Winter extratropical cyclone influence on seabird survival: variation between and within common eider populations
International audience Extratropical cyclones (ETCs) play a primary role in determining the variation in local weather and marine conditions in the mid-latitudes. ETCs have a broad range of intensities, from benign to extreme, and their paths, frequency, and intensity may change with global warming....
Published in: | Marine Ecology Progress Series |
---|---|
Main Authors: | , , , , , , , , , , |
Other Authors: | , , |
Format: | Article in Journal/Newspaper |
Language: | English |
Published: |
HAL CCSD
2019
|
Subjects: | |
Online Access: | https://hal.science/hal-02297782 https://hal.science/hal-02297782/document https://hal.science/hal-02297782/file/Manuscript-Guery-revision2_final.pdf https://doi.org/10.3354/meps13066 |
id |
ftunimontpellier:oai:HAL:hal-02297782v1 |
---|---|
record_format |
openpolar |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
Université de Montpellier: HAL |
op_collection_id |
ftunimontpellier |
language |
English |
topic |
Seabirds: Extreme weather and climatic event marine vertebrates multi-event models hidden states and mixture models NAO Arctic inter and intra-population heterogeneity migratory tactics Somateria mollissima [SDE.BE]Environmental Sciences/Biodiversity and Ecology |
spellingShingle |
Seabirds: Extreme weather and climatic event marine vertebrates multi-event models hidden states and mixture models NAO Arctic inter and intra-population heterogeneity migratory tactics Somateria mollissima [SDE.BE]Environmental Sciences/Biodiversity and Ecology Guéry, Loreleï Descamps, Sébastien Hodges, K., I. Pradel, Roger Moe, B Hanssen, S., A. Erikstad, K., E. Gabrielsen, G., W. Gilchrist, H., G. Jenouvrier, Stéphanie Bêty, Joel Winter extratropical cyclone influence on seabird survival: variation between and within common eider populations |
topic_facet |
Seabirds: Extreme weather and climatic event marine vertebrates multi-event models hidden states and mixture models NAO Arctic inter and intra-population heterogeneity migratory tactics Somateria mollissima [SDE.BE]Environmental Sciences/Biodiversity and Ecology |
description |
International audience Extratropical cyclones (ETCs) play a primary role in determining the variation in local weather and marine conditions in the mid-latitudes. ETCs have a broad range of intensities, from benign to extreme, and their paths, frequency, and intensity may change with global warming. However, how ETCs, and cyclones in general, currently affect marine wildlife is poorly studied and remains substantially unexplored. To understand how winter ETCs affect the inter-annual variability of adult seabird survival, we used capture-mark-recapture datasets collected in 2 arctic (northern Canada and Svalbard) and 1 subarctic (northern Norway) breeding populations of common eider Somateria mollissima over periods of 19, 16 and 30 yr, respectively. We found significant negative correlations between winter ETC activity and female eider survival, but different mechanisms appear to be involved in the different studied populations. The number of winter ETCs, extreme or not, was linked to survival without lags in the Canadian population, whereas amplitude and duration of extreme winter ETCs (with time lags) impacted female adult survival in the Svalbard and northern Norway eider breeding populations. We hypothesise that fjords in the wintering grounds of some populations act as climatic shelters and provide natural protection, and hence could partly explain inter-population heterogeneity in the response to ETCs. We suggest that ETCs represent a likely mechanism behind the frequently reported relationship between North Atlantic Oscillation and seabird survival in the North Atlantic. KEY WORDS: Extreme weather and climatic events · Multi-event models · Hidden states and mixture models · NAO · Arctic · Inter and intra-population heterogeneity · Migratory tactics Resale or republication not permitted without written consent of the publisher |
author2 |
Centre d’Ecologie Fonctionnelle et Evolutive (CEFE) Université Paul-Valéry - Montpellier 3 (UPVM)-Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique (INRA)-Centre international d'études supérieures en sciences agronomiques (Montpellier SupAgro)-École Pratique des Hautes Études (EPHE) Université Paris Sciences et Lettres (PSL)-Université Paris Sciences et Lettres (PSL)-Université de Montpellier (UM)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD France-Sud )-Institut national d’études supérieures agronomiques de Montpellier (Montpellier SupAgro) |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Guéry, Loreleï Descamps, Sébastien Hodges, K., I. Pradel, Roger Moe, B Hanssen, S., A. Erikstad, K., E. Gabrielsen, G., W. Gilchrist, H., G. Jenouvrier, Stéphanie Bêty, Joel |
author_facet |
Guéry, Loreleï Descamps, Sébastien Hodges, K., I. Pradel, Roger Moe, B Hanssen, S., A. Erikstad, K., E. Gabrielsen, G., W. Gilchrist, H., G. Jenouvrier, Stéphanie Bêty, Joel |
author_sort |
Guéry, Loreleï |
title |
Winter extratropical cyclone influence on seabird survival: variation between and within common eider populations |
title_short |
Winter extratropical cyclone influence on seabird survival: variation between and within common eider populations |
title_full |
Winter extratropical cyclone influence on seabird survival: variation between and within common eider populations |
title_fullStr |
Winter extratropical cyclone influence on seabird survival: variation between and within common eider populations |
title_full_unstemmed |
