The missing pieces for better future predictions in subarctic ecosystems:A Torneträsk case study
Arctic and subarctic ecosystems are experiencing substantial changes in hydrology, vegetation, permafrost conditions, and carbon cycling, in response to climatic change and other anthropogenic drivers, and these changes are likely to continue over this century. The total magnitude of these changes r...
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2021
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Online Access: | https://pure.au.dk/portal/da/publications/the-missing-pieces-for-better-future-predictions-in-subarctic-ecosystems(b39edbe8-1a55-4008-9f4c-0ff293e53054).html https://doi.org/10.1007/s13280-020-01381-1 https://pure.au.dk/ws/files/273668511/Pascual2021_Article_TheMissingPiecesForBetterFutur.pdf http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85090978576&partnerID=8YFLogxK |
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ftuniaarhuspubl:oai:pure.atira.dk:publications/b39edbe8-1a55-4008-9f4c-0ff293e53054 2023-12-24T10:07:25+01:00 The missing pieces for better future predictions in subarctic ecosystems:A Torneträsk case study Pascual, Didac Åkerman, Jonas Becher, Marina Callaghan, Terry V. Christensen, Torben R. Dorrepaal, Ellen Emanuelsson, Urban Giesler, Reiner Hammarlund, Dan Hanna, Edward Hofgaard, Annika Jin, Hongxiao Johansson, Cecilia Jonasson, Christer Klaminder, Jonatan Karlsson, Jan Lundin, Erik Michelsen, Anders Olefeldt, David Persson, Andreas Phoenix, Gareth K. Rączkowska, Zofia Rinnan, Riikka Ström, Lena Tang, Jing Varner, Ruth K. Wookey, Philip Johansson, Margareta 2021-02 application/pdf https://pure.au.dk/portal/da/publications/the-missing-pieces-for-better-future-predictions-in-subarctic-ecosystems(b39edbe8-1a55-4008-9f4c-0ff293e53054).html https://doi.org/10.1007/s13280-020-01381-1 https://pure.au.dk/ws/files/273668511/Pascual2021_Article_TheMissingPiecesForBetterFutur.pdf http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85090978576&partnerID=8YFLogxK eng eng https://pure.au.dk/portal/da/publications/the-missing-pieces-for-better-future-predictions-in-subarctic-ecosystems(b39edbe8-1a55-4008-9f4c-0ff293e53054).html info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess Pascual , D , Åkerman , J , Becher , M , Callaghan , T V , Christensen , T R , Dorrepaal , E , Emanuelsson , U , Giesler , R , Hammarlund , D , Hanna , E , Hofgaard , A , Jin , H , Johansson , C , Jonasson , C , Klaminder , J , Karlsson , J , Lundin , E , Michelsen , A , Olefeldt , D , Persson , A , Phoenix , G K , Rączkowska , Z , Rinnan , R , Ström , L , Tang , J , Varner , R K , Wookey , P & Johansson , M 2021 , ' The missing pieces for better future predictions in subarctic ecosystems : A Torneträsk case study ' , AMBIO , vol. 50 , no. 2 , pp. 375-392 . https://doi.org/10.1007/s13280-020-01381-1 Abiotic drivers Arctic and subarctic Biotic drivers Ecosystem change Research priorities WINTER WARMING EVENTS REGIONAL VARIABILITY SNOW COVER VEGETATION PERMAFROST RESPONSES TUNDRA ABISKO SWEDEN ICE article 2021 ftuniaarhuspubl https://doi.org/10.1007/s13280-020-01381-1 2023-11-30T00:00:41Z Arctic and subarctic ecosystems are experiencing substantial changes in hydrology, vegetation, permafrost conditions, and carbon cycling, in response to climatic change and other anthropogenic drivers, and these changes are likely to continue over this century. The total magnitude of these changes results from multiple interactions among these drivers. Field measurements can address the overall responses to different changing drivers, but are less capable of quantifying the interactions among them. Currently, a comprehensive assessment of the drivers of ecosystem changes, and the magnitude of their