Evaluating the destabilization susceptibility of active rock glaciers in the French Alps
International audience In this study, we propose a methodology to estimate the spatial distribution of destabilizing rock glaciers, with a focus on the French Alps. We mapped geomorpho-logical features that can be typically found in cases of rock glacier destabilization (e.g. crevasses and scarps) u...
Published in: | The Cryosphere |
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Online Access: | https://hal.science/hal-02011802 https://hal.science/hal-02011802/document https://hal.science/hal-02011802/file/Marcer%20et%20al.%20-%202019%20-%20Evaluating%20the%20destabilization%20susceptibility%20of%20a.pdf https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-13-141-2019 |
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ftunigrenoble:oai:HAL:hal-02011802v1 2024-05-19T07:47:14+00:00 Evaluating the destabilization susceptibility of active rock glaciers in the French Alps Marcer, Marco Serrano, Charlie Brenning, Alexander Bodin, Xavier Goetz, Jason Schoeneich, Philippe Environnements, Dynamiques et Territoires de Montagne (EDYTEM) Université Savoie Mont Blanc (USMB Université de Savoie Université de Chambéry )-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS) Pacte, Laboratoire de sciences sociales (PACTE) Sciences Po Grenoble - Institut d'études politiques de Grenoble (IEPG)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Université Grenoble Alpes 2016-2019 (UGA 2016-2019 ) Department of Geography and Environmental Management Waterloo University of Waterloo Waterloo 2019 https://hal.science/hal-02011802 https://hal.science/hal-02011802/document https://hal.science/hal-02011802/file/Marcer%20et%20al.%20-%202019%20-%20Evaluating%20the%20destabilization%20susceptibility%20of%20a.pdf https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-13-141-2019 en eng HAL CCSD Copernicus info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.5194/tc-13-141-2019 hal-02011802 https://hal.science/hal-02011802 https://hal.science/hal-02011802/document https://hal.science/hal-02011802/file/Marcer%20et%20al.%20-%202019%20-%20Evaluating%20the%20destabilization%20susceptibility%20of%20a.pdf doi:10.5194/tc-13-141-2019 info:eu-repo/semantics/OpenAccess ISSN: 1994-0424 EISSN: 1994-0416 The Cryosphere https://hal.science/hal-02011802 The Cryosphere, 2019, 13 (1), pp.141-155. ⟨10.5194/tc-13-141-2019⟩ [SDE.MCG]Environmental Sciences/Global Changes [SDE.BE]Environmental Sciences/Biodiversity and Ecology [SDE.IE]Environmental Sciences/Environmental Engineering [SDE.ES]Environmental Sciences/Environment and Society [SHS.GEO]Humanities and Social Sciences/Geography info:eu-repo/semantics/article Journal articles 2019 ftunigrenoble https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-13-141-2019 2024-05-02T00:30:52Z International audience In this study, we propose a methodology to estimate the spatial distribution of destabilizing rock glaciers, with a focus on the French Alps. We mapped geomorpho-logical features that can be typically found in cases of rock glacier destabilization (e.g. crevasses and scarps) using orthoimages taken from 2000 to 2013. A destabilization rating was assigned by taking into account the evolution of these mapped destabilization geomorphological features and by observing the surface deformation patterns of the rock glacier, also using the available orthoimages. This destabilization rating then served as input to model the occurrence of rock glacier destabilization in relation to terrain attributes and to spatially predict the susceptibility to destabilization at a regional scale. Significant evidence of destabilization could be observed in 46 rock glaciers, i.e. 10% of the total active rock glaciers in the region. Based on our susceptibility model of destabilization occurrence, it was found that this phenomenon is more likely to occur in elevations around the 0 degrees C isotherm (2700-2900ma. s.l.), on north-facing slopes, steep terrain (25 to 30 ffi) and flat to slightly convex topographies. Model performance was good (AUROC = 0.76), and the susceptibility map also performed well at reproducing observable patterns of destabilization. About 3 km(2) of creeping permafrost, or 10% of the surface occupied by active rock glaciers, had a high susceptibility to destabilization. Considering we observed that only half of these areas of creep are currently showing destabilization evidence, we suspect there is a high potential for future rock glacier destabilization within the French Alps. Article in Journal/Newspaper permafrost The Cryosphere Université Grenoble Alpes: HAL The Cryosphere 13 1 141 155 |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
Université Grenoble Alpes: HAL |
op_collection_id |
ftunigrenoble |
language |
English |
topic |
[SDE.MCG]Environmental Sciences/Global Changes [SDE.BE]Environmental Sciences/Biodiversity and Ecology [SDE.IE]Environmental Sciences/Environmental Engineering [SDE.ES]Environmental Sciences/Environment and Society [SHS.GEO]Humanities and Social Sciences/Geography |
spellingShingle |
