Future sea level change under CMIP5 and CMIP6 scenarios from the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets
Projections of the sea level contribution from the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets (GrIS and AIS) rely on atmospheric and oceanic drivers obtained from climate models. The Earth System Models participating in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 6 (CMIP6) generally project greater futu...
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ftunivbruxelles:oai:dipot.ulb.ac.be:2013/325953 2024-04-28T07:57:12+00:00 Future sea level change under CMIP5 and CMIP6 scenarios from the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets Payne, Antony J. Nowicki, Sophie Abe-Ouchi, Ayako Agosta, Cecile Alexander, Patrick Albrecht, Torsten Asay‐Davis, Xylar Aschwanden, Andy Barthel, Alice Bracegirdle, Thomas J. Calov, Reinhard Chambers, Christopher Choi, Youngmin Cullather, Richard Cuzzone, Joshua Dumas, Christophe Edwards, Tamsin L Felikson, Denis Fettweis, Xavier Galton‐Fenzi, Benjamin K. Goelzer, Heiko Gladstone, Rupert R.M. Golledge, Nicholas R. Gregory, Jonathan M. Greve, Ralf Hattermann, Tore Hoffman, Matthew J. Humbert, Angelika Huybrechts, Philippe Jourdain, Nicolas C. Kleiner, Thomas Munneke, Peter Kuipers Larour, Eric Le clec'h, Sebastien Lee, Victoria Leguy, Gunter Lipscomb, William H. Little, Christopher M. Lowry, Daniel P. Morlighem, Mathieu Nias, Isabel Pattyn, Frank Pelle, Tyler Price, Stephen F. Quiquet, Aurelien Reese, Ronja Rückamp, Martin Schlegel, Nicole-Jeanne Seroussi, Helene Shepherd, Andrew Simon, Erika Slater, Donald Smith, Robin R.S. Straneo, Fiammetta Sun, Sainan Tarasov, Lev Trusel, Luke D. Van Breedam, Jonas van de Wal, Roderik S W Van den Broeke, Michiel Winkelmann, Ricarda Zhao, Cheng Zhang, Tong Zwinger, Thomas 2021-05 1 full-text file(s): application/pdf http://hdl.handle.net/2013/ULB-DIPOT:oai:dipot.ulb.ac.be:2013/325953 https://dipot.ulb.ac.be/dspace/bitstream/2013/325953/3/Payne2021_GRL.pdf en eng uri/info:doi/10.1029/2020GL091741 uri/info:scp/85113571328 https://dipot.ulb.ac.be/dspace/bitstream/2013/325953/3/Payne2021_GRL.pdf http://hdl.handle.net/2013/ULB-DIPOT:oai:dipot.ulb.ac.be:2013/325953 1 full-text file(s): info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess Geophysical research letters Glaciologie Sciences exactes et naturelles info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:ulb-repo/semantics/articlePeerReview info:ulb-repo/semantics/openurl/article 2021 ftunivbruxelles 2024-04-10T00:10:31Z Projections of the sea level contribution from the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets (GrIS and AIS) rely on atmospheric and oceanic drivers obtained from climate models. The Earth System Models participating in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 6 (CMIP6) generally project greater future warming compared with the previous Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 5 (CMIP5) effort. Here we use four CMIP6 models and a selection of CMIP5 models to force multiple ice sheet models as part of the Ice Sheet Model Intercomparison Project for CMIP6 (ISMIP6). We find that the projected sea level contribution at 2100 from the ice sheet model ensemble under the CMIP6 scenarios falls within the CMIP5 range for the Antarctic ice sheet but is significantly increased for Greenland. Warmer atmosphere in CMIP6 models results in higher Greenland mass loss due to surface melt. For Antarctica, CMIP6 forcing is similar to CMIP5 and mass gain from increased snowfall counteracts increased loss due to ocean warming. SCOPUS: ar.j info:eu-repo/semantics/published Article in Journal/Newspaper Antarc* Antarctic Antarctica Greenland Ice Sheet DI-fusion : dépôt institutionnel de l'Université libre de Bruxelles (ULB) |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
