A quantitative assessment of Arctic shipping in 2010-2014
[eng] Rapid loss of sea ice is opening up the Arctic Ocean to shipping, a practice that is forecasted to increase rapidly by 2050 when many models predict that the Arctic Ocean will largely be free of ice toward the end of summer. These forecasts carry considerable uncertainty because Arctic shippin...
Published in: | Scientific Reports |
---|---|
Main Authors: | , , , |
Format: | Article in Journal/Newspaper |
Language: | unknown |
Subjects: | |
Online Access: | http://hdl.handle.net/11201/150260 https://doi.org/10.1038/srep30682 |
id |
ftunillesbalears:oai:dspace.uib.es:11201/150260 |
---|---|
record_format |
openpolar |
spelling |
ftunillesbalears:oai:dspace.uib.es:11201/150260 2023-05-15T14:32:10+02:00 A quantitative assessment of Arctic shipping in 2010-2014 Eguíluz, V.M. Fernández-Gracia, J. Irigoien, X. Duarte, C.M. application/pdf http://hdl.handle.net/11201/150260 https://doi.org/10.1038/srep30682 unknown Reproducció del document publicat a: https://doi.org/10.1038/srep30682 Scientific Reports, 2016, vol. 6, num. 30682, p. 1-6 http://hdl.handle.net/11201/150260 https://doi.org/10.1038/srep30682 cc-by (c) Eguíluz, V.M. et al., 2016 http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/es info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess CC-BY Medi ambient Geografia Environment Geography info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion ftunillesbalears https://doi.org/10.1038/srep30682 2021-06-25T17:57:32Z [eng] Rapid loss of sea ice is opening up the Arctic Ocean to shipping, a practice that is forecasted to increase rapidly by 2050 when many models predict that the Arctic Ocean will largely be free of ice toward the end of summer. These forecasts carry considerable uncertainty because Arctic shipping was previously considered too sparse to allow for adequate validation. Here, we provide quantitative evidence that the extent of Arctic shipping in the period 2011-2014 is already significant and that it is concentrated (i) in the Norwegian and Barents Seas, and (ii) predominantly accessed via the Northeast and Northwest Passages. Thick ice along the forecasted direct trans-Arctic route was still present in 2014, preventing transit. Although Arctic shipping remains constrained by the extent of ice coverage, during every September, this coverage is at a minimum, allowing the highest levels of shipping activity. Access to Arctic resources, particularly fisheries, is the most important driver of Arctic shipping thus far. Article in Journal/Newspaper Arctic Arctic Ocean Sea ice UIB Repositori (University of the Balearic Islands) Arctic Arctic Ocean Scientific Reports 6 1 |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
UIB Repositori (University of the Balearic Islands) |
op_collection_id |
ftunillesbalears |
language |
unknown |
topic |
Medi ambient Geografia Environment Geography |
spellingShingle |
Medi ambient Geografia Environment Geography Eguíluz, V.M. Fernández-Gracia, J. Irigoien, X. Duarte, C.M. A quantitative assessment of Arctic shipping in 2010-2014 |
topic_facet |
Medi ambient Geografia Environment Geography |
description |
[eng] Rapid loss of sea ice is opening up the Arctic Ocean to shipping, a practice that is forecasted to increase rapidly by 2050 when many models predict that the Arctic Ocean will largely be free of ice toward the end of summer. These forecasts carry considerable uncertainty because Arctic shipping was previously considered too sparse to allow for adequate validation. Here, we provide quantitative evidence that the extent of Arctic shipping in the period 2011-2014 is already significant and that it is concentrated (i) in the Norwegian and Barents Seas, and (ii) predominantly accessed via the Northeast and Northwest Passages. Thick ice along the forecasted direct trans-Arctic route was still present in 2014, preventing transit. Although Arctic shipping remains constrained by the extent of ice coverage, during every September, this coverage is at a minimum, allowing the highest levels of shipping activity. Access to Arctic resources, particularly fisheries, is the most important driver of Arctic shipping thus far. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Eguíluz, V.M. Fernández-Gracia, J. Irigoien, X. Duarte, C.M. |
author_facet |
Eguíluz, V.M. Fernández-Gracia, J. Irigoien, X. Duarte, C.M. |
author_sort |
Eguíluz, V.M. |
title |
A quantitative assessment of Arctic shipping in 2010-2014 |
title_short |
A quantitative assessment of Arctic shipping in 2010-2014 |
title_full |
A quantitative assessment of Arctic shipping in 2010-2014 |
title_fullStr |
A quantitative assessment of Arctic shipping in 2010-2014 |
title_full_unstemmed |
A quantitative assessment of Arctic shipping in 2010-2014 |
title_sort |
quantitative assessment of arctic shipping in 2010-2014 |
url |
http://hdl.handle.net/11201/150260 https://doi.org/10.1038/srep30682 |
geographic |
Arctic Arctic Ocean |
geographic_facet |
Arctic Arctic Ocean |
genre |
Arctic Arctic Ocean Sea ice |
genre_facet |
Arctic Arctic Ocean Sea ice |
op_relation |
Reproducció del document publicat a: https://doi.org/10.1038/srep30682 Scientific Reports, 2016, vol. 6, num. 30682, p. 1-6 http://hdl.handle.net/11201/150260 https://doi.org/10.1038/srep30682 |
op_rights |
cc-by (c) Eguíluz, V.M. et al., 2016 http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/es info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
op_rightsnorm |
CC-BY |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1038/srep30682 |
container_title |
Scientific Reports |
container_volume |
6 |
container_issue |
1 |
_version_ |
1766305630030659584 |