Chapter 6: Vegetation
This assessment evaluates the effects of future climate change on a select set of ecological systems and ecosystem services in Alaska’s Kenai Peninsula and Chugach National Forest regions. The focus of the assessment was established during a multi-agency/organization workshop that established the go...
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U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station
2016
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ftunivalaska:oai:scholarworks.alaska.edu:11122/11953 2023-05-15T15:13:43+02:00 Chapter 6: Vegetation Berman, Matthew DeVelice, Robert Hollingsworth, Teresa Nettleton Bella, Elizabeth Carlson, Matthew L. Clark, Paul Barrett, Tara Hayward, Gregory D. Lundquist, John Magness, Dawn Robin Schwoerer, Tobias 2016 http://hdl.handle.net/11122/11953 en_US eng U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station http://hdl.handle.net/11122/11953 Climate Change Vulnerability Assessment for the Chugach National Forest and the Kenai Peninsula arctic communities vegetation kenai peninsula chugach climate change salmon glacier wildlife seascapes snow scenarios adaptive capacity Book chapter 2016 ftunivalaska 2023-02-23T21:37:48Z This assessment evaluates the effects of future climate change on a select set of ecological systems and ecosystem services in Alaska’s Kenai Peninsula and Chugach National Forest regions. The focus of the assessment was established during a multi-agency/organization workshop that established the goal to conduct a rigorous evaluation of a limited range of topics rather than produce a broad overview. The report explores the potential consequences of climate change for: (a) snowpack, glaciers, and winter recreation; (b) coastal landscapes and associated environments, (c) vegetation, (d) salmon, and (e) a select set of wildlife species. During the next half century, directional change associated with warming temperatures and increased precipitation will result in dramatic reductions in snow cover at low elevations, continued retreat of glaciers, substantial changes in the hydrologic regime for an estimated 8.5 percent of watersheds, and potentially an increase in the abundance of pink salmon. In contrast to some portions of the Earth, apparent sealevel rise is likely to be low for much of the assessment region owing to interactions between tectonic processes and sea conditions. Shrubs and forests are projected to continue moving to higher elevations, reducing the extent of alpine tundra and potentially further affecting snow levels. Opportunities for alternative forms of outdoor recreation and subsistence activities that include sled-dog mushing, hiking, hunting, and travel using across-snow vehicles will change as snowpack levels, frozen soils, and vegetation change over time. There was a projected 66-percent increase in the estimated value of human structures (e.g. homes, businesses) that are at risk to fire in the next half century on the Kenai Peninsula, and a potential expansion of invasive plants, particularly along roads, trails, and waterways. Book Part Arctic Climate change Pink salmon Tundra University of Alaska: ScholarWorks@UA Arctic Salmon Glacier ENVELOPE(-130.056,-130.056,56.117,56.117) |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
University of Alaska: ScholarWorks@UA |
op_collection_id |
ftunivalaska |
language |
English |
topic |
arctic communities vegetation kenai peninsula chugach climate change salmon glacier wildlife seascapes snow scenarios adaptive capacity |
spellingShingle |
arctic communities vegetation kenai peninsula chugach climate change salmon glacier wildlife seascapes snow scenarios adaptive capacity Berman, Matthew DeVelice, Robert Hollingsworth, Teresa Nettleton Bella, Elizabeth Carlson, Matthew L. Clark, Paul Barrett, Tara Hayward, Gregory D. Lundquist, John Magness, Dawn Robin Schwoerer, Tobias Chapter 6: Vegetation |
topic_facet |
arctic communities vegetation kenai peninsula chugach climate change salmon glacier wildlife seascapes snow scenarios adaptive capacity |
description |
This assessment evaluates the effects of future climate change on a select set of ecological systems and ecosystem services in Alaska’s Kenai Peninsula and Chugach National Forest regions. The focus of the assessment was established during a multi-agency/organization workshop that established the goal to conduct a rigorous evaluation of a limited range of topics rather than produce a broad overview. The report explores the potential consequences of climate change for: (a) snowpack, glaciers, and winter recreation; (b) coastal landscapes and associated environments, (c) vegetation, (d) salmon, and (e) a select set of wildlife species. During the next half century, directional change associated with warming temperatures and increased precipitation will result in dramatic reductions in snow cover at low elevations, continued retreat of glaciers, substantial changes in the hydrologic regime for an estimated 8.5 percent of watersheds, and potentially an increase in the abundance of pink salmon. In contrast to some portions of the Earth, apparent sealevel rise is likely to be low for much of the assessment region owing to interactions between tectonic processes and sea conditions. Shrubs and forests are projected to continue moving to higher elevations, reducing the extent of alpine tundra and potentially further affecting snow levels. Opportunities for alternative forms of outdoor recreation and subsistence activities that include sled-dog mushing, hiking, hunting, and travel using across-snow vehicles will change as snowpack levels, frozen soils, and vegetation change over time. There was a projected 66-percent increase in the estimated value of human structures (e.g. homes, businesses) that are at risk to fire in the next half century on the Kenai Peninsula, and a potential expansion of invasive plants, particularly along roads, trails, and waterways. |
format |
Book Part |
author |
Berman, Matthew DeVelice, Robert Hollingsworth, Teresa Nettleton Bella, Elizabeth Carlson, Matthew L. Clark, Paul Barrett, Tara Hayward, Gregory D. Lundquist, John Magness, Dawn Robin Schwoerer, Tobias |
author_facet |
Berman, Matthew DeVelice, Robert Hollingsworth, Teresa Nettleton Bella, Elizabeth Carlson, Matthew L. Clark, Paul Barrett, Tara Hayward, Gregory D. Lundquist, John Magness, Dawn Robin Schwoerer, Tobias |
author_sort |
Berman, Matthew |
title |
Chapter 6: Vegetation |
title_short |
Chapter 6: Vegetation |
title_full |
Chapter 6: Vegetation |
title_fullStr |
Chapter 6: Vegetation |
title_full_unstemmed |
Chapter 6: Vegetation |
title_sort |
chapter 6: vegetation |
publisher |
U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station |
publishDate |
2016 |
url |
http://hdl.handle.net/11122/11953 |
long_lat |
ENVELOPE(-130.056,-130.056,56.117,56.117) |
geographic |
Arctic Salmon Glacier |
geographic_facet |
Arctic Salmon Glacier |
genre |
Arctic Climate change Pink salmon Tundra |
genre_facet |
Arctic Climate change Pink salmon Tundra |
op_source |
Climate Change Vulnerability Assessment for the Chugach National Forest and the Kenai Peninsula |
op_relation |
http://hdl.handle.net/11122/11953 |
_version_ |
1766344242144215040 |