Forecasting stock-specific upriver migration timing of chinook salmon in the Yukon River
Thesis (M.S.) University of Alaska Fairbanks, 2016 Pacific salmon (Oncorhynchus spp.) are an economically and culturally important genus of fishes endemic to the North Pacific. Their sustainable management depends on an understanding of the drivers of their abundance and migration dynamics. In many...
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ftunivalaska:oai:scholarworks.alaska.edu:11122/7304 2023-05-15T18:45:57+02:00 Forecasting stock-specific upriver migration timing of chinook salmon in the Yukon River Mecum, Bryce Douglas Adkison, Milo D. Quinn, Terrance J. II Toshihide, Hamazaki Mundy, Phillip R. 2016-12 http://hdl.handle.net/11122/7304 en_US eng http://hdl.handle.net/11122/7304 Department of Fisheries Thesis ms 2016 ftunivalaska 2023-02-23T21:36:48Z Thesis (M.S.) University of Alaska Fairbanks, 2016 Pacific salmon (Oncorhynchus spp.) are an economically and culturally important genus of fishes endemic to the North Pacific. Their sustainable management depends on an understanding of the drivers of their abundance and migration dynamics. In many instances, statistical models are employed to predict abundance and run timing before harvest takes place to more effectively meet management objectives. In this thesis, I created a general-purpose predictive model of run timing that can be applied to many salmon populations. I then applied it to Yukon River Chinook salmon (O. tshawytscha) by generating pre-season predictions of inriver run timing, which I then compared with existing observations of run timing at two upriver locations. Prediction errors were low enough for the model to be useful to management. Models such as the one created in this study represent an objective tool that can be used to reduce subjectivity in fisheries management. Thesis Yukon river Alaska Yukon University of Alaska: ScholarWorks@UA Fairbanks Pacific Yukon |
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Open Polar |
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University of Alaska: ScholarWorks@UA |
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ftunivalaska |
language |
English |
description |
Thesis (M.S.) University of Alaska Fairbanks, 2016 Pacific salmon (Oncorhynchus spp.) are an economically and culturally important genus of fishes endemic to the North Pacific. Their sustainable management depends on an understanding of the drivers of their abundance and migration dynamics. In many instances, statistical models are employed to predict abundance and run timing before harvest takes place to more effectively meet management objectives. In this thesis, I created a general-purpose predictive model of run timing that can be applied to many salmon populations. I then applied it to Yukon River Chinook salmon (O. tshawytscha) by generating pre-season predictions of inriver run timing, which I then compared with existing observations of run timing at two upriver locations. Prediction errors were low enough for the model to be useful to management. Models such as the one created in this study represent an objective tool that can be used to reduce subjectivity in fisheries management. |
author2 |
Adkison, Milo D. Quinn, Terrance J. II Toshihide, Hamazaki Mundy, Phillip R. |
format |
Thesis |
author |
Mecum, Bryce Douglas |
spellingShingle |
Mecum, Bryce Douglas Forecasting stock-specific upriver migration timing of chinook salmon in the Yukon River |
author_facet |
Mecum, Bryce Douglas |
author_sort |
Mecum, Bryce Douglas |
title |
Forecasting stock-specific upriver migration timing of chinook salmon in the Yukon River |
title_short |
Forecasting stock-specific upriver migration timing of chinook salmon in the Yukon River |
title_full |
Forecasting stock-specific upriver migration timing of chinook salmon in the Yukon River |
title_fullStr |
Forecasting stock-specific upriver migration timing of chinook salmon in the Yukon River |
title_full_unstemmed |
Forecasting stock-specific upriver migration timing of chinook salmon in the Yukon River |
title_sort |
forecasting stock-specific upriver migration timing of chinook salmon in the yukon river |
publishDate |
2016 |
url |
http://hdl.handle.net/11122/7304 |
geographic |
Fairbanks Pacific Yukon |
geographic_facet |
Fairbanks Pacific Yukon |
genre |
Yukon river Alaska Yukon |
genre_facet |
Yukon river Alaska Yukon |
op_relation |
http://hdl.handle.net/11122/7304 Department of Fisheries |
_version_ |
1766237169748279296 |