Challenging claims in the study of migratory birds and climate change
Recent shifts in phenology in response to climate change are well established but often poorly understood. Many animals integrate climate change across a spatially and temporally dispersed annual life cycle, and effects are modulated by ecological interactions, evolutionary change and endogenous con...
Published in: | Biological Reviews |
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Main Authors: | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , |
Format: | Article in Journal/Newspaper |
Language: | English |
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2011
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Online Access: | https://hdl.handle.net/11370/98a2f447-774d-4869-9b99-dea7666548fe https://research.rug.nl/en/publications/98a2f447-774d-4869-9b99-dea7666548fe https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1469-185X.2011.00179.x https://pure.rug.nl/ws/files/6769526/2011BiolRevKnudsenApp4.pdf https://pure.rug.nl/ws/files/6769527/2011BiolRevKnudsenApp3.pdf https://pure.rug.nl/ws/files/6769528/2011BiolRevKnudsenApp2.pdf https://pure.rug.nl/ws/files/6769529/2011BiolRevKnudsenApp1.pdf https://pure.rug.nl/ws/files/6769530/2011BiolRevKnudsen.pdf |
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ftunigroningenpu:oai:pure.rug.nl:publications/98a2f447-774d-4869-9b99-dea7666548fe 2024-09-15T18:23:47+00:00 Challenging claims in the study of migratory birds and climate change Knudsen, Endre Linden, Andreas Both, Christiaan Jonzen, Niclas Pulido, Francisco Saino, Nicola Sutherland, William J. Bach, Lars A. Coppack, Timothy Ergon, Torbjorn Gienapp, Phillip Gill, Jennifer A. Gordo, Oscar Hedenstrom, Anders Lehikoinen, Esa Marra, Peter P. Moller, Anders P. Nilsson, Anna L. K. Peron, Guillaume Ranta, Esa Rubolini, Diego Sparks, Tim H. Spina, Fernando Studds, Colin E. Saether, Stein A. Tryjanowski, Piotr Stenseth, Nils Chr. Ergon, Torbjørn Hedenström, Anders Møller, Anders P. 2011-11 application/pdf https://hdl.handle.net/11370/98a2f447-774d-4869-9b99-dea7666548fe https://research.rug.nl/en/publications/98a2f447-774d-4869-9b99-dea7666548fe https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1469-185X.2011.00179.x https://pure.rug.nl/ws/files/6769526/2011BiolRevKnudsenApp4.pdf https://pure.rug.nl/ws/files/6769527/2011BiolRevKnudsenApp3.pdf https://pure.rug.nl/ws/files/6769528/2011BiolRevKnudsenApp2.pdf https://pure.rug.nl/ws/files/6769529/2011BiolRevKnudsenApp1.pdf https://pure.rug.nl/ws/files/6769530/2011BiolRevKnudsen.pdf eng eng https://research.rug.nl/en/publications/98a2f447-774d-4869-9b99-dea7666548fe info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess Knudsen , E , Linden , A , Both , C , Jonzen , N , Pulido , F , Saino , N , Sutherland , W J , Bach , L A , Coppack , T , Ergon , T , Gienapp , P , Gill , J A , Gordo , O , Hedenstrom , A , Lehikoinen , E , Marra , P P , Moller , A P , Nilsson , A L K , Peron , G , Ranta , E , Rubolini , D , Sparks , T H , Spina , F , Studds , C E , Saether , S A , Tryjanowski , P , Stenseth , N C , Ergon , T , Hedenström , A & Møller , A P 2011 , ' Challenging claims in the study of migratory birds and climate change ' , Biological Reviews , vol. 86 , no. 4 , pp. 928-946 . https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1469-185X.2011.00179.x bird migration climate change phenology annual life cycle match-mismatch endogenous control phenotypic plasticity microevolutionary change population trends integrative biology NORTH-ATLANTIC OSCILLATION LONG-DISTANCE MIGRANTS SPRING ARRIVAL DATES TERM POPULATION DECLINES STORKS CICONIA-CICONIA WEST-AFRICAN RAINFALL AVIAN MIGRATION NATURAL-SELECTION AMERICAN BIRDS BARN SWALLOW article 2011 ftunigroningenpu https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1469-185X.2011.00179.x 2024-07-01T14:49:22Z Recent shifts in phenology in response to climate change are well established but often poorly understood. Many animals integrate climate change across a spatially and temporally dispersed