A summary of results for the island closure experiment
A simple summary is offered of the results of the island closure experiment reported in Ross-Gillespie and Butterworth (2021), which implemented the suggestions of the December 2020 International Panel. A single result in selected for each island/response variable combination, and reasons are provid...
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ftunivcapetownir:oai:localhost:11427/33664 2023-05-15T17:55:06+02:00 A summary of results for the island closure experiment Butterworth, Doug Ross-Gillespie, Andrea 2021 application/pdf http://hdl.handle.net/11427/33664 https://open.uct.ac.za/bitstream/11427/33664/1/FISHERIES_2021_JUN_SWG-PEL_36%20A%20summary%20of%20results%20for%20the%20ICE.pdf unknown Faculty of Science Department of Mathematics and Applied Mathematics http://hdl.handle.net/11427/33664 https://open.uct.ac.za/bitstream/11427/33664/1/FISHERIES_2021_JUN_SWG-PEL_36%20A%20summary%20of%20results%20for%20the%20ICE.pdf penguin island closure fishing impact REML Report 2021 ftunivcapetownir 2022-09-13T05:54:37Z A simple summary is offered of the results of the island closure experiment reported in Ross-Gillespie and Butterworth (2021), which implemented the suggestions of the December 2020 International Panel. A single result in selected for each island/response variable combination, and reasons are provided for preferring the aggregated data approach for this, with increases made to the CI estimates so as to correspond to the unbiased REML method. Integration across the results is problematic for various reasons, but a coarse summary indicates little evidence for any impact (in either direction) of fishing in the neighbourhood of island colonies on penguin population growth rates. Given that the islands in the experiment have been closed for 50% of the period since 2008, some coarse predictions for the extent of improvement in annual population growth rates (on average over time) were these islands to be closed to fishing every year in the future are: Dassen -0.5% (i.e. no improvement), Robben +0.25%, Bird 0% and St Croix +0.5%. Report Penguin Island University of Cape Town: OpenUCT Butterworth ENVELOPE(66.733,66.733,-70.700,-70.700) Penguin Island ENVELOPE(-57.926,-57.926,-62.102,-62.102) |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
University of Cape Town: OpenUCT |
op_collection_id |
ftunivcapetownir |
language |
unknown |
topic |
penguin island closure fishing impact REML |
spellingShingle |
penguin island closure fishing impact REML Butterworth, Doug Ross-Gillespie, Andrea A summary of results for the island closure experiment |
topic_facet |
penguin island closure fishing impact REML |
description |
A simple summary is offered of the results of the island closure experiment reported in Ross-Gillespie and Butterworth (2021), which implemented the suggestions of the December 2020 International Panel. A single result in selected for each island/response variable combination, and reasons are provided for preferring the aggregated data approach for this, with increases made to the CI estimates so as to correspond to the unbiased REML method. Integration across the results is problematic for various reasons, but a coarse summary indicates little evidence for any impact (in either direction) of fishing in the neighbourhood of island colonies on penguin population growth rates. Given that the islands in the experiment have been closed for 50% of the period since 2008, some coarse predictions for the extent of improvement in annual population growth rates (on average over time) were these islands to be closed to fishing every year in the future are: Dassen -0.5% (i.e. no improvement), Robben +0.25%, Bird 0% and St Croix +0.5%. |
format |
Report |
author |
Butterworth, Doug Ross-Gillespie, Andrea |
author_facet |
Butterworth, Doug Ross-Gillespie, Andrea |
author_sort |
Butterworth, Doug |
title |
A summary of results for the island closure experiment |
title_short |
A summary of results for the island closure experiment |
title_full |
A summary of results for the island closure experiment |
title_fullStr |
A summary of results for the island closure experiment |
title_full_unstemmed |
A summary of results for the island closure experiment |
title_sort |
summary of results for the island closure experiment |
publisher |
Faculty of Science |
publishDate |
2021 |
url |
http://hdl.handle.net/11427/33664 https://open.uct.ac.za/bitstream/11427/33664/1/FISHERIES_2021_JUN_SWG-PEL_36%20A%20summary%20of%20results%20for%20the%20ICE.pdf |
long_lat |
ENVELOPE(66.733,66.733,-70.700,-70.700) ENVELOPE(-57.926,-57.926,-62.102,-62.102) |
geographic |
Butterworth Penguin Island |
geographic_facet |
Butterworth Penguin Island |
genre |
Penguin Island |
genre_facet |
Penguin Island |
op_relation |
http://hdl.handle.net/11427/33664 https://open.uct.ac.za/bitstream/11427/33664/1/FISHERIES_2021_JUN_SWG-PEL_36%20A%20summary%20of%20results%20for%20the%20ICE.pdf |
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1766162976644005888 |