Last Glacial Maximum temperatures over the North Atlantic, Europe and western Siberia: a comparison between PMIP models, MARGO sea-surface temperatures and pollen-based reconstructions
International audience Evaluating the ability of models to simulate climates different from the modern one is important for climate prediction. Here we present a first comparison between results from simulations of the Last Glacial Maximum climate and continental and surface ocean reconstructions fo...
Published in: | Quaternary Science Reviews |
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Main Authors: | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , |
Other Authors: | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , |
Format: | Article in Journal/Newspaper |
Language: | English |
Published: |
HAL CCSD
2006
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Subjects: | |
Online Access: | https://hal.science/hal-01457694 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2006.02.010 |
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ftunivaixmarseil:oai:HAL:hal-01457694v1 |
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institution |
Open Polar |
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Aix-Marseille Université: HAL |
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ftunivaixmarseil |
language |
English |
topic |
[SDE.MCG]Environmental Sciences/Global Changes |
spellingShingle |
[SDE.MCG]Environmental Sciences/Global Changes Kageyama, M. Laîné, A. Abe-Ouchi, A. Braconnot, P. Cortijo, Elsa Crucifix, M. Vernal, A., De Guiot, Joel Hewitt, C. D. Kitoh, A. Kucera, M. Marti, O. Ohgaito, R. Otto-Bliesner, B. Peltier, W. R. Rosell-Melé, A. Vettoretti, G. Weber, S. L. Yu, Y. Members, Margo Project Last Glacial Maximum temperatures over the North Atlantic, Europe and western Siberia: a comparison between PMIP models, MARGO sea-surface temperatures and pollen-based reconstructions |
topic_facet |
[SDE.MCG]Environmental Sciences/Global Changes |
description |
International audience Evaluating the ability of models to simulate climates different from the modern one is important for climate prediction. Here we present a first comparison between results from simulations of the Last Glacial Maximum climate and continental and surface ocean reconstructions for the North Atlantic, Europe and western Siberia. The simulations include prescribed sea surface temperature (SST) and slab-ocean atmospheric general circulation model runs performed within the PMIP1 project, and atmosphere-ocean fully coupled runs performed after PMIP1 and within the PMIP2 project. The surface ocean reconstructions are from the MARGO project. Continental reconstructions are based on pollen data. Over the North Atlantic, most models simulate the strengthening of the SST meridional gradient suggested by the reconstructions, but most do not reproduce the LGM-control SST anomaly at the right location, nor with the right amplitude. Over western Siberia, the model results are much improved when a new ice-sheet reconstruction (ICE-5G) is used to force the models. The main discrepancy remains for western Europe winter temperatures, for which LGM-control anomalies are significantly underestimated by all models. All models indicate that this region during the LGM experienced significantly higher interannual variability in coldest-month temperatures compared to the control runs. This increased variability could have conspired to bias the apparently extremely cold pollen-based temperature reconstructions. Crown Copyright (c) 2006 Published by Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. |
author2 |
Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement Gif-sur-Yvette (LSCE) Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Université Paris-Saclay-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Direction de Recherche Fondamentale (CEA) (DRF (CEA)) Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA) Modélisation du climat (CLIM) Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Université Paris-Saclay-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Direction de Recherche Fondamentale (CEA) (DRF (CEA)) Center for Climate System Research Kashiwa (CCSR) The University of Tokyo (UTokyo) Modelling the Earth Response to Multiple Anthropogenic Interactions and Dynamics (MERMAID) Paléocéanographie (PALEOCEAN) Met Office Hadley Centre (MOHC) United Kingdom Met Office Exeter Université Catholique de Louvain = Catholic University of Louvain (UCL) Centre européen de recherche et d'enseignement des géosciences de l'environnement (CEREGE) Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD)-Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique (INRA)-Aix Marseille Université (AMU)-Collège de France (CdF (institution))-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS) Meteorological Research Institute Tsukuba (MRI) Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) Institute of Geosciences Eberhard Karls Universität Tübingen = Eberhard Karls University of Tuebingen Frontier Research Center for Global Change (FRCGC) Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology (JAMSTEC) National Center for Atmospheric Research Boulder (NCAR) Department of Physics Toronto University of Toronto Institute of Environmental Science and Technology Barcelona (ICTA) Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona = Autonomous University of Barcelona = Universidad Autónoma de Barcelona (UAB) Institució Catalana de Recerca i Estudis Avançats = Catalan Institution for Research and Advanced Studies (ICREA) Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) Laboratory of Numerical Modeling for Atmospheric Sciences and Geophysical Fluid Dynamics (LASG) Institute of Atmospheric Physics Beijing (IAP) Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing (CAS)-Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing (CAS) |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Kageyama, M. Laîné, A. Abe-Ouchi, A. Braconnot, P. Cortijo, Elsa Crucifix, M. Vernal, A., De Guiot, Joel Hewitt, C. D. Kitoh, A. Kucera, M. Marti, O. Ohgaito, R. Otto-Bliesner, B. Peltier, W. R. Rosell-Melé, A. Vettoretti, G. Weber, S. L. Yu, Y. Members, Margo Project |
author_facet |
Kageyama, M. Laîné, A. Abe-Ouchi, A. Braconnot, P. Cortijo, Elsa Crucifix, M. Vernal, A., De Guiot, Joel Hewitt, C. D. Kitoh, A. Kucera, M. Marti, O. Ohgaito, R. Otto-Bliesner, B. Peltier, W. R. Rosell-Melé, A. Vettoretti, G. Weber, S. L. Yu, Y. Members, Margo Project |
author_sort |
Kageyama, M. |
title |
Last Glacial Maximum temperatures over the North Atlantic, Europe and western Siberia: a comparison between PMIP models, MARGO sea-surface temperatures and pollen-based reconstructions |
title_short |
Last Glacial Maximum temperatures over the North Atlantic, Europe and western Siberia: a comparison between PMIP models, MARGO sea-surface temperatures and pollen-based reconstructions |
title_full |
Last Glacial Maximum temperatures over the North Atlantic, Europe and western Siberia: a comparison between PMIP models, MARGO sea-surface temperatures and pollen-based reconstructions |
title_fullStr |
Last Glacial Maximum temperatures over the North Atlantic, Europe and western Siberia: a comparison between PMIP models, MARGO sea-surface temperatures and pollen-based reconstructions |
title_full_unstemmed |
Last Glacial Maximum temperatures over the North Atlantic, Europe and western Siberia: a comparison between PMIP models, MARGO sea-surface temperatures and pollen-based reconstructions |
title_sort |
last glacial maximum temperatures over the north atlantic, europe and western siberia: a comparison between pmip models, margo sea-surface temperatures and pollen-based reconstructions |
publisher |
HAL CCSD |
publishDate |
2006 |
url |
https://hal.science/hal-01457694 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2006.02.010 |
genre |
Ice Sheet North Atlantic Siberia |
genre_facet |
Ice Sheet North Atlantic Siberia |
op_source |
ISSN: 0277-3791 EISSN: 1873-457X Quaternary Science Reviews https://hal.science/hal-01457694 Quaternary Science Reviews, 2006, 25 (17-18), pp.2082-2102. ⟨10.1016/j.quascirev.2006.02.010⟩ |
op_relation |
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1016/j.quascirev.2006.02.010 hal-01457694 https://hal.science/hal-01457694 doi:10.1016/j.quascirev.2006.02.010 |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2006.02.010 |
container_title |
Quaternary Science Reviews |
container_volume |
25 |
container_issue |
17-18 |
container_start_page |
2082 |
op_container_end_page |
2102 |
_version_ |
1798847680165707776 |
spelling |
