Little directional change in the timing of Arctic spring phenology over the past 25 years
Summary With the global change in climate, the Arctic has been pinpointed as the region experiencing the fastest rates of change. As a result, Arctic biological responses—such as shifts in phenology—are expected to outpace those at lower latitudes. 15 years ago, a decade-long dataset from Zackenberg...
Published in: | Current Biology |
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2023
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Online Access: | https://pure.au.dk/portal/en/publications/56a44e39-03d6-4dc1-9d4f-a09c319ed511 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cub.2023.06.038 http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85167480068&partnerID=8YFLogxK https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0960982223008230 |
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ftuniaarhuspubl:oai:pure.atira.dk:publications/56a44e39-03d6-4dc1-9d4f-a09c319ed511 2024-02-11T09:59:40+01:00 Little directional change in the timing of Arctic spring phenology over the past 25 years Schmidt, Niels Martin Kankaanpää, Tuomas Tiusanen, Mikko Reneerkens, Jeroen Versluijs, Tom S.L. Hansen, Lars Holst Hansen, Jannik Gerlich, Hannah Sørine Høye, Toke T. Cirtwill, Alyssa R. Zhemchuzhnikov, Mikhail K. Peña-Aguilera, Pablo Roslin, Tomas 2023 https://pure.au.dk/portal/en/publications/56a44e39-03d6-4dc1-9d4f-a09c319ed511 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cub.2023.06.038 http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85167480068&partnerID=8YFLogxK https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0960982223008230 eng eng https://pure.au.dk/portal/en/publications/56a44e39-03d6-4dc1-9d4f-a09c319ed511 info:eu-repo/semantics/restrictedAccess Schmidt , N M , Kankaanpää , T , Tiusanen , M , Reneerkens , J , Versluijs , T S L , Hansen , L H , Hansen , J , Gerlich , H S , Høye , T T , Cirtwill , A R , Zhemchuzhnikov , M K , Peña-Aguilera , P & Roslin , T 2023 , ' Little directional change in the timing of Arctic spring phenology over the past 25 years ' , Current Biology , vol. 33 , no. 15 , pp. 3244-3249.e3 . https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cub.2023.06.038 arthropods birds climate emergence flowering plants reproduction snow Temperature Animals Climate Change Arctic Regions Flowers/physiology Seasons article 2023 ftuniaarhuspubl https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cub.2023.06.038 2024-01-18T00:01:16Z Summary With the global change in climate, the Arctic has been pinpointed as the region experiencing the fastest rates of change. As a result, Arctic biological responses—such as shifts in phenology—are expected to outpace those at lower latitudes. 15 years ago, a decade-long dataset from Zackenberg in High Arctic Greenland revealed rapid rates of phenological change.1 To explore how the timing of spring phenology has developed since, we revisit the Zackenberg time series on flowering plants, arthropods, and birds. Drawing on the full 25-year period of 1996–2020, we find little directional change in the timing of events despite ongoing climatic change. We attribute this finding to a shift in the temporal patterns of climate conditions, from previous directional change to current high inter-annual variability. Additionally, some taxa appear to have reached the limits of their phenological responses, resulting in a leveling off in their phenological responses in warm years. Our findings demonstrate the importance of long-term monitoring of taxa from across trophic levels within the community, allowing for detecting shifts in sensitivities and responses and thus for updated inference in the light of added information. With the global change in climate, the Arctic has been pinpointed as the region experiencing the fastest rates of change. As a result, Arctic biological responses—such as shifts in phenology—are expected to outpace those at lower latitudes. 15 years ago, a decade-long dataset from Zackenberg in High Arctic Greenland revealed rapid rates of phenological change. 1 To explore how the timing of spring phenology has developed since, we revisit the Zackenberg time series on flowering plants, arthropods, and birds. Drawing on the full 25-year period of 1996–2020, we find little directional change in the timing of events despite ongoing climatic change. We attribute this finding to a shift in the temporal patterns of climate conditions, from previous directional change to current high inter-annual ... Article in Journal/Newspaper Arctic Arctic Climate change Greenland Zackenberg Aarhus University: Research Arctic Greenland Current Biology 33 15 3244 3249.e3 |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
Aarhus University: Research |
op_collection_id |
ftuniaarhuspubl |
language |
English |
topic |
arthropods birds climate emergence flowering plants reproduction snow Temperature Animals Climate Change Arctic Regions Flowers/physiology Seasons |
spellingShingle |
