Explaining extreme events of 2012 from a climate perspective
© 2013 American Meteorological Society. Artículo firmado por 78 autores. Attribution of extreme events is a challenging science and one that is currently undergoing considerable evolution. In this paper are 19 analyses by 18 different research groups, often using quite different methodologies, of 12...
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ftunivcmadrid:oai:docta.ucm.es:20.500.14352/34231 2024-09-09T19:26:28+00:00 Explaining extreme events of 2012 from a climate perspective Barriopedro Cepero, David García Herrera, Ricardo Francisco 2013-09 application/pdf https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14352/34231 https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-13-00085.1 eng eng American Meteorological Society https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14352/34231 0003-0007 doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-13-00085.1 open access 52 Meteorology Atmospheric sciences Física atmosférica 2501 Ciencias de la Atmósfera journal article 2013 ftunivcmadrid https://doi.org/20.500.14352/3423110.1175/BAMS-D-13-00085.1 2024-08-29T23:43:41Z © 2013 American Meteorological Society. Artículo firmado por 78 autores. Attribution of extreme events is a challenging science and one that is currently undergoing considerable evolution. In this paper are 19 analyses by 18 different research groups, often using quite different methodologies, of 12 extreme events that occurred in 2012. In addition to investigating the causes of these extreme events, the multiple analyses of four of the events, the high temperatures in the United States, the record low levels of Arctic sea ice, and the heavy rain in northern Europe and eastern Australia, provide an opportunity to compare and contrast the strengths and weaknesses of the various methodologies. The differences also provide insights into the structural uncertainty of event attribution, that is, the uncertainty that arises directly from the differences in analysis methodology. In these cases, there was considerable agreement between the different assessments of the same event. However, different events had very different causes. Approximately half the analyses found some evidence that anthropogenically caused climate change was a contributing factor to the extreme event examined, though the effects of natural fluctuations of weather and climate on the evolution of many of the extreme events played key roles as well. Depto. de Física de la Tierra y Astrofísica Fac. de Ciencias Físicas TRUE pub Article in Journal/Newspaper Arctic Climate change Sea ice Docta Complutense (Universidad Complutense de Madrid - UCM) Arctic Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 94 9 S1 S74 |
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Docta Complutense (Universidad Complutense de Madrid - UCM) |
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ftunivcmadrid |
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English |
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52 Meteorology Atmospheric sciences Física atmosférica 2501 Ciencias de la Atmósfera |
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52 Meteorology Atmospheric sciences Física atmosférica 2501 Ciencias de la Atmósfera Barriopedro Cepero, David García Herrera, Ricardo Francisco Explaining extreme events of 2012 from a climate perspective |
topic_facet |
52 Meteorology Atmospheric sciences Física atmosférica 2501 Ciencias de la Atmósfera |
description |
© 2013 American Meteorological Society. Artículo firmado por 78 autores. Attribution of extreme events is a challenging science and one that is currently undergoing considerable evolution. In this paper are 19 analyses by 18 different research groups, often using quite different methodologies, of 12 extreme events that occurred in 2012. In addition to investigating the causes of these extreme events, the multiple analyses of four of the events, the high temperatures in the United States, the record low levels of Arctic sea ice, and the heavy rain in northern Europe and eastern Australia, provide an opportunity to compare and contrast the strengths and weaknesses of the various methodologies. The differences also provide insights into the structural uncertainty of event attribution, that is, the uncertainty that arises directly from the differences in analysis methodology. In these cases, there was considerable agreement between the different assessments of the same event. However, different events had very different causes. Approximately half the analyses found some evidence that anthropogenically caused climate change was a contributing factor to the extreme event examined, though the effects of natural fluctuations of weather and climate on the evolution of many of the extreme events played key roles as well. Depto. de Física de la Tierra y Astrofísica Fac. de Ciencias Físicas TRUE pub |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Barriopedro Cepero, David García Herrera, Ricardo Francisco |
author_facet |
Barriopedro Cepero, David García Herrera, Ricardo Francisco |
author_sort |
Barriopedro Cepero, David |
title |
Explaining extreme events of 2012 from a climate perspective |
title_short |
Explaining extreme events of 2012 from a climate perspective |
title_full |
Explaining extreme events of 2012 from a climate perspective |
title_fullStr |
Explaining extreme events of 2012 from a climate perspective |
title_full_unstemmed |
Explaining extreme events of 2012 from a climate perspective |
title_sort |
explaining extreme events of 2012 from a climate perspective |
publisher |
American Meteorological Society |
publishDate |
2013 |
url |
https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14352/34231 https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-13-00085.1 |
geographic |
Arctic |
geographic_facet |
Arctic |
genre |
Arctic Climate change Sea ice |
genre_facet |
Arctic Climate change Sea ice |
op_relation |
https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14352/34231 0003-0007 doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-13-00085.1 |
op_rights |
open access |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/20.500.14352/3423110.1175/BAMS-D-13-00085.1 |
container_title |
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society |
container_volume |
94 |
container_issue |
9 |
container_start_page |
S1 |
op_container_end_page |
S74 |
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1809896064552009728 |