Future rainfall and temperature changes in Brazil under global warming levels of 1.5ºC, 2ºC and 4ºC
The present study analyzes the impacts of global warming of 1.5ºC, 2ºC, and 4ºC above pre-industrial levels in the Brazilian territory. Climate change projected among the different global warming levels has been analyzed for rainfall, temperature and extreme climate indices. The projections are deri...
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ftunivbrasilojs:oai:ojs.pkp.sfu.ca:article/33933 2023-10-01T03:59:23+02:00 Future rainfall and temperature changes in Brazil under global warming levels of 1.5ºC, 2ºC and 4ºC Santos, Diego Jatobá dos Pedra, George Ulguim Silva, Marcelo Guatura Barbosa da Guimarães Júnior, Carlos Augusto Alves, Lincoln Muniz Sampaio, Gilvan Marengo, José Antônio 2020-12-31 application/pdf https://periodicos.unb.br/index.php/sust/article/view/33933 https://doi.org/10.18472/SustDeb.v11n3.2020.33933 eng por eng por Editora de Livros IABS https://periodicos.unb.br/index.php/sust/article/view/33933/28547 https://periodicos.unb.br/index.php/sust/article/view/33933/28548 https://periodicos.unb.br/index.php/sust/article/view/33933 doi:10.18472/SustDeb.v11n3.2020.33933 Copyright (c) 2020 Sustentabilidade em Debate http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0 Sustainability in Debate; Vol. 11 No. 3 (2020): Sustainability in Debate / Sustentabilidade em Debate; 57 - 90 Sustainability in Debate; Vol. 11 Núm. 3 (2020): Sustainability in Debate / Sustentabilidade em Debate; 57 - 90 Sustainability in Debate; v. 11 n. 3 (2020): Sustainability in Debate / Sustentabilidade em Debate; 57 - 90 2179-9067 2177-7675 info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion 2020 ftunivbrasilojs https://doi.org/10.18472/SustDeb.v11n3.2020.33933 2023-09-03T06:56:11Z The present study analyzes the impacts of global warming of 1.5ºC, 2ºC, and 4ºC above pre-industrial levels in the Brazilian territory. Climate change projected among the different global warming levels has been analyzed for rainfall, temperature and extreme climate indices. The projections are derived from the global climate model HadGEM3-A, from the High-End cLimate Impacts and eXtremes (HELIX) international project, from the United Kingdom, forced by sea surface temperature and sea ice concentration of a subset of six CMIP5 (Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 5) global climate models and considering the RCP 8.5 (Representative Concentration Pathways) emissions scenario throughout the 21st century. Projections indicate robust differences in regional climate characteristics. These differences include changes: in the minimum and maximum air temperature close to the surface to all the country’s regions, in extremes of heat, particularly in northern Brazil, in the occurrence of heavy rainfall (Southern and Southeastern regions), and in the probability of droughts and rain deficits in some regions (Northern and Northeastern Brazil). The present study analyzes the impacts of global warming of 1.5ºC, 2ºC, and 4ºC above pre-industrial levels in the Brazilian territory. Climate change projected among the different global warming levels has been analyzed for rainfall, temperature and extreme climate indices. The projections are derived from the global climate model HadGEM3-A, from the High-End cLimate Impacts and eXtremes (HELIX) international project, from the United Kingdom, forced by sea surface temperature and sea ice concentration of a subset of six CMIP5 (Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 5) global climate models and considering the RCP 8.5 (Representative Concentration Pathways) emissions scenario throughout the 21st century. Projections indicate robust differences in regional climate characteristics. These differences include changes: in the minimum and maximum air temperature close to the ... Article in Journal/Newspaper Sea ice Universidade de Brasília: Portal de Periódicos da UnB Sustentabilidade em Debate 11 3 57 90 |
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Universidade de Brasília: Portal de Periódicos da UnB |
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English Portuguese |
description |
