Plant traits poorly predict winner and loser shrub species in a warming tundra biome
Climate change is leading to species redistributions. In the tundra biome, shrubs are generally expanding, but not all tundra shrub species will benefit from warming. Winner and loser species, and the characteristics that may determine success or failure, have not yet been fully identified. Here, we...
Published in: | Nature Communications |
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Main Authors: | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , |
Format: | Article in Journal/Newspaper |
Language: | English |
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2023
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Online Access: | https://research.ulapland.fi/fi/publications/7d334c79-5e86-4a5e-9b04-b0cdb178282a https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-39573-4 https://lacris.ulapland.fi/ws/files/37974139/Plant-traits-poorly-predict-winner-and-loser-shrub-species-in-a-warming-tundra-biome.pdf |
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ftulaplandcdispu:oai:lacris.ulapland.fi:publications/7d334c79-5e86-4a5e-9b04-b0cdb178282a |
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openpolar |
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Open Polar |
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LaCRIS - University of Lapland Current Research System |
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ftulaplandcdispu |
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English |
topic |
biodiversity biogeography climate-change ecology plants shrubs tundra /dk/atira/pure/person/fieldofscience2010/1/18/1 name=Ecology evolutionary biology /dk/atira/pure/person/fieldofscience2010/1/18/3 name=Plant biology microbiology virology |
spellingShingle |
biodiversity biogeography climate-change ecology plants shrubs tundra /dk/atira/pure/person/fieldofscience2010/1/18/1 name=Ecology evolutionary biology /dk/atira/pure/person/fieldofscience2010/1/18/3 name=Plant biology microbiology virology García Criado, Mariana Myers-Smith, Isla H. Bjorkman, Anne D. Normand, Signe Blach-Overgaard, Anne Thomas, Haydn J. D. Eskelinen, Anu Happonen, Konsta Alatalo, Juha M. Anadon-Rosell, Alba Aubin, Isabelle te Beest, Mariska Betway-May, Katlyn R. Blok, Daan Buras, Allan Cerabolini, Bruno E. L. Christie, Katherine Cornelissen, J. Hans C. Forbes, Bruce C. Frei, Esther R. Grogan, Paul Hermanutz, Luise Hollister, Robert D. Hudson, James Iturrate-Garcia, Maitane Kaarlejärvi, Elina Kleyer, Michael Lamarque, Laurent J. Lembrechts, Jonas J. Lévesque, Esther Luoto, Miska Macek, Petr May, Jeremy L. Prevéy, Janet S. Schaepman-Strub, Gabriela Sheremetiev, Serge N. Siegwart Collier, Laura Soudzilovskaia, Nadejda A. Trant, Andrew Venn, Susanna E. Virkkala, Anna-Maria Plant traits poorly predict winner and loser shrub species in a warming tundra biome |
topic_facet |
biodiversity biogeography climate-change ecology plants shrubs tundra /dk/atira/pure/person/fieldofscience2010/1/18/1 name=Ecology evolutionary biology /dk/atira/pure/person/fieldofscience2010/1/18/3 name=Plant biology microbiology virology |
description |
Climate change is leading to species redistributions. In the tundra biome, shrubs are generally expanding, but not all tundra shrub species will benefit from warming. Winner and loser species, and the characteristics that may determine success or failure, have not yet been fully identified. Here, we investigate whether past abundance changes, current range sizes and projected range shifts derived from species distribution models are related to plant trait values and intraspecific trait variation. We combined 17,921 trait records with observed past and modelled future distributions from 62 tundra shrub species across three continents. We found that species with greater variation in seed mass and specific leaf area had larger projected range shifts, and projected winner species had greater seed mass values. However, trait values and variation were not consistently related to current and projected ranges, nor to past abundance change. Overall, our findings indicate that abundance change and range shifts will not lead to directional modifications in shrub trait composition, since winner and loser species share relatively similar trait spaces. Climate change is leading to species redistributions. In the tundra biome, shrubs are generally expanding, but not all tundra shrub species will benefit from warming. Winner and loser species, and the characteristics that may determine success or failure, have not yet been fully identified. Here, we investigate whether past abundance changes, current range sizes and projected range shifts derived from species distribution models are related to plant trait values and intraspecific trait variation. We combined 17,921 trait records with observed past and modelled future distributions from 62 tundra shrub species across three continents. We found that species with greater variation in seed mass and specific leaf area had larger projected range shifts, and projected winner species had greater seed mass values. However, trait values and variation were not consistently related to ... |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
