An initial proposal for future island closures based on the closure experiment results

• Main Author: Doug Butterworth
• Format: Report
• Language: unknown
• Published: 2021
• Subjects: Biological mathematics; Applied statistics; Biostatistics; penguin island closure experiment; future analyses; island closures; Dassen Island; Robben Island; Penguin Island
• Online Access: https://doi.org/10.25375/uct.13669640.v1; https://figshare.com/articles/report/An_initial_proposal_for_future_island_closures_based_on_the_closure_experiment_results/13669640

This document motivates initial proposals for future island closures based on the results to date for estimates of the impact of closure parameter δ from the island closure experiment using the 2016 Panel algorithm. A pragmatic approach is adopted, given difficulties arising from outstanding matters of interpretation which require further discussion. In essence, the initial recommendation is to open Dassen island, to increase the relative frequency of closures at Robben island, and to maintain the current experimental closure schedule at St Croix and Bird islands with a possible increase in closure frequency at the former and decrease at the latter.