DI-fusion : dépôt institutionnel de l'Université libre de Bruxelles (ULB) |
op_collection_id |
ftunivbruxelles |
language |
English |
topic |
Glaciologie Sciences exactes et naturelles |
spellingShingle |
Glaciologie Sciences exactes et naturelles Payne, Antony J. Nowicki, Sophie Abe-Ouchi, Ayako Agosta, Cecile Alexander, Patrick Albrecht, Torsten Asay‐Davis, Xylar Aschwanden, Andy Barthel, Alice Bracegirdle, Thomas J. Calov, Reinhard Chambers, Christopher Choi, Youngmin Cullather, Richard Cuzzone, Joshua Dumas, Christophe Edwards, Tamsin L Felikson, Denis Fettweis, Xavier Galton‐Fenzi, Benjamin K. Goelzer, Heiko Gladstone, Rupert R.M. Golledge, Nicholas R. Gregory, Jonathan M. Greve, Ralf Hattermann, Tore Hoffman, Matthew J. Humbert, Angelika Huybrechts, Philippe Jourdain, Nicolas C. Kleiner, Thomas Munneke, Peter Kuipers Larour, Eric Le clec'h, Sebastien Lee, Victoria Leguy, Gunter Lipscomb, William H. Little, Christopher M. Lowry, Daniel P. Morlighem, Mathieu Nias, Isabel Pattyn, Frank Pelle, Tyler Price, Stephen F. Quiquet, Aurelien Reese, Ronja Rückamp, Martin Schlegel, Nicole-Jeanne Seroussi, Helene Shepherd, Andrew Simon, Erika Slater, Donald Smith, Robin R.S. Straneo, Fiammetta Sun, Sainan Tarasov, Lev Trusel, Luke D. Van Breedam, Jonas van de Wal, Roderik S W Van den Broeke, Michiel Winkelmann, Ricarda Zhao, Cheng Zhang, Tong Zwinger, Thomas Future sea level change under CMIP5 and CMIP6 scenarios from the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets |
topic_facet |
Glaciologie Sciences exactes et naturelles |
description |
Projections of the sea level contribution from the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets (GrIS and AIS) rely on atmospheric and oceanic drivers obtained from climate models. The Earth System Models participating in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 6 (CMIP6) generally project greater future warming compared with the previous Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 5 (CMIP5) effort. Here we use four CMIP6 models and a selection of CMIP5 models to force multiple ice sheet models as part of the Ice Sheet Model Intercomparison Project for CMIP6 (ISMIP6). We find that the projected sea level contribution at 2100 from the ice sheet model ensemble under the CMIP6 scenarios falls within the CMIP5 range for the Antarctic ice sheet but is significantly increased for Greenland. Warmer atmosphere in CMIP6 models results in higher Greenland mass loss due to surface melt. For Antarctica, CMIP6 forcing is similar to CMIP5 and mass gain from increased snowfall counteracts increased loss due to ocean warming. SCOPUS: ar.j info:eu-repo/semantics/published |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Payne, Antony J. Nowicki, Sophie Abe-Ouchi, Ayako Agosta, Cecile Alexander, Patrick Albrecht, Torsten Asay‐Davis, Xylar Aschwanden, Andy Barthel, Alice Bracegirdle, Thomas J. Calov, Reinhard Chambers, Christopher Choi, Youngmin Cullather, Richard Cuzzone, Joshua Dumas, Christophe Edwards, Tamsin L Felikson, Denis Fettweis, Xavier