direct and indirect impacts on subarctic ecosystems, is missing. The Tornetrask area, in the Swedish subarctic, has an unrivalled history of environmental observation over 100 years, and is one of the most studied sites in the Arctic. In this study, we summarize and rank the drivers of ecosystem change in the Tornetrask area, and propose research priorities identified, by expert assessment, to improve predictions of ecosystem changes. The research priorities identified include understanding impacts on ecosystems brought on by altered frequency and intensity of winter warming events, evapotranspiration rates, rainfall, duration of snow cover and lake-ice, changed soil moisture, and droughts. This case study can help us understand the ongoing ecosystem changes occurring in the Tornetrask area, and contribute to improve predictions of future ecosystem changes at a larger scale. This understanding will provide the basis for the future mitigation and adaptation plans needed in a changing climate. Article in Journal/Newspaper Abisko Arctic Ice permafrost Subarctic Tundra Aarhus University: Research Abisko ENVELOPE(18.829,18.829,68.349,68.349) Arctic Torneträsk ENVELOPE(18.861,18.861,68.392,68.392) Ambio 50 2 375 392 |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
Aarhus University: Research |
op_collection_id |
ftuniaarhuspubl |
language |
English |
topic |
Abiotic drivers Arctic and subarctic Biotic drivers Ecosystem change Research priorities WINTER WARMING EVENTS REGIONAL VARIABILITY SNOW COVER VEGETATION PERMAFROST RESPONSES TUNDRA ABISKO SWEDEN ICE |
spellingShingle |
Abiotic drivers Arctic and subarctic Biotic drivers Ecosystem change Research priorities WINTER WARMING EVENTS REGIONAL VARIABILITY SNOW COVER VEGETATION PERMAFROST RESPONSES TUNDRA ABISKO SWEDEN ICE Pascual, Didac Åkerman, Jonas Becher, Marina Callaghan, Terry V. Christensen, Torben R. Dorrepaal, Ellen Emanuelsson, Urban Giesler, Reiner Hammarlund, Dan Hanna, Edward Hofgaard, Annika Jin, Hongxiao Johansson, Cecilia Jonasson, Christer Klaminder, Jonatan Karlsson, Jan Lundin, Erik Michelsen, Anders Olefeldt, David Persson, Andreas Phoenix, Gareth K. Rączkowska, Zofia Rinnan, Riikka Ström, Lena Tang, Jing Varner, Ruth K. Wookey, Philip Johansson, Margareta The missing pieces for better future predictions in subarctic ecosystems:A Torneträsk case study |
topic_facet |
Abiotic drivers Arctic and subarctic Biotic drivers Ecosystem change Research priorities WINTER WARMING EVENTS REGIONAL VARIABILITY SNOW COVER VEGETATION PERMAFROST RESPONSES TUNDRA ABISKO SWEDEN ICE |
description |
Arctic and subarctic ecosystems are experiencing substantial changes in hydrology, vegetation, permafrost conditions, and carbon cycling, in response to climatic change and other anthropogenic drivers, and these changes are likely to continue over this century. The total magnitude of these changes results from multiple interactions among these drivers. Field measurements can address the overall responses to different changing drivers, but are less capable of quantifying the interactions among them. Currently, a comprehensive assessment of the drivers of ecosystem changes, and the magnitude of their direct and indirect impacts on subarctic ecosystems, is missing. The Tornetrask area, in the Swedish subarctic, has an unrivalled history of environmental observation over 100 years, and is one of the most studied sites in the Arctic. In this study, we summarize and rank the drivers of ecosystem change in the Tornetrask area, and propose research priorities identified, by expert assessment, to improve predictions of ecosystem changes. The research priorities identified include understanding impacts on ecosystems brought on by altered frequency and intensity of winter warming events, evapotranspiration rates, rainfall, duration of snow cover and lake-ice, changed soil moisture, and droughts. This case study can help us understand the ongoing ecosystem changes occurring in the Tornetrask area, and contribute to improve predictions of future ecosystem changes at a larger scale. This understanding will provide the basis for the future mitigation and adaptation plans needed in a changing climate. