Terje Timonen, Mauri Touchan, Ramzi |
spellingShingle |
Cook, Edward R. Seager, Richard Kushnir, Yochanan Briffa, Keith Büntgen, Ulf Frank, David Krusic, Paul J. Tegel, Willy van der Schrier, Gerard Andreu-Hayles, Laia Baillie, Mike Baittinger, Claudia Bleicher, Niels Bonde, Niels Brown, David Carrer, Marco Cooper, Richard Cufar, Katarina Dittmar, Christoph Esper, Jan Griggs, Carol Gunnarson, Bjorn Gutierrez, Emilia Haneca, Kristof Helama, Samuli Herzig, Franz Heussner, Karl-Uwe Hofmann, Jutta Janda, Pavel Kontic, Raymond Kose, Nesibe Kyncl, Tomas Levanic, Tom Linderholm, Hans Manning, Sturt Melvin, Thomas Miles, Daniel Neuwirth, Burkhard Nicolussi, Kurt Nola, Paola Panayotov, Momchil Popa, Lonel Rothe, Andreas Seftigen, Kristina Seim, Andrea Svarva, Helene Svoboda, Miroslav Thun, Terje Timonen, Mauri Touchan, Ramzi Old World megadroughts and pluvials during the Common Era |
author_facet |
Cook, Edward R. Seager, Richard Kushnir, Yochanan Briffa, Keith Büntgen, Ulf Frank, David Krusic, Paul J. Tegel, Willy van der Schrier, Gerard Andreu-Hayles, Laia Baillie, Mike Baittinger, Claudia Bleicher, Niels Bonde, Niels Brown, David Carrer, Marco Cooper, Richard Cufar, Katarina Dittmar, Christoph Esper, Jan Griggs, Carol Gunnarson, Bjorn Gutierrez, Emilia Haneca, Kristof Helama, Samuli Herzig, Franz Heussner, Karl-Uwe Hofmann, Jutta Janda, Pavel Kontic, Raymond Kose, Nesibe Kyncl, Tomas Levanic, Tom Linderholm, Hans Manning, Sturt Melvin, Thomas Miles, Daniel Neuwirth, Burkhard Nicolussi, Kurt Nola, Paola Panayotov, Momchil Popa, Lonel Rothe, Andreas Seftigen, Kristina Seim, Andrea Svarva, Helene Svoboda, Miroslav Thun, Terje Timonen, Mauri Touchan, Ramzi |
author_sort |
Cook, Edward R. |
title |
Old World megadroughts and pluvials during the Common Era |
title_short |
Old World megadroughts and pluvials during the Common Era |
title_full |
Old World megadroughts and pluvials during the Common Era |
title_fullStr |
Old World megadroughts and pluvials during the Common Era |
title_full_unstemmed |
Old World megadroughts and pluvials during the Common Era |
title_sort |
old world megadroughts and pluvials during the common era |
publishDate |
2015 |
url |
https://ueaeprints.uea.ac.uk/id/eprint/55068/ https://ueaeprints.uea.ac.uk/id/eprint/55068/1/Cook_et_al_2015_.pdf https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.1500561 |
genre |
Fennoscandia |
genre_facet |
Fennoscandia |
op_relation |
https://ueaeprints.uea.ac.uk/id/eprint/55068/1/Cook_et_al_2015_.pdf Cook, Edward R., Seager, Richard, Kushnir, Yochanan, Briffa, Keith, Büntgen, Ulf, Frank, David, Krusic, Paul J., Tegel, Willy, van der Schrier, Gerard, Andreu-Hayles, Laia, Baillie, Mike, Baittinger, Claudia, Bleicher, Niels, Bonde, Niels, Brown, David, Carrer, Marco, Cooper, Richard, Cufar, Katarina, Dittmar, Christoph, Esper, Jan, Griggs, Carol, Gunnarson, Bjorn, Gutierrez, Emilia, Haneca, Kristof, Helama, Samuli, Herzig, Franz, Heussner, Karl-Uwe, Hofmann, Jutta, Janda, Pavel, Kontic, Raymond, Kose, Nesibe, Kyncl, Tomas, Levanic, Tom, Linderholm, Hans, Manning, Sturt, Melvin, Thomas, Miles, Daniel, Neuwirth, Burkhard, Nicolussi, Kurt, Nola, Paola, Panayotov, Momchil, Popa, Lonel, Rothe, Andreas, Seftigen, Kristina, Seim, Andrea, Svarva, Helene, Svoboda, Miroslav, Thun, Terje, Timonen, Mauri, Touchan, Ramzi, Trotsiuk, Volodymyr, Trouet, Valerie, Walder, Felix, Wazny, Tomasz, Wilson, Rob and Zang, Christian (2015) Old World megadroughts and pluvials during the Common Era. Science Advances, 1 (10). ISSN 2375-2548 doi:10.1126/sciadv.1500561 |
op_rights |
cc_by_nc |
op_rightsnorm |
CC-BY-NC |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.1500561 |
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