The missing pieces for better future predictions in subarctic ecosystems : A Torneträsk case study
Arctic and subarctic ecosystems are experiencing substantial changes in hydrology, vegetation, permafrost conditions, and carbon cycling, in response to climatic change and other anthropogenic drivers, and these changes are likely to continue over this century. The total magnitude of these changes r...
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Umeå universitet, Institutionen för ekologi, miljö och geovetenskap
2021
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Online Access: | http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:umu:diva-175921 https://doi.org/10.1007/s13280-020-01381-1 |
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ftumeauniv:oai:DiVA.org:umu-175921 2023-10-09T21:48:37+02:00 The missing pieces for better future predictions in subarctic ecosystems : A Torneträsk case study Pascual, Didac Akerman, Jonas Becher, Marina Callaghan, Terry V. Christensen, Torben R. Dorrepaal, Ellen Emanuelsson, Urban Giesler, Reiner Hammarlund, Dan Hanna, Edward Hofgaard, Annika Jin, Hongxiao Johansson, Cecilia Jonasson, Christer Klaminder, Jonatan Karlsson, Jan Lundin, Erik Michelsen, Anders Olefeldt, David Persson, Andreas Phoenix, Gareth K. Raczkowska, Zofia Rinnan, Riikka Strom, Lena Tang, Jing Varner, Ruth K. Wookey, Philip Johansson, Margareta 2021 application/pdf http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:umu:diva-175921 https://doi.org/10.1007/s13280-020-01381-1 eng eng Umeå universitet, Institutionen för ekologi, miljö och geovetenskap Climate Impacts Research Centre Ambio, 0044-7447, 2021, 50:2, s. 375-392 orcid:0000-0002-0523-2471 orcid:0000-0002-6381-4509 orcid:0000-0002-8683-182X orcid:0000-0001-8814-0013 orcid:0000-0001-5730-0694 orcid:0000-0002-3785-8305 orcid:0000-0002-9541-8658 orcid:0000-0001-7961-8214 http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:umu:diva-175921 doi:10.1007/s13280-020-01381-1 PMID 32920769 ISI:000568974700002 Scopus 2-s2.0-85090978576 info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess Abiotic drivers Arctic and subarctic Biotic drivers Ecosystem change Research priorities Climate Research Klimatforskning Article in journal info:eu-repo/semantics/article text 2021 ftumeauniv https://doi.org/10.1007/s13280-020-01381-1 2023-09-22T13:54:19Z Arctic and subarctic ecosystems are experiencing substantial changes in hydrology, vegetation, permafrost conditions, and carbon cycling, in response to climatic change and other anthropogenic drivers, and these changes are likely to continue over this century. The total magnitude of these changes results from multiple interactions among these drivers. Field measurements can address the overall responses to different changing drivers, but are less capable of quantifying the interactions among them. Currently, a comprehensive assessment of the drivers of ecosystem changes, and the magnitude of their direct and indirect impacts on subarctic ecosystems, is missing. The Tornetrask area, in the Swedish subarctic, has an unrivalled history of environmental observation over 100 years, and is one of the most studied sites in the Arctic. In this study, we summarize and rank the drivers of ecosystem change in the Tornetrask area, and propose research priorities identified, by expert assessment, to improve predictions of ecosystem changes. The research priorities identified include understanding impacts on ecosystems brought on by altered frequency and intensity of winter warming events, evapotranspiration rates, rainfall, duration of snow cover and lake-ice, changed soil moisture, and droughts. This case study can help us understand the ongoing ecosystem changes occurring in the Tornetrask area, and contribute to improve predictions of future ecosystem changes at a larger scale. This understanding will provide the basis for the future mitigation and adaptation plans needed in a changing climate. Article in Journal/Newspaper Arctic Ice permafrost Subarctic Umeå University: Publications (DiVA) Arctic Torneträsk ENVELOPE(18.861,18.861,68.392,68.392) Ambio 50 2 375 392 |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
Umeå University: Publications (DiVA) |
op_collection_id |
ftumeauniv |
language |
English |
topic |
Abiotic drivers Arctic and subarctic Biotic drivers Ecosystem change Research priorities Climate Research Klimatforskning |
spellingShingle |
Abiotic drivers Arctic and subarctic Biotic drivers Ecosystem change Research priorities Climate Research Klimatforskning Pascual, Didac Akerman, Jonas Becher, Marina Callaghan, Terry V. Christensen, Torben R. Dorrepaal, Ellen Emanuelsson, Urban Giesler, Reiner Hammarlund, Dan Hanna, Edward Hofgaard, Annika Jin, Hongxiao Johansson, Cecilia Jonasson, Christer Klaminder, Jonatan Karlsson, Jan Lundin, Erik Michelsen, Anders Olefeldt, David Persson, Andreas Phoenix, Gareth K. Raczkowska, Zofia Rinnan, Riikka Strom, Lena Tang, Jing Varner, Ruth K. Wookey, Philip Johansson, Margareta The missing pieces for better future predictions in subarctic ecosystems : A Torneträsk case study |
