Trees tracking a warmer climate: The Holocene range shift of hazel (Corylus avellana) in northern Europe
Palaeoecological records provide a rich source of information to explore how plant distribution ranges respond to climate changes, but their use is complicated by the fact that, especially when based on pollen data, they are often spatially too inaccurate to reliably determine past range limits. To...
Published in: | The Holocene |
---|---|
Main Authors: | , , , , , , , |
Format: | Article in Journal/Newspaper |
Language: | English |
Published: |
SAGE Publications
2015
|
Subjects: | |
Online Access: | https://lup.lub.lu.se/record/4950742 https://doi.org/10.1177/0959683614556377 |
id |
ftulundlup:oai:lup.lub.lu.se:7f215b82-c147-4bba-aa5f-0a6d78dad207 |
---|---|
record_format |
openpolar |
spelling |
ftulundlup:oai:lup.lub.lu.se:7f215b82-c147-4bba-aa5f-0a6d78dad207 2023-05-15T16:11:43+02:00 Trees tracking a warmer climate: The Holocene range shift of hazel (Corylus avellana) in northern Europe Seppa, Heikki Schurgers, Guy Miller, Paul Bjune, Anne E. Giesecke, Thomas Kuehl, Norbert Renssen, Hans Salonen, J. Sakari 2015 https://lup.lub.lu.se/record/4950742 https://doi.org/10.1177/0959683614556377 eng eng SAGE Publications https://lup.lub.lu.se/record/4950742 http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/0959683614556377 wos:000346178000005 scopus:84918510030 The Holocene; 25(1), pp 53-63 (2015) ISSN: 0959-6836 Physical Geography bioclimatic space climatic equilibrium Holocene thermal maximum palaeo-analogue potential range vegetation model contributiontojournal/article info:eu-repo/semantics/article text 2015 ftulundlup https://doi.org/10.1177/0959683614556377 2023-02-01T23:29:44Z Palaeoecological records provide a rich source of information to explore how plant distribution ranges respond to climate changes, but their use is complicated by the fact that, especially when based on pollen data, they are often spatially too inaccurate to reliably determine past range limits. To solve this problem, we focus on hazel (Corylus avellana), a tree species with large and heavy fruits (nuts), which provide firm evidence of the local occurrence of species in the past. We combine the fossil nut records of hazel from Fennoscandia, map its maximum distribution range during the Holocene thermal maximum (HTM) and compare the fossil record with the Holocene hazel range shift as simulated by the LPJ-GUESS dynamic vegetation model. The results show that the current northern range limit of hazel in central and eastern Fennoscandia is constrained by too short growing seasons and too long and cold winters and demonstrate that the species responded to the HTM warming of about 2.5 degrees C (relative to the present) by shifting its range limit up to 63-64 degrees N, reached a rough equilibrium with the HTM climatic conditions and retreated from there to about 60 degrees N during the last 4000 years in response to the late-Holocene cooling. Thus, the projected future warming of about 2.5 degrees C would reverse the long-term southward retraction of species' northern range limit in Europe and is likely to lead to hazel being a common, regeneratively reproductive species up to 63-64 degrees N. In addition to the accuracy of the projected warming, the likelihood of this scenario will depend on inter-specific competition with other tree taxa and the potential of hazel to migrate and its population to grow in balance with the warming. In general, the range dynamics from the HTM to the present suggest a tight climatic control over hazel's range limit in Fennoscandia. Article in Journal/Newspaper Fennoscandia Lund University Publications (LUP) The Holocene 25 1 53 63 |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
Lund University Publications (LUP) |
op_collection_id |
ftulundlup |
language |
English |
topic |
Physical Geography bioclimatic space climatic equilibrium Holocene thermal maximum palaeo-analogue potential range vegetation model |
spellingShingle |
Physical Geography bioclimatic space climatic equilibrium Holocene thermal maximum palaeo-analogue potential range vegetation model Seppa, Heikki Schurgers, Guy Miller, Paul Bjune, Anne E. Giesecke, Thomas Kuehl, Norbert Renssen, Hans Salonen, J. Sakari Trees tracking a warmer climate: The Holocene range shift of hazel (Corylus avellana) in northern Europe |
topic_facet |
Physical Geography bioclimatic space climatic equilibrium Holocene thermal maximum palaeo-analogue potential range vegetation model |
description |
Palaeoecological records provide a rich source of information to explore how plant distribution ranges respond to climate changes, but their use is complicated by the fact that, especially when based on pollen data, they are often spatially too inaccurate to reliably determine past range limits. To solve this problem, we focus on hazel (Corylus avellana), a tree species with large and heavy fruits (nuts), which provide firm evidence of the local occurrence of species in the past. We combine the fossil nut records of hazel from Fennoscandia, map its maximum distribution range during the Holocene thermal maximum (HTM) and compare the fossil record with the Holocene hazel range shift as simulated by the LPJ-GUESS dynamic vegetation model. The results show that the current northern range limit of hazel in central and eastern Fennoscandia is constrained by too short growing seasons and too long and cold winters and demonstrate that the species responded to the HTM warming of about 2.5 degrees C (relative to the present) by shifting its range limit up to 63-64 degrees N, reached a rough equilibrium with the HTM climatic conditions and retreated from there to about 60 degrees N during the last 4000 years in response to the late-Holocene cooling. Thus, the projected future warming of about 2.5 degrees C would reverse the long-term southward retraction of species' northern range limit in Europe and is likely to lead to hazel being a common, regeneratively reproductive species up to 63-64 degrees N. In addition to the accuracy of the projected warming, the likelihood of this scenario will depend on inter-specific competition with other tree taxa and the potential of hazel to migrate and its population to grow in balance with the warming. In general, the range dynamics from the HTM to the present suggest a tight climatic control over hazel's range limit in Fennoscandia. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Seppa, Heikki Schurgers, Guy Miller, Paul Bjune, Anne E. Giesecke, Thomas Kuehl, Norbert Renssen, Hans Salonen, J. Sakari |
author_facet |
Seppa, Heikki Schurgers, Guy Miller, Paul Bjune, Anne E. Giesecke, Thomas Kuehl, Norbert Renssen, Hans Salonen, J. Sakari |
author_sort |
Seppa, Heikki |
title |
Trees tracking a warmer climate: The Holocene range shift of hazel (Corylus avellana) in northern Europe |
title_short |
Trees tracking a warmer climate: The Holocene range shift of hazel (Corylus avellana) in northern Europe |
title_full |
Trees tracking a warmer climate: The Holocene range shift of hazel (Corylus avellana) in northern Europe |
title_fullStr |
Trees tracking a warmer climate: The Holocene range shift of hazel (Corylus avellana) in northern Europe |
title_full_unstemmed |
Trees tracking a warmer climate: The Holocene range shift of hazel (Corylus avellana) in northern Europe |
title_sort |
trees tracking a warmer climate: the holocene range shift of hazel (corylus avellana) in northern europe |
publisher |
SAGE Publications |
publishDate |
2015 |
url |
https://lup.lub.lu.se/record/4950742 https://doi.org/10.1177/0959683614556377 |
genre |
Fennoscandia |
genre_facet |
Fennoscandia |
op_source |
The Holocene; 25(1), pp 53-63 (2015) ISSN: 0959-6836 |
op_relation |
https://lup.lub.lu.se/record/4950742 http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/0959683614556377 wos:000346178000005 scopus:84918510030 |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1177/0959683614556377 |
container_title |
The Holocene |
container_volume |
25 |
container_issue |
1 |
container_start_page |
53 |
op_container_end_page |
63 |
_version_ |
1765996878197948416 |