Galton‐Fenzi, Benjamin K. Goelzer, Heiko Gladstone, Rupert R.M. Golledge, Nicholas R. Gregory, Jonathan M. Greve, Ralf Hattermann, Tore Hoffman, Matthew J. Humbert, Angelika Huybrechts, Philippe Jourdain, Nicolas C. Kleiner, Thomas Munneke, Peter Kuipers Larour, Eric Le clec'h, Sebastien Lee, Victoria Leguy, Gunter Lipscomb, William H. Little, Christopher M. Lowry, Daniel P. Morlighem, Mathieu Nias, Isabel Pattyn, Frank Pelle, Tyler Price, Stephen F. Quiquet, Aurelien Reese, Ronja Rückamp, Martin Schlegel, Nicole-Jeanne Seroussi, Helene Shepherd, Andrew Simon, Erika Slater, Donald Smith, Robin R.S. Straneo, Fiammetta Sun, Sainan Tarasov, Lev Trusel, Luke D. Van Breedam, Jonas van de Wal, Roderik S W Van den Broeke, Michiel Winkelmann, Ricarda Zhao, Cheng Zhang, Tong Zwinger, Thomas |
author_facet |
Payne, Antony J. Nowicki, Sophie Abe-Ouchi, Ayako Agosta, Cecile Alexander, Patrick Albrecht, Torsten Asay‐Davis, Xylar Aschwanden, Andy Barthel, Alice Bracegirdle, Thomas J. Calov, Reinhard Chambers, Christopher Choi, Youngmin Cullather, Richard Cuzzone, Joshua Dumas, Christophe Edwards, Tamsin L Felikson, Denis Fettweis, Xavier Galton‐Fenzi, Benjamin K. Goelzer, Heiko Gladstone, Rupert R.M. Golledge, Nicholas R. Gregory, Jonathan M. Greve, Ralf Hattermann, Tore Hoffman, Matthew J. Humbert, Angelika Huybrechts, Philippe Jourdain, Nicolas C. Kleiner, Thomas Munneke, Peter Kuipers Larour, Eric Le clec'h, Sebastien Lee, Victoria Leguy, Gunter Lipscomb, William H. Little, Christopher M. Lowry, Daniel P. Morlighem, Mathieu Nias, Isabel Pattyn, Frank Pelle, Tyler Price, Stephen F. Quiquet, Aurelien Reese, Ronja Rückamp, Martin Schlegel, Nicole-Jeanne Seroussi, Helene Shepherd, Andrew Simon, Erika Slater, Donald Smith, Robin R.S. Straneo, Fiammetta Sun, Sainan Tarasov, Lev Trusel, Luke D. Van Breedam, Jonas van de Wal, Roderik S W Van den Broeke, Michiel Winkelmann, Ricarda Zhao, Cheng Zhang, Tong Zwinger, Thomas |
author_sort |
Payne, Antony J. |
title |
Future sea level change under CMIP5 and CMIP6 scenarios from the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets |
title_short |
Future sea level change under CMIP5 and CMIP6 scenarios from the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets |
title_full |
Future sea level change under CMIP5 and CMIP6 scenarios from the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets |
title_fullStr |
Future sea level change under CMIP5 and CMIP6 scenarios from the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets |
title_full_unstemmed |
Future sea level change under CMIP5 and CMIP6 scenarios from the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets |
title_sort |
future sea level change under cmip5 and cmip6 scenarios from the greenland and antarctic ice sheets |
publishDate |
2021 |
url |
http://hdl.handle.net/2013/ULB-DIPOT:oai:dipot.ulb.ac.be:2013/325953 https://dipot.ulb.ac.be/dspace/bitstream/2013/325953/3/Payne2021_GRL.pdf |
genre |
Antarc* Antarctic Antarctica Greenland Ice Sheet |
genre_facet |
Antarc* Antarctic Antarctica Greenland Ice Sheet |
op_source |
Geophysical research letters |
op_relation |
uri/info:doi/10.1029/2020GL091741 uri/info:scp/85113571328 https://dipot.ulb.ac.be/dspace/bitstream/2013/325953/3/Payne2021_GRL.pdf http://hdl.handle.net/2013/ULB-DIPOT:oai:dipot.ulb.ac.be:2013/325953 |
op_rights |
1 full-text file(s): info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
_version_ |
1797587373362511872 |