topic_facet |
Abiotic drivers Arctic and subarctic Biotic drivers Ecosystem change Research priorities Climate Research Klimatforskning |
description |
Arctic and subarctic ecosystems are experiencing substantial changes in hydrology, vegetation, permafrost conditions, and carbon cycling, in response to climatic change and other anthropogenic drivers, and these changes are likely to continue over this century. The total magnitude of these changes results from multiple interactions among these drivers. Field measurements can address the overall responses to different changing drivers, but are less capable of quantifying the interactions among them. Currently, a comprehensive assessment of the drivers of ecosystem changes, and the magnitude of their direct and indirect impacts on subarctic ecosystems, is missing. The Tornetrask area, in the Swedish subarctic, has an unrivalled history of environmental observation over 100 years, and is one of the most studied sites in the Arctic. In this study, we summarize and rank the drivers of ecosystem change in the Tornetrask area, and propose research priorities identified, by expert assessment, to improve predictions of ecosystem changes. The research priorities identified include understanding impacts on ecosystems brought on by altered frequency and intensity of winter warming events, evapotranspiration rates, rainfall, duration of snow cover and lake-ice, changed soil moisture, and droughts. This case study can help us understand the ongoing ecosystem changes occurring in the Tornetrask area, and contribute to improve predictions of future ecosystem changes at a larger scale. This understanding will provide the basis for the future mitigation and adaptation plans needed in a changing climate. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Pascual, Didac Akerman, Jonas Becher, Marina Callaghan, Terry V. Christensen, Torben R. Dorrepaal, Ellen Emanuelsson, Urban Giesler, Reiner Hammarlund, Dan Hanna, Edward Hofgaard, Annika Jin, Hongxiao Johansson, Cecilia Jonasson, Christer Klaminder, Jonatan Karlsson, Jan Lundin, Erik Michelsen, Anders Olefeldt, David Persson, Andreas Phoenix, Gareth K. Raczkowska, Zofia Rinnan, Riikka Strom, Lena Tang, Jing Varner, Ruth K. Wookey, Philip Johansson, Margareta |
author_facet |
Pascual, Didac Akerman, Jonas Becher, Marina Callaghan, Terry V. Christensen, Torben R. Dorrepaal, Ellen Emanuelsson, Urban Giesler, Reiner Hammarlund, Dan Hanna, Edward Hofgaard, Annika Jin, Hongxiao Johansson, Cecilia Jonasson, Christer Klaminder, Jonatan Karlsson, Jan Lundin, Erik Michelsen, Anders Olefeldt, David Persson, Andreas Phoenix, Gareth K. Raczkowska, Zofia Rinnan, Riikka Strom, Lena Tang, Jing Varner, Ruth K. Wookey, Philip Johansson, Margareta |
author_sort |
Pascual, Didac |
title |
The missing pieces for better future predictions in subarctic ecosystems : A Torneträsk case study |
title_short |
The missing pieces for better future predictions in subarctic ecosystems : A Torneträsk case study |
title_full |
The missing pieces for better future predictions in subarctic ecosystems : A Torneträsk case study |
title_fullStr |
The missing pieces for better future predictions in subarctic ecosystems : A Torneträsk case study |
title_full_unstemmed |
The missing pieces for better future predictions in subarctic ecosystems : A Torneträsk case study |
title_sort |
missing pieces for better future predictions in subarctic ecosystems : a torneträsk case study |
publisher |
Umeå universitet, Institutionen för ekologi, miljö och geovetenskap |
publishDate |
2021 |
url |
http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:umu:diva-175921 https://doi.org/10.1007/s13280-020-01381-1 |
long_lat |
ENVELOPE(18.861,18.861,68.392,68.392) |
geographic |
Arctic Torneträsk |
geographic_facet |
Arctic Torneträsk |
genre |
Arctic Ice permafrost Subarctic |
genre_facet |
Arctic Ice permafrost Subarctic |
op_relation |
Ambio, 0044-7447, 2021, 50:2, s. 375-392 orcid:0000-0002-0523-2471 orcid:0000-0002-6381-4509 orcid:0000-0002-8683-182X orcid:0000-0001-8814-0013 orcid:0000-0001-5730-0694 orcid:0000-0002-3785-8305 orcid:0000-0002-9541-8658 orcid:0000-0001-7961-8214 http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:umu:diva-175921 doi:10.1007/s13280-020-01381-1 PMID 32920769 ISI:000568974700002 Scopus 2-s2.0-85090978576 |
op_rights |
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1007/s13280-020-01381-1 |
container_title |
Ambio |
container_volume |
50 |
container_issue |
2 |
container_start_page |
375 |
op_container_end_page |
392 |
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1779311703837638656 |