annual life cycle, and effects are modulated by ecological interactions, evolutionary change and endogenous control mechanisms. Here we assess and discuss key statements emerging from the rapidly developing study of changing spring phenology in migratory birds. These well-studied organisms have been instrumental for understanding climate-change effects, but research is developing rapidly and there is a need to attack the big issues rather than risking affirmative science. Although we agree poorly on the support for most claims, agreement regarding the knowledge basis enables consensus regarding broad patterns and likely causes. Empirical data needed for disentangling mechanisms are still scarce, and consequences at a population level and on community composition remain unclear. With increasing knowledge, the overall support ('consensus view') for a claim increased and between-researcher variability in support ('expert opinions') decreased, indicating the importance of assessing and communicating the knowledge basis. A proper integration across biological disciplines seems essential for the field's transition from affirming patterns to understanding mechanisms and making robust predictions regarding future consequences of shifting phenologies. Article in Journal/Newspaper North Atlantic North Atlantic oscillation University of Groningen research database Biological Reviews 86 4 928 946 |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
University of Groningen research database |
op_collection_id |
ftunigroningenpu |
language |
English |
topic |
bird migration climate change phenology annual life cycle match-mismatch endogenous control phenotypic plasticity microevolutionary change population trends integrative biology NORTH-ATLANTIC OSCILLATION LONG-DISTANCE MIGRANTS SPRING ARRIVAL DATES TERM POPULATION DECLINES STORKS CICONIA-CICONIA WEST-AFRICAN RAINFALL AVIAN MIGRATION NATURAL-SELECTION AMERICAN BIRDS BARN SWALLOW |
spellingShingle |
bird migration climate change phenology annual life cycle match-mismatch endogenous control phenotypic plasticity microevolutionary change population trends integrative biology NORTH-ATLANTIC OSCILLATION LONG-DISTANCE MIGRANTS SPRING ARRIVAL DATES TERM POPULATION DECLINES STORKS CICONIA-CICONIA WEST-AFRICAN RAINFALL AVIAN MIGRATION NATURAL-SELECTION AMERICAN BIRDS BARN SWALLOW Knudsen, Endre Linden, Andreas Both, Christiaan Jonzen, Niclas Pulido, Francisco Saino, Nicola Sutherland, William J. Bach, Lars A. Coppack, Timothy Ergon, Torbjorn Gienapp, Phillip Gill, Jennifer A. Gordo, Oscar Hedenstrom, Anders Lehikoinen, Esa Marra, Peter P. Moller, Anders P. Nilsson, Anna L. K. Peron, Guillaume Ranta, Esa Rubolini, Diego Sparks, Tim H. Spina, Fernando Studds, Colin E. Saether, Stein A. Tryjanowski, Piotr Stenseth, Nils Chr. Ergon, Torbjørn Hedenström, Anders Møller, Anders P. Challenging claims in the study of migratory birds and climate change |
topic_facet |
bird migration climate change phenology annual life cycle match-mismatch endogenous control phenotypic plasticity microevolutionary change population trends integrative biology NORTH-ATLANTIC OSCILLATION LONG-DISTANCE MIGRANTS SPRING ARRIVAL DATES TERM POPULATION DECLINES STORKS CICONIA-CICONIA WEST-AFRICAN RAINFALL AVIAN MIGRATION NATURAL-SELECTION AMERICAN BIRDS BARN SWALLOW |
description |
Recent shifts in phenology in response to climate change are well established but often poorly understood. Many animals integrate climate change across a spatially and temporally dispersed annual life cycle, and effects are modulated by ecological interactions, evolutionary change and endogenous control mechanisms. Here we assess and discuss key statements emerging from the rapidly developing study of changing spring phenology in migratory birds. These well-studied organisms have been instrumental for understanding climate-change effects, but research is developing rapidly and there is a need to attack the big issues rather than risking affirmative science. Although we agree poorly on the support for most