Winter extratropical cyclone influence on seabird survival: variation between and within common eider populations |
title_sort |
winter extratropical cyclone influence on seabird survival: variation between and within common eider populations |
publisher |
HAL CCSD |
publishDate |
2019 |
url |
https://hal.science/hal-02297782 https://hal.science/hal-02297782/document https://hal.science/hal-02297782/file/Manuscript-Guery-revision2_final.pdf https://doi.org/10.3354/meps13066 |
genre |
Arctic Common Eider Global warming North Atlantic North Atlantic oscillation Northern Norway Somateria mollissima Subarctic Svalbard |
genre_facet |
Arctic Common Eider Global warming North Atlantic North Atlantic oscillation Northern Norway Somateria mollissima Subarctic Svalbard |
op_source |
ISSN: 0171-8630 EISSN: 1616-1599 Marine Ecology Progress Series https://hal.science/hal-02297782 Marine Ecology Progress Series, 2019, 627, pp.155 - 170. ⟨10.3354/meps13066⟩ |
op_relation |
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.3354/meps13066 hal-02297782 https://hal.science/hal-02297782 https://hal.science/hal-02297782/document https://hal.science/hal-02297782/file/Manuscript-Guery-revision2_final.pdf doi:10.3354/meps13066 |
op_rights |
info:eu-repo/semantics/OpenAccess |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.3354/meps13066 |
container_title |
Marine Ecology Progress Series |
container_volume |
627 |
container_start_page |
155 |
op_container_end_page |
170 |
_version_ |
1799474399232917504 |
spelling |
ftunimontpellier:oai:HAL:hal-02297782v1 2024-05-19T07:35:37+00:00 Winter extratropical cyclone influence on seabird survival: variation between and within common eider populations Guéry, Loreleï Descamps, Sébastien Hodges, K., I. Pradel, Roger Moe, B Hanssen, S., A. Erikstad, K., E. Gabrielsen, G., W. Gilchrist, H., G. Jenouvrier, Stéphanie Bêty, Joel Centre d’Ecologie Fonctionnelle et Evolutive (CEFE) Université Paul-Valéry - Montpellier 3 (UPVM)-Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique (INRA)-Centre international d'études supérieures en sciences agronomiques (Montpellier SupAgro)-École Pratique des Hautes Études (EPHE) Université Paris Sciences et Lettres (PSL)-Université Paris Sciences et Lettres (PSL)-Université de Montpellier (UM)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD France-Sud )-Institut national d’études supérieures agronomiques de Montpellier (Montpellier SupAgro) 2019 https://hal.science/hal-02297782 https://hal.science/hal-02297782/document https://hal.science/hal-02297782/file/Manuscript-Guery-revision2_final.pdf https://doi.org/10.3354/meps13066 en eng HAL CCSD Inter Research info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.3354/meps13066 hal-02297782 https://hal.science/hal-02297782 https://hal.science/hal-02297782/document https://hal.science/hal-02297782/file/Manuscript-Guery-revision2_final.pdf doi:10.3354/meps13066 info:eu-repo/semantics/OpenAccess ISSN: 0171-8630 EISSN: 1616-1599 Marine Ecology Progress Series https://hal.science/hal-02297782 Marine Ecology Progress Series, 2019, 627, pp.155 - 170. ⟨10.3354/meps13066⟩ Seabirds: Extreme weather and climatic event marine vertebrates multi-event models hidden states and mixture models NAO Arctic inter and intra-population heterogeneity migratory tactics Somateria mollissima [SDE.BE]Environmental Sciences/Biodiversity and Ecology info:eu-repo/semantics/article Journal articles 2019 ftunimontpellier https://doi.org/10.3354/meps13066 2024-04-24T01:07:41Z International audience Extratropical cyclones (ETCs) play a primary role in determining the variation in local weather and marine conditions in the mid-latitudes. ETCs have a broad range of intensities, from benign to extreme, and their paths, frequency, and intensity may change with global warming. However, how ETCs, and cyclones in general, currently affect marine wildlife is poorly studied and remains substantially unexplored. To understand how winter ETCs affect the inter-annual variability of adult seabird survival, we used capture-mark-recapture datasets collected in 2 arctic (northern Canada and Svalbard) and 1 subarctic (northern Norway) breeding populations of common eider Somateria mollissima over periods of 19, 16 and 30 yr, respectively. We found significant negative correlations between winter ETC activity and female eider survival, but different mechanisms appear to be involved in the different studied populations. The number of winter ETCs, extreme or not, was linked to survival without lags in the Canadian population, whereas amplitude and duration of extreme winter ETCs (with time lags) impacted female adult survival in the Svalbard and northern Norway eider breeding populations. We hypothesise that fjords in the wintering grounds of some populations act as climatic shelters and provide natural protection, and hence could partly explain inter-population heterogeneity in the response to ETCs. We suggest that ETCs represent a likely mechanism behind the frequently reported relationship between North Atlantic Oscillation and seabird survival in the North Atlantic. KEY WORDS: Extreme weather and climatic events · Multi-event models · Hidden states and mixture models · NAO · Arctic · Inter and intra-population heterogeneity · Migratory tactics Resale or republication not permitted without written consent of the publisher Article in Journal/Newspaper Arctic Common Eider Global warming North Atlantic North Atlantic oscillation Northern Norway Somateria mollissima Subarctic Svalbard Université de Montpellier: HAL Marine Ecology Progress Series 627 155 170 |