The present study analyzes the impacts of global warming of 1.5ºC, 2ºC, and 4ºC above pre-industrial levels in the Brazilian territory. Climate change projected among the different global warming levels has been analyzed for rainfall, temperature and extreme climate indices. The projections are derived from the global climate model HadGEM3-A, from the High-End cLimate Impacts and eXtremes (HELIX) international project, from the United Kingdom, forced by sea surface temperature and sea ice concentration of a subset of six CMIP5 (Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 5) global climate models and considering the RCP 8.5 (Representative Concentration Pathways) emissions scenario throughout the 21st century. Projections indicate robust differences in regional climate characteristics. These differences include changes: in the minimum and maximum air temperature close to the surface to all the country’s regions, in extremes of heat, particularly in northern Brazil, in the occurrence of heavy rainfall (Southern and Southeastern regions), and in the probability of droughts and rain deficits in some regions (Northern and Northeastern Brazil). The present study analyzes the impacts of global warming of 1.5ºC, 2ºC, and 4ºC above pre-industrial levels in the Brazilian territory. Climate change projected among the different global warming levels has been analyzed for rainfall, temperature and extreme climate indices. The projections are derived from the global climate model HadGEM3-A, from the High-End cLimate Impacts and eXtremes (HELIX) international project, from the United Kingdom, forced by sea surface temperature and sea ice concentration of a subset of six CMIP5 (Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 5) global climate models and considering the RCP 8.5 (Representative Concentration Pathways) emissions scenario throughout the 21st century. Projections indicate robust differences in regional climate characteristics. These differences include changes: in the minimum and maximum air temperature close to the ... |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Santos, Diego Jatobá dos Pedra, George Ulguim Silva, Marcelo Guatura Barbosa da Guimarães Júnior, Carlos Augusto Alves, Lincoln Muniz Sampaio, Gilvan Marengo, José Antônio |
spellingShingle |
Santos, Diego Jatobá dos Pedra, George Ulguim Silva, Marcelo Guatura Barbosa da Guimarães Júnior, Carlos Augusto Alves, Lincoln Muniz Sampaio, Gilvan Marengo, José Antônio Future rainfall and temperature changes in Brazil under global warming levels of 1.5ºC, 2ºC and 4ºC |
author_facet |
Santos, Diego Jatobá dos Pedra, George Ulguim Silva, Marcelo Guatura Barbosa da Guimarães Júnior, Carlos Augusto Alves, Lincoln Muniz Sampaio, Gilvan Marengo, José Antônio |
author_sort |
Santos, Diego Jatobá dos |
title |
Future rainfall and temperature changes in Brazil under global warming levels of 1.5ºC, 2ºC and 4ºC |
title_short |
Future rainfall and temperature changes in Brazil under global warming levels of 1.5ºC, 2ºC and 4ºC |
title_full |
Future rainfall and temperature changes in Brazil under global warming levels of 1.5ºC, 2ºC and 4ºC |
title_fullStr |
Future rainfall and temperature changes in Brazil under global warming levels of 1.5ºC, 2ºC and 4ºC |
title_full_unstemmed |
Future rainfall and temperature changes in Brazil under global warming levels of 1.5ºC, 2ºC and 4ºC |
title_sort |
future rainfall and temperature changes in brazil under global warming levels of 1.5ºc, 2ºc and 4ºc |
publisher |
Editora de Livros IABS |
publishDate |
2020 |
url |
https://periodicos.unb.br/index.php/sust/article/view/33933 https://doi.org/10.18472/SustDeb.v11n3.2020.33933 |
genre |
Sea ice |
genre_facet |
Sea ice |
op_source |
Sustainability in Debate; Vol. 11 No. 3 (2020): Sustainability in Debate / Sustentabilidade em Debate; 57 - 90 Sustainability in Debate; Vol. 11 Núm. 3 (2020): Sustainability in Debate / Sustentabilidade em Debate; 57 - 90 Sustainability in Debate; v. 11 n. 3 (2020): Sustainability in Debate / Sustentabilidade em Debate; 57 - 90 2179-9067 2177-7675 |
op_relation |
https://periodicos.unb.br/index.php/sust/article/view/33933/28547 https://periodicos.unb.br/index.php/sust/article/view/33933/28548 https://periodicos.unb.br/index.php/sust/article/view/33933 doi:10.18472/SustDeb.v11n3.2020.33933 |
op_rights |
Copyright (c) 2020 Sustentabilidade em Debate http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0 |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.18472/SustDeb.v11n3.2020.33933 |
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Sustentabilidade em Debate |
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11 |
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3 |
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57 |
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90 |
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