arthropods birds climate emergence flowering plants reproduction snow Temperature Animals Climate Change Arctic Regions Flowers/physiology Seasons Schmidt, Niels Martin Kankaanpää, Tuomas Tiusanen, Mikko Reneerkens, Jeroen Versluijs, Tom S.L. Hansen, Lars Holst Hansen, Jannik Gerlich, Hannah Sørine Høye, Toke T. Cirtwill, Alyssa R. Zhemchuzhnikov, Mikhail K. Peña-Aguilera, Pablo Roslin, Tomas Little directional change in the timing of Arctic spring phenology over the past 25 years |
topic_facet |
arthropods birds climate emergence flowering plants reproduction snow Temperature Animals Climate Change Arctic Regions Flowers/physiology Seasons |
description |
Summary With the global change in climate, the Arctic has been pinpointed as the region experiencing the fastest rates of change. As a result, Arctic biological responses—such as shifts in phenology—are expected to outpace those at lower latitudes. 15 years ago, a decade-long dataset from Zackenberg in High Arctic Greenland revealed rapid rates of phenological change.1 To explore how the timing of spring phenology has developed since, we revisit the Zackenberg time series on flowering plants, arthropods, and birds. Drawing on the full 25-year period of 1996–2020, we find little directional change in the timing of events despite ongoing climatic change. We attribute this finding to a shift in the temporal patterns of climate conditions, from previous directional change to current high inter-annual variability. Additionally, some taxa appear to have reached the limits of their phenological responses, resulting in a leveling off in their phenological responses in warm years. Our findings demonstrate the importance of long-term monitoring of taxa from across trophic levels within the community, allowing for detecting shifts in sensitivities and responses and thus for updated inference in the light of added information. With the global change in climate, the Arctic has been pinpointed as the region experiencing the fastest rates of change. As a result, Arctic biological responses—such as shifts in phenology—are expected to outpace those at lower latitudes. 15 years ago, a decade-long dataset from Zackenberg in High Arctic Greenland revealed rapid rates of phenological change. 1 To explore how the timing of spring phenology has developed since, we revisit the Zackenberg time series on flowering plants, arthropods, and birds. Drawing on the full 25-year period of 1996–2020, we find little directional change in the timing of events despite ongoing climatic change. We attribute this finding to a shift in the temporal patterns of climate conditions, from previous directional change to current high inter-annual ... |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Schmidt, Niels Martin Kankaanpää, Tuomas Tiusanen, Mikko Reneerkens, Jeroen Versluijs, Tom S.L. Hansen, Lars Holst Hansen, Jannik Gerlich, Hannah Sørine Høye, Toke T. Cirtwill, Alyssa R. Zhemchuzhnikov, Mikhail K. Peña-Aguilera, Pablo Roslin, Tomas |
author_facet |
Schmidt, Niels Martin Kankaanpää, Tuomas Tiusanen, Mikko Reneerkens, Jeroen Versluijs, Tom S.L. Hansen, Lars Holst Hansen, Jannik Gerlich, Hannah Sørine Høye, Toke T. Cirtwill, Alyssa R. Zhemchuzhnikov, Mikhail K. Peña-Aguilera, Pablo Roslin, Tomas |
author_sort |
Schmidt, Niels Martin |
title |
Little directional change in the timing of Arctic spring phenology over the past 25 years |
title_short |
Little directional change in the timing of Arctic spring phenology over the past 25 years |
title_full |
Little directional change in the timing of Arctic spring phenology over the past 25 years |
title_fullStr |
Little directional change in the timing of Arctic spring phenology over the past 25 years |
title_full_unstemmed |
Little directional change in the timing of Arctic spring phenology over the past 25 years |
title_sort |
little directional change in the timing of arctic spring phenology over the past 25 years |
publishDate |
2023 |
url |
https://pure.au.dk/portal/en/publications/56a44e39-03d6-4dc1-9d4f-a09c319ed511 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cub.2023.06.038 http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85167480068&partnerID=8YFLogxK https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0960982223008230 |
geographic |
Arctic Greenland |
geographic_facet |
Arctic Greenland |
genre |
Arctic Arctic Climate change Greenland Zackenberg |
genre_facet |
Arctic Arctic Climate change Greenland Zackenberg |
op_source |
Schmidt , N M , Kankaanpää , T , Tiusanen , M , Reneerkens , J , Versluijs , T S L , Hansen , L H , Hansen , J , Gerlich , H S , Høye , T T , Cirtwill , A R , Zhemchuzhnikov , M K , Peña-Aguilera , P & Roslin , T 2023 , ' Little directional change in the timing of Arctic spring phenology over the past 25 years ' , Current Biology , vol. 33 , no. 15 , pp. 3244-3249.e3 . https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cub.2023.06.038 |
op_relation |
https://pure.au.dk/portal/en/publications/56a44e39-03d6-4dc1-9d4f-a09c319ed511 |
op_rights |
info:eu-repo/semantics/restrictedAccess |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cub.2023.06.038 |
container_title |
Current Biology |
container_volume |
33 |
container_issue |
15 |
container_start_page |
3244 |
op_container_end_page |
3249.e3 |
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1790595461276499968 |