Quantification of the Arctic Sea Ice-Driven Atmospheric Circulation Variability in Coordinated Large Ensemble Simulations
International audience A coordinated set of large ensemble atmosphere-only simulations is used to investigate the impacts of observed Arctic sea ice-driven variability (SIDV) on the atmospheric circulation during 1979-2014. The experimental protocol permits separating Arctic SIDV from internal varia...
Published in: | Geophysical Research Letters |
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Main Authors: | , , , , , , , , , , , , , |
Other Authors: | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , |
Format: | Article in Journal/Newspaper |
Language: | English |
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HAL CCSD
2020
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Online Access: | https://hal.sorbonne-universite.fr/hal-02495565 https://hal.sorbonne-universite.fr/hal-02495565/document https://hal.sorbonne-universite.fr/hal-02495565/file/Liang_et_al-2020-Geophysical_Research_Letters.pdf https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL085397 |
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Archives ouvertes de Paris-Saclay |
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ftuniparissaclay |
language |
English |
topic |
[PHYS.PHYS.PHYS-GEO-PH]Physics [physics]/Physics [physics]/Geophysics [physics.geo-ph] |
spellingShingle |
[PHYS.PHYS.PHYS-GEO-PH]Physics [physics]/Physics [physics]/Geophysics [physics.geo-ph] Liang, Yu‐chiao Kwon, Young‐Oh Frankignoul, Claude Danabasoglu, Gokhan Yeager, Stephen Cherchi, Annalisa Gao, Yongqi Gastineau, Guillaume Ghosh, Rohit Matei, Daniela Mecking, Jennifer, V. Peano, Daniele Suo, Lingling Tian, Tian Quantification of the Arctic Sea Ice-Driven Atmospheric Circulation Variability in Coordinated Large Ensemble Simulations |
topic_facet |
[PHYS.PHYS.PHYS-GEO-PH]Physics [physics]/Physics [physics]/Geophysics [physics.geo-ph] |
description |
International audience A coordinated set of large ensemble atmosphere-only simulations is used to investigate the impacts of observed Arctic sea ice-driven variability (SIDV) on the atmospheric circulation during 1979-2014. The experimental protocol permits separating Arctic SIDV from internal variability and variability driven by other forcings including sea surface temperature and greenhouse gases. The geographic pattern of SIDV is consistent across seven participating models, but its magnitude strongly depends on ensemble size. Based on 130 members, winter SIDV is~0.18 hPa 2 for Arctic-averaged sea level pressure (~1.5% of the total variance), and~0.35 K 2 for surface air temperature (~21%) at interannual and longer timescales. The results suggest that more than 100 (40) members are needed to separate Arctic SIDV from other components for dynamical (thermodynamical) variables, and insufficient ensemble size always leads to overestimation of SIDV. Nevertheless, SIDV is 0.75-1.5 times as large as the variability driven by other forcings over northern Eurasia and Arctic. Plain Language Summary Changing Arctic sea ice conditions since the late 1970s have exerted profound impacts on environment and ecosystem at the high latitudes and have been suggested to affect midlatitude weather and climate, although this topic has been controversial. In order to improve our understanding on how Arctic sea ice changes influence local and remote weather and climate, a coordinated set of experiments has been performed using various state-of-the-art atmosphere-only models to study the linkages between the Arctic climate change and lower latitudes. This study uses seven models following a common experimental protocol to investigate the atmospheric circulation changes forced by Arctic sea ice variability. The protocol allows the Arctic sea ice-driven variability (SIDV) to be singled out. In boreal winter, the Arctic SIDV is~0.18 hPa 2 and accounts for only~1.5% of the total variance for sea level pressure, while it is~0.35 K 2 ... |
author2 |
Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution (WHOI) Océan et variabilité du climat (VARCLIM) Laboratoire d'Océanographie et du Climat : Expérimentations et Approches Numériques (LOCEAN) Muséum national d'Histoire naturelle (MNHN)-Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Sorbonne Université (SU)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Institut Pierre-Simon-Laplace (IPSL (FR_636)) École normale supérieure - Paris (ENS-PSL) Université Paris Sciences et Lettres (PSL)-Université Paris Sciences et Lettres (PSL)-Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ)-Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-École polytechnique (X)-Centre National d'Études Spatiales Toulouse (CNES)-Sorbonne Université (SU)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Université Paris Cité (UPCité)-École normale supérieure - Paris (ENS-PSL) Université Paris Sciences et Lettres (PSL)-Université Paris Sciences et Lettres (PSL)-Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ)-Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-École polytechnique (X)-Centre National d'Études Spatiales Toulouse (CNES)-Sorbonne Université (SU)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Université Paris Cité (UPCité)-Muséum national d'Histoire naturelle (MNHN)-Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Sorbonne Université (SU)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Institut Pierre-Simon-Laplace (IPSL (FR_636)) Université Paris Sciences et Lettres (PSL)-Université Paris Sciences et Lettres (PSL)-Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ)-Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-École polytechnique (X)-Centre National d'Études Spatiales Toulouse (CNES)-Sorbonne Université (SU)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Université Paris Cité (UPCité) National Center for Atmospheric Research Boulder (NCAR) Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia - Sezione di Bologna (INGV) Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia Nansen Environmental and Remote Sensing Center Bergen (NERSC) Nansen-Zhu International Research Center (NZC) Institute of Atmospheric Physics Beijing (IAP) Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing (CAS)-Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing (CAS) Max Planck Institute for Meteorology (MPI-M) Max-Planck-Gesellschaft National Oceanography Centre Southampton (NOC) University of Southampton Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change (CMCC) Danish Meteorological Institute (DMI) European Project: 727852,Blue-Action(2016) |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Liang, Yu‐chiao Kwon, Young‐Oh Frankignoul, Claude Danabasoglu, Gokhan Yeager, Stephen Cherchi, Annalisa Gao, Yongqi Gastineau, Guillaume Ghosh, Rohit Matei, Daniela Mecking, Jennifer, V. Peano, Daniele Suo, Lingling Tian, Tian |
author_facet |
Liang, Yu‐chiao Kwon, Young‐Oh Frankignoul, Claude Danabasoglu, Gokhan Yeager, Stephen Cherchi, Annalisa Gao, Yongqi Gastineau, Guillaume Ghosh, Rohit Matei, Daniela Mecking, Jennifer, V. Peano, Daniele Suo, Lingling Tian, Tian |
author_sort |
Liang, Yu‐chiao |
title |
Quantification of the Arctic Sea Ice-Driven Atmospheric Circulation Variability in Coordinated Large Ensemble Simulations |
title_short |
Quantification of the Arctic Sea Ice-Driven Atmospheric Circulation Variability in Coordinated Large Ensemble Simulations |
title_full |
Quantification of the Arctic Sea Ice-Driven Atmospheric Circulation Variability in Coordinated Large Ensemble Simulations |
title_fullStr |
Quantification of the Arctic Sea Ice-Driven Atmospheric Circulation Variability in Coordinated Large Ensemble Simulations |
title_full_unstemmed |
Quantification of the Arctic Sea Ice-Driven Atmospheric Circulation Variability in Coordinated Large Ensemble Simulations |
title_sort |
quantification of the arctic sea ice-driven atmospheric circulation variability in coordinated large ensemble simulations |
publisher |
HAL CCSD |
publishDate |
2020 |
url |
https://hal.sorbonne-universite.fr/hal-02495565 https://hal.sorbonne-universite.fr/hal-02495565/document https://hal.sorbonne-universite.fr/hal-02495565/file/Liang_et_al-2020-Geophysical_Research_Letters.pdf https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL085397 |
genre |
Arctic Arctic Climate change Sea ice |
genre_facet |
Arctic Arctic Climate change Sea ice |
op_source |
ISSN: 0094-8276 EISSN: 1944-8007 Geophysical Research Letters https://hal.sorbonne-universite.fr/hal-02495565 Geophysical Research Letters, 2020, 47 (1), pp.e2019GL085397. ⟨10.1029/2019GL085397⟩ |
op_relation |
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1029/2019GL085397 info:eu-repo/grantAgreement//727852/EU/Blue-Action: Arctic impact on weather and climat/Blue-Action hal-02495565 https://hal.sorbonne-universite.fr/hal-02495565 https://hal.sorbonne-universite.fr/hal-02495565/document https://hal.sorbonne-universite.fr/hal-02495565/file/Liang_et_al-2020-Geophysical_Research_Letters.pdf doi:10.1029/2019GL085397 WOS: 000513983400037 |
op_rights |
info:eu-repo/semantics/OpenAccess |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL085397 |
container_title |
Geophysical Research Letters |
container_volume |
47 |
container_issue |
1 |
_version_ |
1799471416810143744 |
spelling |
ftuniparissaclay:oai:HAL:hal-02495565v1 2024-05-19T07:33:21+00:00 Quantification of the Arctic Sea Ice-Driven Atmospheric Circulation Variability in Coordinated Large Ensemble Simulations Liang, Yu‐chiao Kwon, Young‐Oh Frankignoul, Claude Danabasoglu, Gokhan Yeager, Stephen Cherchi, Annalisa Gao, Yongqi Gastineau, Guillaume Ghosh, Rohit Matei, Daniela Mecking, Jennifer, V. Peano, Daniele Suo, Lingling Tian, Tian Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution (WHOI) Océan et variabilité du climat (VARCLIM) Laboratoire d'Océanographie et du Climat : Expérimentations et Approches Numériques (LOCEAN) Muséum national d'Histoire naturelle (MNHN)-Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Sorbonne Université (SU)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Institut Pierre-Simon-Laplace (IPSL (FR_636)) École normale supérieure - Paris (ENS-PSL) Université Paris Sciences et Lettres (PSL)-Université Paris Sciences et Lettres (PSL)-Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ)-Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-École polytechnique (X)-Centre National d'Études Spatiales Toulouse (CNES)-Sorbonne Université (SU)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Université Paris Cité (UPCité)-École normale supérieure - Paris (ENS-PSL) Université Paris Sciences et Lettres (PSL)-Université Paris Sciences et Lettres (PSL)-Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ)-Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-École polytechnique (X)-Centre National d'Études Spatiales Toulouse (CNES)-Sorbonne Université (SU)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Université Paris Cité (UPCité)-Muséum national d'Histoire naturelle (MNHN)-Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Sorbonne Université (SU)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Institut Pierre-Simon-Laplace (IPSL (FR_636)) Université Paris Sciences et Lettres (PSL)-Université Paris Sciences et Lettres (PSL)-Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ)-Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-École polytechnique (X)-Centre National d'Études Spatiales Toulouse (CNES)-Sorbonne Université (SU)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Université Paris Cité (UPCité) National Center for Atmospheric Research Boulder (NCAR) Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia - Sezione di Bologna (INGV) Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia Nansen Environmental and Remote Sensing Center Bergen (NERSC) Nansen-Zhu International Research Center (NZC) Institute of Atmospheric Physics Beijing (IAP) Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing (CAS)-Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing (CAS) Max Planck Institute for Meteorology (MPI-M) Max-Planck-Gesellschaft National Oceanography Centre Southampton (NOC) University of Southampton Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change (CMCC) Danish Meteorological Institute (DMI) European Project: 727852,Blue-Action(2016) 2020-01-17 https://hal.sorbonne-universite.fr/hal-02495565 https://hal.sorbonne-universite.fr/hal-02495565/document https://hal.sorbonne-universite.fr/hal-02495565/file/Liang_et_al-2020-Geophysical_Research_Letters.pdf https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL085397 en eng HAL CCSD American Geophysical Union info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1029/2019GL085397 info:eu-repo/grantAgreement//727852/EU/Blue-Action: Arctic impact on weather and climat/Blue-Action hal-02495565 https://hal.sorbonne-universite.fr/hal-02495565 https://hal.sorbonne-universite.fr/hal-02495565/document https://hal.sorbonne-universite.fr/hal-02495565/file/Liang_et_al-2020-Geophysical_Research_Letters.pdf doi:10.1029/2019GL085397 WOS: 000513983400037 info:eu-repo/semantics/OpenAccess ISSN: 0094-8276 EISSN: 1944-8007 Geophysical Research Letters https://hal.sorbonne-universite.fr/hal-02495565 Geophysical Research Letters, 2020, 47 (1), pp.e2019GL085397. ⟨10.1029/2019GL085397⟩ [PHYS.PHYS.PHYS-GEO-PH]Physics [physics]/Physics [physics]/Geophysics [physics.geo-ph] info:eu-repo/semantics/article Journal articles 2020 ftuniparissaclay https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL085397 2024-04-22T17:38:54Z International audience A coordinated set of large ensemble atmosphere-only simulations is used to investigate the impacts of observed Arctic sea ice-driven variability (SIDV) on the atmospheric circulation during 1979-2014. The experimental protocol permits separating Arctic SIDV from internal variability and variability driven by other forcings including sea surface temperature and greenhouse gases. The geographic pattern of SIDV is consistent across seven participating models, but its magnitude strongly depends on ensemble size. Based on 130 members, winter SIDV is~0.18 hPa 2 for Arctic-averaged sea level pressure (~1.5% of the total variance), and~0.35 K 2 for surface air temperature (~21%) at interannual and longer timescales. The results suggest that more than 100 (40) members are needed to separate Arctic SIDV from other components for dynamical (thermodynamical) variables, and insufficient ensemble size always leads to overestimation of SIDV. Nevertheless, SIDV is 0.75-1.5 times as large as the variability driven by other forcings over northern Eurasia and Arctic. Plain Language Summary Changing Arctic sea ice conditions since the late 1970s have exerted profound impacts on environment and ecosystem at the high latitudes and have been suggested to affect midlatitude weather and climate, although this topic has been controversial. In order to improve our understanding on how Arctic sea ice changes influence local and remote weather and climate, a coordinated set of experiments has been performed using various state-of-the-art atmosphere-only models to study the linkages between the Arctic climate change and lower latitudes. This study uses seven models following a common experimental protocol to investigate the atmospheric circulation changes forced by Arctic sea ice variability. The protocol allows the Arctic sea ice-driven variability (SIDV) to be singled out. In boreal winter, the Arctic SIDV is~0.18 hPa 2 and accounts for only~1.5% of the total variance for sea level pressure, while it is~0.35 K 2 ... Article in Journal/Newspaper Arctic Arctic Climate change Sea ice Archives ouvertes de Paris-Saclay Geophysical Research Letters 47 1 |