claims, agreement regarding the knowledge basis enables consensus regarding broad patterns and likely causes. Empirical data needed for disentangling mechanisms are still scarce, and consequences at a population level and on community composition remain unclear. With increasing knowledge, the overall support ('consensus view') for a claim increased and between-researcher variability in support ('expert opinions') decreased, indicating the importance of assessing and communicating the knowledge basis. A proper integration across biological disciplines seems essential for the field's transition from affirming patterns to understanding mechanisms and making robust predictions regarding future consequences of shifting phenologies. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Knudsen, Endre Linden, Andreas Both, Christiaan Jonzen, Niclas Pulido, Francisco Saino, Nicola Sutherland, William J. Bach, Lars A. Coppack, Timothy Ergon, Torbjorn Gienapp, Phillip Gill, Jennifer A. Gordo, Oscar Hedenstrom, Anders Lehikoinen, Esa Marra, Peter P. Moller, Anders P. Nilsson, Anna L. K. Peron, Guillaume Ranta, Esa Rubolini, Diego Sparks, Tim H. Spina, Fernando Studds, Colin E. Saether, Stein A. Tryjanowski, Piotr Stenseth, Nils Chr. Ergon, Torbjørn Hedenström, Anders Møller, Anders P. |
author_facet |
Knudsen, Endre Linden, Andreas Both, Christiaan Jonzen, Niclas Pulido, Francisco Saino, Nicola Sutherland, William J. Bach, Lars A. Coppack, Timothy Ergon, Torbjorn Gienapp, Phillip Gill, Jennifer A. Gordo, Oscar Hedenstrom, Anders Lehikoinen, Esa Marra, Peter P. Moller, Anders P. Nilsson, Anna L. K. Peron, Guillaume Ranta, Esa Rubolini, Diego Sparks, Tim H. Spina, Fernando Studds, Colin E. Saether, Stein A. Tryjanowski, Piotr Stenseth, Nils Chr. Ergon, Torbjørn Hedenström, Anders Møller, Anders P. |
author_sort |
Knudsen, Endre |
title |
Challenging claims in the study of migratory birds and climate change |
title_short |
Challenging claims in the study of migratory birds and climate change |
title_full |
Challenging claims in the study of migratory birds and climate change |
title_fullStr |
Challenging claims in the study of migratory birds and climate change |
title_full_unstemmed |
Challenging claims in the study of migratory birds and climate change |
title_sort |
challenging claims in the study of migratory birds and climate change |
publishDate |
2011 |
url |
https://hdl.handle.net/11370/98a2f447-774d-4869-9b99-dea7666548fe https://research.rug.nl/en/publications/98a2f447-774d-4869-9b99-dea7666548fe https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1469-185X.2011.00179.x https://pure.rug.nl/ws/files/6769526/2011BiolRevKnudsenApp4.pdf https://pure.rug.nl/ws/files/6769527/2011BiolRevKnudsenApp3.pdf https://pure.rug.nl/ws/files/6769528/2011BiolRevKnudsenApp2.pdf https://pure.rug.nl/ws/files/6769529/2011BiolRevKnudsenApp1.pdf https://pure.rug.nl/ws/files/6769530/2011BiolRevKnudsen.pdf |
genre |
North Atlantic North Atlantic oscillation |
genre_facet |
North Atlantic North Atlantic oscillation |
op_source |
Knudsen , E , Linden , A , Both , C , Jonzen , N , Pulido , F , Saino , N , Sutherland , W J , Bach , L A , Coppack , T , Ergon , T , Gienapp , P , Gill , J A , Gordo , O , Hedenstrom , A , Lehikoinen , E , Marra , P P , Moller , A P , Nilsson , A L K , Peron , G , Ranta , E , Rubolini , D , Sparks , T H , Spina , F , Studds , C E , Saether , S A , Tryjanowski , P , Stenseth , N C , Ergon , T , Hedenström , A & Møller , A P 2011 , ' Challenging claims in the study of migratory birds and climate change ' , Biological Reviews , vol. 86 , no. 4 , pp. 928-946 . https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1469-185X.2011.00179.x |
op_relation |
https://research.rug.nl/en/publications/98a2f447-774d-4869-9b99-dea7666548fe |
op_rights |
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1469-185X.2011.00179.x |
container_title |
Biological Reviews |
container_volume |
86 |
container_issue |
4 |
container_start_page |
928 |
op_container_end_page |
946 |
_version_ |
1810464056736219136 |