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Pascual, Didac Åkerman, Jonas Becher, Marina Callaghan, Terry V. Christensen, Torben R. Dorrepaal, Ellen Emanuelsson, Urban Giesler, Reiner Hammarlund, Dan Hanna, Edward Hofgaard, Annika Jin, Hongxiao Johansson, Cecilia Jonasson, Christer Klaminder, Jonatan Karlsson, Jan Lundin, Erik Michelsen, Anders Olefeldt, David Persson, Andreas Phoenix, Gareth K. Rączkowska, Zofia Rinnan, Riikka Ström, Lena Tang, Jing Varner, Ruth K. Wookey, Philip Johansson, Margareta |
author_facet |
Pascual, Didac Åkerman, Jonas Becher, Marina Callaghan, Terry V. Christensen, Torben R. Dorrepaal, Ellen Emanuelsson, Urban Giesler, Reiner Hammarlund, Dan Hanna, Edward Hofgaard, Annika Jin, Hongxiao Johansson, Cecilia Jonasson, Christer Klaminder, Jonatan Karlsson, Jan Lundin, Erik Michelsen, Anders Olefeldt, David Persson, Andreas Phoenix, Gareth K. Rączkowska, Zofia Rinnan, Riikka Ström, Lena Tang, Jing Varner, Ruth K. Wookey, Philip Johansson, Margareta |
author_sort |
Pascual, Didac |
title |
The missing pieces for better future predictions in subarctic ecosystems:A Torneträsk case study |
title_short |
The missing pieces for better future predictions in subarctic ecosystems:A Torneträsk case study |
title_full |
The missing pieces for better future predictions in subarctic ecosystems:A Torneträsk case study |
title_fullStr |
The missing pieces for better future predictions in subarctic ecosystems:A Torneträsk case study |
title_full_unstemmed |
The missing pieces for better future predictions in subarctic ecosystems:A Torneträsk case study |
title_sort |
missing pieces for better future predictions in subarctic ecosystems:a torneträsk case study |
publishDate |
2021 |
url |
https://pure.au.dk/portal/da/publications/the-missing-pieces-for-better-future-predictions-in-subarctic-ecosystems(b39edbe8-1a55-4008-9f4c-0ff293e53054).html https://doi.org/10.1007/s13280-020-01381-1 https://pure.au.dk/ws/files/273668511/Pascual2021_Article_TheMissingPiecesForBetterFutur.pdf http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85090978576&partnerID=8YFLogxK |
long_lat |
ENVELOPE(18.829,18.829,68.349,68.349) ENVELOPE(18.861,18.861,68.392,68.392) |
geographic |
Abisko Arctic Torneträsk |
geographic_facet |
Abisko Arctic Torneträsk |
genre |
Abisko Arctic Ice permafrost Subarctic Tundra |
genre_facet |
Abisko Arctic Ice permafrost Subarctic Tundra |
op_source |
Pascual , D , Åkerman , J , Becher , M , Callaghan , T V , Christensen , T R , Dorrepaal , E , Emanuelsson , U , Giesler , R , Hammarlund , D , Hanna , E , Hofgaard , A , Jin , H , Johansson , C , Jonasson , C , Klaminder , J , Karlsson , J , Lundin , E , Michelsen , A , Olefeldt , D , Persson , A , Phoenix , G K , Rączkowska , Z , Rinnan , R , Ström , L , Tang , J , Varner , R K , Wookey , P & Johansson , M 2021 , ' The missing pieces for better future predictions in subarctic ecosystems : A Torneträsk case study ' , AMBIO , vol. 50 , no. 2 , pp. 375-392 . https://doi.org/10.1007/s13280-020-01381-1 |
op_relation |
https://pure.au.dk/portal/da/publications/the-missing-pieces-for-better-future-predictions-in-subarctic-ecosystems(b39edbe8-1a55-4008-9f4c-0ff293e53054).html |
op_rights |
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1007/s13280-020-01381-1 |
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