ftunivaixmarseil:oai:HAL:hal-01457694v1 2024-05-12T08:05:23+00:00 Last Glacial Maximum temperatures over the North Atlantic, Europe and western Siberia: a comparison between PMIP models, MARGO sea-surface temperatures and pollen-based reconstructions Kageyama, M. Laîné, A. Abe-Ouchi, A. Braconnot, P. Cortijo, Elsa Crucifix, M. Vernal, A., De Guiot, Joel Hewitt, C. D. Kitoh, A. Kucera, M. Marti, O. Ohgaito, R. Otto-Bliesner, B. Peltier, W. R. Rosell-Melé, A. Vettoretti, G. Weber, S. L. Yu, Y. Members, Margo Project Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement Gif-sur-Yvette (LSCE) Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Université Paris-Saclay-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Direction de Recherche Fondamentale (CEA) (DRF (CEA)) Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA) Modélisation du climat (CLIM) Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Université Paris-Saclay-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Direction de Recherche Fondamentale (CEA) (DRF (CEA)) Center for Climate System Research Kashiwa (CCSR) The University of Tokyo (UTokyo) Modelling the Earth Response to Multiple Anthropogenic Interactions and Dynamics (MERMAID) Paléocéanographie (PALEOCEAN) Met Office Hadley Centre (MOHC) United Kingdom Met Office Exeter Université Catholique de Louvain = Catholic University of Louvain (UCL) Centre européen de recherche et d'enseignement des géosciences de l'environnement (CEREGE) Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD)-Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique (INRA)-Aix Marseille Université (AMU)-Collège de France (CdF (institution))-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS) Meteorological Research Institute Tsukuba (MRI) Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) Institute of Geosciences Eberhard Karls Universität Tübingen = Eberhard Karls University of Tuebingen Frontier Research Center for Global Change (FRCGC) Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology (JAMSTEC) National Center for Atmospheric Research Boulder (NCAR) Department of Physics Toronto University of Toronto Institute of Environmental Science and Technology Barcelona (ICTA) Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona = Autonomous University of Barcelona = Universidad Autónoma de Barcelona (UAB) Institució Catalana de Recerca i Estudis Avançats = Catalan Institution for Research and Advanced Studies (ICREA) Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) Laboratory of Numerical Modeling for Atmospheric Sciences and Geophysical Fluid Dynamics (LASG) Institute of Atmospheric Physics Beijing (IAP) Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing (CAS)-Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing (CAS) 2006-09 https://hal.science/hal-01457694 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2006.02.010 en eng HAL CCSD Elsevier info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1016/j.quascirev.2006.02.010 hal-01457694 https://hal.science/hal-01457694 doi:10.1016/j.quascirev.2006.02.010 ISSN: 0277-3791 EISSN: 1873-457X Quaternary Science Reviews https://hal.science/hal-01457694 Quaternary Science Reviews, 2006, 25 (17-18), pp.2082-2102. ⟨10.1016/j.quascirev.2006.02.010⟩ [SDE.MCG]Environmental Sciences/Global Changes info:eu-repo/semantics/article Journal articles 2006 ftunivaixmarseil https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2006.02.010 2024-04-18T00:37:05Z International audience Evaluating the ability of models to simulate climates different from the modern one is important for climate prediction. Here we present a first comparison between results from simulations of the Last Glacial Maximum climate and continental and surface ocean reconstructions for the North Atlantic, Europe and western Siberia. The simulations include prescribed sea surface temperature (SST) and slab-ocean atmospheric general circulation model runs performed within the PMIP1 project, and atmosphere-ocean fully coupled runs performed after PMIP1 and within the PMIP2 project. The surface ocean reconstructions are from the MARGO project. Continental reconstructions are based on pollen data. Over the North Atlantic, most models simulate the strengthening of the SST meridional gradient suggested by the reconstructions, but most do not reproduce the LGM-control SST anomaly at the right location, nor with the right amplitude. Over western Siberia, the model results are much improved when a new ice-sheet reconstruction (ICE-5G) is used to force the models. The main discrepancy remains for western Europe winter temperatures, for which LGM-control anomalies are significantly underestimated by all models. All models indicate that this region during the LGM experienced significantly higher interannual variability in coldest-month temperatures compared to the control runs. This increased variability could have conspired to bias the apparently extremely cold pollen-based temperature reconstructions. Crown Copyright (c) 2006 Published by Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. Article in Journal/Newspaper Ice Sheet North Atlantic Siberia Aix-Marseille Université: HAL Quaternary Science Reviews 25 17-18 2082 2102 |