ENSO influence on Europe during the last centuries
El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) affects climate not only in the Pacific region and the tropics, but also in the North Atlantic-European area. Studies based on twentieth-century data have found that El Niño events tend to be accompanied in late winter by a negative North Atlantic Oscillation inde...
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ftunivbern:oai:boris.unibe.ch:20735 2023-08-20T04:08:18+02:00 ENSO influence on Europe during the last centuries Brönnimann, S. Xoplaki, Elena Casty, C. Pauling, A. Luterbacher, Jürg 2007 application/pdf https://boris.unibe.ch/20735/1/Br_nnimann2007_Article_ENSOInfluenceOnEuropeDuringThe.pdf https://boris.unibe.ch/20735/ eng eng Springer-Verlag https://boris.unibe.ch/20735/ info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess Brönnimann, S.; Xoplaki, Elena; Casty, C.; Pauling, A.; Luterbacher, Jürg (2007). ENSO influence on Europe during the last centuries. Climate dynamics, 28(2-3), pp. 181-197. Heidelberg: Springer-Verlag 10.1007/s00382-006-0175-z <http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-006-0175-z> 530 Physics 910 Geography & travel info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion PeerReviewed 2007 ftunivbern https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-006-0175-z 2023-07-31T20:44:44Z El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) affects climate not only in the Pacific region and the tropics, but also in the North Atlantic-European area. Studies based on twentieth-century data have found that El Niño events tend to be accompanied in late winter by a negative North Atlantic Oscillation index, low temperatures in northeastern Europe and a change in precipitation patterns. However, many questions are open, for example, concerning the stationarity of this relation. Here we study the relation between ENSO and European climate during the past 500 years based on statistically reconstructed ENSO indices, early instrumental station series, and reconstructed fields of surface air temperature, sea-level pressure, precipitation, and 500 hPa geopotential height. After removing years following tropical volcanic eruptions (which systematically mask the ENSO signal), we find a consistent and statistically significant ENSO signal in late winter and spring. The responses to El Niño and La Niña are close to symmetric. In agreement with studies using twentieth-century data only, the ENSO signal in precipitation is different in fall than in late winter. Moving correlation analyses confirm a stationary relationship between ENSO and late winter climate in Europe during the past 300 years. However, the ENSO signal is modulated significantly by the North Pacific climate. A multi-field cluster analysis for strong ENSO events during the past 300 years yields a dominant pair of clusters that is symmetric and represents the ‘classical’ ENSO effects on Europe. Article in Journal/Newspaper North Atlantic North Atlantic oscillation BORIS (Bern Open Repository and Information System, University of Bern) Pacific Climate Dynamics 28 2-3 181 197 |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
BORIS (Bern Open Repository and Information System, University of Bern) |
op_collection_id |
ftunivbern |
language |
English |
topic |
530 Physics 910 Geography & travel |
spellingShingle |
530 Physics 910 Geography & travel Brönnimann, S. Xoplaki, Elena Casty, C. Pauling, A. Luterbacher, Jürg ENSO influence on Europe during the last centuries |
topic_facet |
530 Physics 910 Geography & travel |
description |
El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) affects climate not only in the Pacific region and the tropics, but also in the North Atlantic-European area. Studies based on twentieth-century data have found that El Niño events tend to be accompanied in late winter by a negative North Atlantic Oscillation index, low temperatures in northeastern Europe and a change in precipitation patterns. However, many questions are open, for example, concerning the stationarity of this relation. Here we study the relation between ENSO and European climate during the past 500 years based on statistically reconstructed ENSO indices, early instrumental station series, and reconstructed fields of surface air temperature, sea-level pressure, precipitation, and 500 hPa geopotential height. After removing years following tropical volcanic eruptions (which systematically mask the ENSO signal), we find a consistent and statistically significant ENSO signal in late winter and spring. The responses to El Niño and La Niña are close to symmetric. In agreement with studies using twentieth-century data only, the ENSO signal in precipitation is different in fall than in late winter. Moving correlation analyses confirm a stationary relationship between ENSO and late winter climate in Europe during the past 300 years. However, the ENSO signal is modulated significantly by the North Pacific climate. A multi-field cluster analysis for strong ENSO events during the past 300 years yields a dominant pair of clusters that is symmetric and represents the ‘classical’ ENSO effects on Europe. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Brönnimann, S. Xoplaki, Elena Casty, C. Pauling, A. Luterbacher, Jürg |
author_facet |
Brönnimann, S. Xoplaki, Elena Casty, C. Pauling, A. Luterbacher, Jürg |
author_sort |
Brönnimann, S. |
title |
ENSO influence on Europe during the last centuries |
title_short |
ENSO influence on Europe during the last centuries |
title_full |
ENSO influence on Europe during the last centuries |
title_fullStr |
ENSO influence on Europe during the last centuries |
title_full_unstemmed |
ENSO influence on Europe during the last centuries |
title_sort |
enso influence on europe during the last centuries |
publisher |
Springer-Verlag |
publishDate |
2007 |
url |
https://boris.unibe.ch/20735/1/Br_nnimann2007_Article_ENSOInfluenceOnEuropeDuringThe.pdf https://boris.unibe.ch/20735/ |
geographic |
Pacific |
geographic_facet |
Pacific |
genre |
North Atlantic North Atlantic oscillation |
genre_facet |
North Atlantic North Atlantic oscillation |
op_source |
Brönnimann, S.; Xoplaki, Elena; Casty, C.; Pauling, A.; Luterbacher, Jürg (2007). ENSO influence on Europe during the last centuries. Climate dynamics, 28(2-3), pp. 181-197. Heidelberg: Springer-Verlag 10.1007/s00382-006-0175-z <http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-006-0175-z> |
op_relation |
https://boris.unibe.ch/20735/ |
op_rights |
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-006-0175-z |
container_title |
Climate Dynamics |
container_volume |
28 |
container_issue |
2-3 |
container_start_page |
181 |
op_container_end_page |
197 |
_version_ |
1774720478912446464 |