Climate change and interconnected risks to sustainable development in the Mediterranean

• Published in: Nature Climate Change
• Main Authors: Cramer, Wolfgang, Guiot, Joel, Fader, Marianela, Garrabou, Joaquim, Gattuso, Jean-Pierre, Iglesias, Ana, Lange, Manfred, A., Lionello, Piero, Llasat, Maria Carmen, Paz, Shlomit, Penuelas, Josep, Snoussi, Maria, Toreti, Andrea, Tsimplis, Michael, N., Xoplaki, Elena
• Other Authors: Institut méditerranéen de biodiversité et d'écologie marine et continentale (IMBE), Avignon Université (AU)-Aix Marseille Université (AMU)-Institut de recherche pour le développement IRD : UMR237-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS), Centre européen de recherche et d'enseignement des géosciences de l'environnement (CEREGE), Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD)-Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique (INRA)-Aix Marseille Université (AMU)-Collège de France (CdF (institution))-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS), International Centre for Water Resources and Global Change, Federal Institute of Hydrology, Institute of Marine Sciences / Institut de Ciències del Mar Barcelona (ICM), Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Cientificas España = Spanish National Research Council Spain (CSIC), Institut méditerranéen d'océanologie (MIO), Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD)-Aix Marseille Université (AMU)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Université de Toulon (UTLN)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS), Laboratoire d'océanographie de Villefranche (LOV), Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Sorbonne Université (SU)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Institut de la Mer de Villefranche (IMEV), Sorbonne Université (SU)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Sorbonne Université (SU)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS), Universidad Carlos III de Madrid Madrid (UC3M), Energy, Environment and Water Research Center (EEWRC), Cyprus Institute (CyI), Department of Physics Lecce, Università del Salento Lecce, Department of Applied Physics, University of Barcelona, Department of Geography and Environmental Studies Haifa, University of Haifa Haifa, Centre de Recerca Ecològica i Aplicacions Forestals (CREAF), Université Mohammed V de Rabat Agdal (UM5), European Commission - Joint Research Centre Ispra (JRC), City University of Hong Kong Hong Kong (CUHK), Department of Geography, Justus-Liebig- University, Justus-Liebig-Universität Gießen = Justus Liebig University (JLU), ANR-11-LABX-0061,OTMed,Objectif Terre : Bassin Méditerranéen(2011)
• Format: Article in Journal/Newspaper
• Language: English
• Published: HAL CCSD 2018
• Subjects: Sea-Level Rise; Change Impacts; Global Change; Change Projections; Paris Agreement; Heat Waves; Water; Region; Ocean Acidification; Europe; [SDE]Environmental Sciences; Ocean acidification
• Online Access: https://hal.science/hal-01911390; https://hal.science/hal-01911390/document; https://hal.science/hal-01911390/file/Cramer%20et%20al%202018%20NatureClimateChange.pdf; https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-018-0299-2

International audience Recent accelerated climate change has exacerbated existing environmental problems in the Mediterranean Basin that are caused by the combination of changes in land use, increasing pollution and declining biodiversity. For five broad and interconnected impact domains (water, ecosystems, food, health and security), current change and future scenarios consistently point to significant and increasing risks during the coming decades. Policies for the sustainable development of Mediterranean countries need to mitigate these risks and consider adaptation options, but currently lack adequate information — particularly for the most vulnerable southern Mediterranean societies, where fewer systematic observations schemes and impact models are based. A dedicated effort to synthesize existing scientific knowledge across disciplines is underway and aims to provide a better understanding of the combined risks posed.