[SDE.MCG]Environmental Sciences/Global Changes [SDE.BE]Environmental Sciences/Biodiversity and Ecology [SDE.IE]Environmental Sciences/Environmental Engineering [SDE.ES]Environmental Sciences/Environment and Society [SHS.GEO]Humanities and Social Sciences/Geography Marcer, Marco Serrano, Charlie Brenning, Alexander Bodin, Xavier Goetz, Jason Schoeneich, Philippe Evaluating the destabilization susceptibility of active rock glaciers in the French Alps |
topic_facet |
[SDE.MCG]Environmental Sciences/Global Changes [SDE.BE]Environmental Sciences/Biodiversity and Ecology [SDE.IE]Environmental Sciences/Environmental Engineering [SDE.ES]Environmental Sciences/Environment and Society [SHS.GEO]Humanities and Social Sciences/Geography |
description |
International audience In this study, we propose a methodology to estimate the spatial distribution of destabilizing rock glaciers, with a focus on the French Alps. We mapped geomorpho-logical features that can be typically found in cases of rock glacier destabilization (e.g. crevasses and scarps) using orthoimages taken from 2000 to 2013. A destabilization rating was assigned by taking into account the evolution of these mapped destabilization geomorphological features and by observing the surface deformation patterns of the rock glacier, also using the available orthoimages. This destabilization rating then served as input to model the occurrence of rock glacier destabilization in relation to terrain attributes and to spatially predict the susceptibility to destabilization at a regional scale. Significant evidence of destabilization could be observed in 46 rock glaciers, i.e. 10% of the total active rock glaciers in the region. Based on our susceptibility model of destabilization occurrence, it was found that this phenomenon is more likely to occur in elevations around the 0 degrees C isotherm (2700-2900ma. s.l.), on north-facing slopes, steep terrain (25 to 30 ffi) and flat to slightly convex topographies. Model performance was good (AUROC = 0.76), and the susceptibility map also performed well at reproducing observable patterns of destabilization. About 3 km(2) of creeping permafrost, or 10% of the surface occupied by active rock glaciers, had a high susceptibility to destabilization. Considering we observed that only half of these areas of creep are currently showing destabilization evidence, we suspect there is a high potential for future rock glacier destabilization within the French Alps. |
author2 |
Environnements, Dynamiques et Territoires de Montagne (EDYTEM) Université Savoie Mont Blanc (USMB Université de Savoie Université de Chambéry )-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS) Pacte, Laboratoire de sciences sociales (PACTE) Sciences Po Grenoble - Institut d'études politiques de Grenoble (IEPG)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Université Grenoble Alpes 2016-2019 (UGA 2016-2019 ) Department of Geography and Environmental Management Waterloo University of Waterloo Waterloo |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Marcer, Marco Serrano, Charlie Brenning, Alexander Bodin, Xavier Goetz, Jason Schoeneich, Philippe |
author_facet |
Marcer, Marco Serrano, Charlie Brenning, Alexander Bodin, Xavier Goetz, Jason Schoeneich, Philippe |
author_sort |
Marcer, Marco |
title |
Evaluating the destabilization susceptibility of active rock glaciers in the French Alps |
title_short |
Evaluating the destabilization susceptibility of active rock glaciers in the French Alps |
title_full |
Evaluating the destabilization susceptibility of active rock glaciers in the French Alps |
title_fullStr |
Evaluating the destabilization susceptibility of active rock glaciers in the French Alps |
title_full_unstemmed |
Evaluating the destabilization susceptibility of active rock glaciers in the French Alps |
title_sort |
evaluating the destabilization susceptibility of active rock glaciers in the french alps |
publisher |
HAL CCSD |
publishDate |
2019 |
url |
https://hal.science/hal-02011802 https://hal.science/hal-02011802/document https://hal.science/hal-02011802/file/Marcer%20et%20al.%20-%202019%20-%20Evaluating%20the%20destabilization%20susceptibility%20of%20a.pdf https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-13-141-2019 |
genre |
permafrost The Cryosphere |
genre_facet |
permafrost The Cryosphere |
op_source |
ISSN: 1994-0424 EISSN: 1994-0416 The Cryosphere https://hal.science/hal-02011802 The Cryosphere, 2019, 13 (1), pp.141-155. ⟨10.5194/tc-13-141-2019⟩ |
op_relation |
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.5194/tc-13-141-2019 hal-02011802 https://hal.science/hal-02011802 https://hal.science/hal-02011802/document https://hal.science/hal-02011802/file/Marcer%20et%20al.%20-%202019%20-%20Evaluating%20the%20destabilization%20susceptibility%20of%20a.pdf doi:10.5194/tc-13-141-2019 |
op_rights |
info:eu-repo/semantics/OpenAccess |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-13-141-2019 |
container_title |
The Cryosphere |
container_volume |
13 |
container_issue |
1 |
container_start_page |
141 |
op_container_end_page |
155 |
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