Pan‐Arctic river discharge: Prioritizing monitoring of future climate change hot spots
The Arctic freshwater cycle is changing rapidly, which will require adequate monitoring of river flows to detect, observe, and understand changes and provide adaptation information. There has, however, been little detail about where the greatest flow changes are projected, and where monitoring there...
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ftuninhampshire:oai:scholars.unh.edu:faculty_pubs-1120 2023-05-15T14:36:02+02:00 Pan‐Arctic river discharge: Prioritizing monitoring of future climate change hot spots Bring, Arvid Shiklomanov, Alexander I. Lammers, Richard B. 2016-12-09T08:00:00Z application/pdf https://scholars.unh.edu/faculty_pubs/121 https://scholars.unh.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1120&context=faculty_pubs unknown University of New Hampshire Scholars' Repository https://scholars.unh.edu/faculty_pubs/121 https://scholars.unh.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1120&context=faculty_pubs © 2016 The Authors. http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ CC-BY-NC-ND Faculty Publications Pan‐Arctic river discharge Climate projections Pan‐Arctic Drainage Basin Hydrological monitoring text 2016 ftuninhampshire 2023-01-30T21:49:32Z The Arctic freshwater cycle is changing rapidly, which will require adequate monitoring of river flows to detect, observe, and understand changes and provide adaptation information. There has, however, been little detail about where the greatest flow changes are projected, and where monitoring therefore may need to be strengthened. In this study, we used a set of recent climate model runs and an advanced macro‐scale hydrological model to analyze how flows across the continental pan‐Arctic are projected to change and where the climate models agree on significant changes. We also developed a method to identify where monitoring stations should be placed to observe these significant changes, and compared this set of suggested locations with the existing network of monitoring stations. Overall, our results reinforce earlier indications of large increases in flow over much of the Arctic, but we also identify some areas where projections agree on significant changes but disagree on the sign of change. For monitoring, central and eastern Siberia, Alaska, and central Canada are hot spots for the highest changes. To take advantage of existing networks, a number of stations across central Canada and western and central Siberia could form a prioritized set. Further development of model representation of high‐latitude hydrology would improve confidence in the areas we identify here. Nevertheless, ongoing observation programs may consider these suggested locations in efforts to improve monitoring of the rapidly changing Arctic freshwater cycle. Text Arctic Climate change Alaska Siberia University of New Hampshire: Scholars Repository Arctic Canada |
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University of New Hampshire: Scholars Repository |
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Pan‐Arctic river discharge Climate projections Pan‐Arctic Drainage Basin Hydrological monitoring |
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Pan‐Arctic river discharge Climate projections Pan‐Arctic Drainage Basin Hydrological monitoring Bring, Arvid Shiklomanov, Alexander I. Lammers, Richard B. Pan‐Arctic river discharge: Prioritizing monitoring of future climate change hot spots |
topic_facet |
Pan‐Arctic river discharge Climate projections Pan‐Arctic Drainage Basin Hydrological monitoring |
description |
The Arctic freshwater cycle is changing rapidly, which will require adequate monitoring of river flows to detect, observe, and understand changes and provide adaptation information. There has, however, been little detail about where the greatest flow changes are projected, and where monitoring therefore may need to be strengthened. In this study, we used a set of recent climate model runs and an advanced macro‐scale hydrological model to analyze how flows across the continental pan‐Arctic are projected to change and where the climate models agree on significant changes. We also developed a method to identify where monitoring stations should be placed to observe these significant changes, and compared this set of suggested locations with the existing network of monitoring stations. Overall, our results reinforce earlier indications of large increases in flow over much of the Arctic, but we also identify some areas where projections agree on significant changes but disagree on the sign of change. For monitoring, central and eastern Siberia, Alaska, and central Canada are hot spots for the highest changes. To take advantage of existing networks, a number of stations across central Canada and western and central Siberia could form a prioritized set. Further development of model representation of high‐latitude hydrology would improve confidence in the areas we identify here. Nevertheless, ongoing observation programs may consider these suggested locations in efforts to improve monitoring of the rapidly changing Arctic freshwater cycle. |
format |
Text |
author |
Bring, Arvid Shiklomanov, Alexander I. Lammers, Richard B. |
author_facet |
Bring, Arvid Shiklomanov, Alexander I. Lammers, Richard B. |
author_sort |
Bring, Arvid |
title |
Pan‐Arctic river discharge: Prioritizing monitoring of future climate change hot spots |
title_short |
Pan‐Arctic river discharge: Prioritizing monitoring of future climate change hot spots |
title_full |
Pan‐Arctic river discharge: Prioritizing monitoring of future climate change hot spots |
title_fullStr |
Pan‐Arctic river discharge: Prioritizing monitoring of future climate change hot spots |
title_full_unstemmed |
Pan‐Arctic river discharge: Prioritizing monitoring of future climate change hot spots |
title_sort |
pan‐arctic river discharge: prioritizing monitoring of future climate change hot spots |
publisher |
University of New Hampshire Scholars' Repository |
publishDate |
2016 |
url |
https://scholars.unh.edu/faculty_pubs/121 https://scholars.unh.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1120&context=faculty_pubs |
geographic |
Arctic Canada |
geographic_facet |
Arctic Canada |
genre |
Arctic Climate change Alaska Siberia |
genre_facet |
Arctic Climate change Alaska Siberia |
op_source |
Faculty Publications |
op_relation |
https://scholars.unh.edu/faculty_pubs/121 https://scholars.unh.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1120&context=faculty_pubs |
op_rights |
© 2016 The Authors. http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ |
op_rightsnorm |
CC-BY-NC-ND |
_version_ |
1766308745849077760 |