Exploring winter rainfall in western South Africa : connections, influences and the potential for statistical seasonal forecasting

Includes abstract. Includes bibliographical references (leaves 151-155). The development and underlying physical connections of relationships between SWC rainfall and the Southern Annular Mode (SAM), South Atlantic sea surface temperature (SST), Antarctic sea ice concentration (SIC), and the EI Nino...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Wolding, Brandon
Format: Master Thesis
Language:English
Published: University of Cape Town 2010
Subjects:
Applied Marine Science
Antarctic
Antarc*
Sea ice
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/11427/11414
https://open.uct.ac.za/bitstream/11427/11414/1/thesis_sci_2010_wolding_b.pdf
Description
Summary:Includes abstract. Includes bibliographical references (leaves 151-155). The development and underlying physical connections of relationships between SWC rainfall and the Southern Annular Mode (SAM), South Atlantic sea surface temperature (SST), Antarctic sea ice concentration (SIC), and the EI Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) were explored using spatial and temporal correlations. Insight gained from the correlation analysis was used to develop statistical forecast models for SWC seasonal rainfall, which served as an initial assessment of the potential for statistical seasonal forecasting of SWC rainfall.

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