On the association between weather variability and total and cause-specific mortality before and during industrialization in Sweden
BACKGROUND: While there is ample evidence for health risks associated with heat and other extreme weather events today, little is known about the impact of weather patterns on population health in preindustrial societies. OBJECTIVE: To investigate the impact of weather patterns on population health...
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Umeå universitet, Yrkes- och miljömedicin
2016
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ftumeauniv:oai:DiVA.org:umu-127048 2023-10-09T21:54:35+02:00 On the association between weather variability and total and cause-specific mortality before and during industrialization in Sweden Åström, Daniel Oudin Edvinsson, Sören Hondula, Daniel Rocklöv, Joacim Schumann, Barbara 2016 application/pdf http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:umu:diva-127048 https://doi.org/10.4054/DemRes.2016.35.33 eng eng Umeå universitet, Yrkes- och miljömedicin Umeå universitet, Enheten för demografi och åldrandeforskning (CEDAR) Umeå universitet, Epidemiologi och global hälsa Centre for Primary Health Care Research, Department of Clinical Science, Malmö, Lund University, Lund Demographic Research, 1435-9871, 2016, 35, s. 991-1009 http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:umu:diva-127048 doi:10.4054/DemRes.2016.35.33 ISI:000384716400001 Scopus 2-s2.0-85006957200 info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess Public Health Global Health Social Medicine and Epidemiology Folkhälsovetenskap global hälsa socialmedicin och epidemiologi Article in journal info:eu-repo/semantics/article text 2016 ftumeauniv https://doi.org/10.4054/DemRes.2016.35.33 2023-09-22T13:59:16Z BACKGROUND: While there is ample evidence for health risks associated with heat and other extreme weather events today, little is known about the impact of weather patterns on population health in preindustrial societies. OBJECTIVE: To investigate the impact of weather patterns on population health in Sweden before and during industrialization. METHODS: We obtained records of monthly mortality and of monthly mean temperatures and precipitation for Skelleftea parish, northern Sweden, for the period 1800-1950. The associations between monthly total mortality, as well as monthly mortality due to infectious and cardiovascular diseases, and monthly mean temperature and cumulative precipitation were modelled using a time series approach for three separate periods, 1800-1859, 1860-1909, and 1910-1950. RESULTS: We found higher temperatures and higher amounts of precipitation to be associated with lower mortality both in the medium term (same month and two-months lag) and in the long run (lag of six months up to a year). Similar patterns were found for mortality due to infectious and cardiovascular diseases. Furthermore, the effect of temperature and precipitation decreased over time. CONCLUSIONS: Higher temperature and precipitation amounts were associated with reduced death counts with a lag of up to 12 months. The decreased effect over time may be due to improvements in nutritional status, decreased infant deaths, and other changes in society that occurred in the course of the demographic and epidemiological transition. CONTRIBUTION: The study contributes to a better understanding of the complex relationship between weather and mortality and, in particular, historical weather-related mortality. Article in Journal/Newspaper Northern Sweden Umeå University: Publications (DiVA) Demographic Research 35 991 1010 |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
Umeå University: Publications (DiVA) |
op_collection_id |
ftumeauniv |
language |
English |
topic |
Public Health Global Health Social Medicine and Epidemiology Folkhälsovetenskap global hälsa socialmedicin och epidemiologi |
spellingShingle |
Public Health Global Health Social Medicine and Epidemiology Folkhälsovetenskap global hälsa socialmedicin och epidemiologi Åström, Daniel Oudin Edvinsson, Sören Hondula, Daniel Rocklöv, Joacim Schumann, Barbara On the association between weather variability and total and cause-specific mortality before and during industrialization in Sweden |
topic_facet |
Public Health Global Health Social Medicine and Epidemiology Folkhälsovetenskap global hälsa socialmedicin och epidemiologi |
description |
BACKGROUND: While there is ample evidence for health risks associated with heat and other extreme weather events today, little is known about the impact of weather patterns on population health in preindustrial societies. OBJECTIVE: To investigate the impact of weather patterns on population health in Sweden before and during industrialization. METHODS: We obtained records of monthly mortality and of monthly mean temperatures and precipitation for Skelleftea parish, northern Sweden, for the period 1800-1950. The associations between monthly total mortality, as well as monthly mortality due to infectious and cardiovascular diseases, and monthly mean temperature and cumulative precipitation were modelled using a time series approach for three separate periods, 1800-1859, 1860-1909, and 1910-1950. RESULTS: We found higher temperatures and higher amounts of precipitation to be associated with lower mortality both in the medium term (same month and two-months lag) and in the long run (lag of six months up to a year). Similar patterns were found for mortality due to infectious and cardiovascular diseases. Furthermore, the effect of temperature and precipitation decreased over time. CONCLUSIONS: Higher temperature and precipitation amounts were associated with reduced death counts with a lag of up to 12 months. The decreased effect over time may be due to improvements in nutritional status, decreased infant deaths, and other changes in society that occurred in the course of the demographic and epidemiological transition. CONTRIBUTION: The study contributes to a better understanding of the complex relationship between weather and mortality and, in particular, historical weather-related mortality. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Åström, Daniel Oudin Edvinsson, Sören Hondula, Daniel Rocklöv, Joacim Schumann, Barbara |
author_facet |
Åström, Daniel Oudin Edvinsson, Sören Hondula, Daniel Rocklöv, Joacim Schumann, Barbara |
author_sort |
Åström, Daniel Oudin |
title |
On the association between weather variability and total and cause-specific mortality before and during industrialization in Sweden |
title_short |
On the association between weather variability and total and cause-specific mortality before and during industrialization in Sweden |
title_full |
On the association between weather variability and total and cause-specific mortality before and during industrialization in Sweden |
title_fullStr |
On the association between weather variability and total and cause-specific mortality before and during industrialization in Sweden |
title_full_unstemmed |
On the association between weather variability and total and cause-specific mortality before and during industrialization in Sweden |
title_sort |
on the association between weather variability and total and cause-specific mortality before and during industrialization in sweden |
publisher |
Umeå universitet, Yrkes- och miljömedicin |
publishDate |
2016 |
url |
http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:umu:diva-127048 https://doi.org/10.4054/DemRes.2016.35.33 |
genre |
Northern Sweden |
genre_facet |
Northern Sweden |
op_relation |
Demographic Research, 1435-9871, 2016, 35, s. 991-1009 http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:umu:diva-127048 doi:10.4054/DemRes.2016.35.33 ISI:000384716400001 Scopus 2-s2.0-85006957200 |
op_rights |
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.4054/DemRes.2016.35.33 |
container_title |
Demographic Research |
container_volume |
35 |
container_start_page |
991 |
op_container_end_page |
1010 |
_version_ |
1779318220155518976 |