García Criado, Mariana Myers-Smith, Isla H. Bjorkman, Anne D. Normand, Signe Blach-Overgaard, Anne Thomas, Haydn J. D. Eskelinen, Anu Happonen, Konsta Alatalo, Juha M. Anadon-Rosell, Alba Aubin, Isabelle te Beest, Mariska Betway-May, Katlyn R. Blok, Daan Buras, Allan Cerabolini, Bruno E. L. Christie, Katherine Cornelissen, J. Hans C. Forbes, Bruce C. Frei, Esther R. Grogan, Paul Hermanutz, Luise Hollister, Robert D. Hudson, James Iturrate-Garcia, Maitane Kaarlejärvi, Elina Kleyer, Michael Lamarque, Laurent J. Lembrechts, Jonas J. Lévesque, Esther Luoto, Miska Macek, Petr May, Jeremy L. Prevéy, Janet S. Schaepman-Strub, Gabriela Sheremetiev, Serge N. Siegwart Collier, Laura Soudzilovskaia, Nadejda A. Trant, Andrew Venn, Susanna E. Virkkala, Anna-Maria |
author_facet |
García Criado, Mariana Myers-Smith, Isla H. Bjorkman, Anne D. Normand, Signe Blach-Overgaard, Anne Thomas, Haydn J. D. Eskelinen, Anu Happonen, Konsta Alatalo, Juha M. Anadon-Rosell, Alba Aubin, Isabelle te Beest, Mariska Betway-May, Katlyn R. Blok, Daan Buras, Allan Cerabolini, Bruno E. L. Christie, Katherine Cornelissen, J. Hans C. Forbes, Bruce C. Frei, Esther R. Grogan, Paul Hermanutz, Luise Hollister, Robert D. Hudson, James Iturrate-Garcia, Maitane Kaarlejärvi, Elina Kleyer, Michael Lamarque, Laurent J. Lembrechts, Jonas J. Lévesque, Esther Luoto, Miska Macek, Petr May, Jeremy L. Prevéy, Janet S. Schaepman-Strub, Gabriela Sheremetiev, Serge N. Siegwart Collier, Laura Soudzilovskaia, Nadejda A. Trant, Andrew Venn, Susanna E. Virkkala, Anna-Maria |
author_sort |
García Criado, Mariana |
title |
Plant traits poorly predict winner and loser shrub species in a warming tundra biome |
title_short |
Plant traits poorly predict winner and loser shrub species in a warming tundra biome |
title_full |
Plant traits poorly predict winner and loser shrub species in a warming tundra biome |
title_fullStr |
Plant traits poorly predict winner and loser shrub species in a warming tundra biome |
title_full_unstemmed |
Plant traits poorly predict winner and loser shrub species in a warming tundra biome |
title_sort |
plant traits poorly predict winner and loser shrub species in a warming tundra biome |
publishDate |
2023 |
url |
https://research.ulapland.fi/fi/publications/7d334c79-5e86-4a5e-9b04-b0cdb178282a https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-39573-4 https://lacris.ulapland.fi/ws/files/37974139/Plant-traits-poorly-predict-winner-and-loser-shrub-species-in-a-warming-tundra-biome.pdf |
genre |
Tundra |
genre_facet |
Tundra |
op_source |
García Criado , M , Myers-Smith , I H , Bjorkman , A D , Normand , S , Blach-Overgaard , A , Thomas , H J D , Eskelinen , A , Happonen , K , Alatalo , J M , Anadon-Rosell , A , Aubin , I , te Beest , M , Betway-May , K R , Blok , D , Buras , A , Cerabolini , B E L , Christie , K , Cornelissen , J H C , Forbes , B C , Frei , E R , Grogan , P , Hermanutz , L , Hollister , R D , Hudson , J , Iturrate-Garcia , M , Kaarlejärvi , E , Kleyer , M , Lamarque , L J , Lembrechts , J J , Lévesque , E , Luoto , M , Macek , P , May , J L , Prevéy , J S , Schaepman-Strub , G , Sheremetiev , S N , Siegwart Collier , L , Soudzilovskaia , N A , Trant , A , Venn , S E & Virkkala , A-M 2023 , ' Plant traits poorly predict winner and loser shrub species in a warming tundra biome ' , Nature Communications , vol. 14 , 3837 . https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-39573-4 |
op_relation |
https://research.ulapland.fi/fi/publications/7d334c79-5e86-4a5e-9b04-b0cdb178282a |
op_rights |
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-39573-4 |
container_title |
Nature Communications |
container_volume |
14 |
container_issue |
1 |
_version_ |
1810483923202867200 |
spelling |
ftulaplandcdispu:oai:lacris.ulapland.fi:publications/7d334c79-5e86-4a5e-9b04-b0cdb178282a 2024-09-15T18:39:34+00:00 Plant traits poorly predict winner and loser shrub species in a warming tundra biome García Criado, Mariana Myers-Smith, Isla H. Bjorkman, Anne D. Normand, Signe Blach-Overgaard, Anne Thomas, Haydn J. D. Eskelinen, Anu Happonen, Konsta Alatalo, Juha M. Anadon-Rosell, Alba Aubin, Isabelle te Beest, Mariska Betway-May, Katlyn R. Blok, Daan Buras, Allan Cerabolini, Bruno E. L. Christie, Katherine Cornelissen, J. Hans C. Forbes, Bruce C. Frei, Esther R. Grogan, Paul Hermanutz, Luise Hollister, Robert D. Hudson, James Iturrate-Garcia, Maitane Kaarlejärvi, Elina Kleyer, Michael Lamarque, Laurent J. Lembrechts, Jonas J. Lévesque, Esther Luoto, Miska Macek, Petr May, Jeremy L. Prevéy, Janet S. Schaepman-Strub, Gabriela Sheremetiev, Serge N. Siegwart Collier, Laura Soudzilovskaia, Nadejda A. Trant, Andrew Venn, Susanna E. Virkkala, Anna-Maria 2023-06-28 application/pdf https://research.ulapland.fi/fi/publications/7d334c79-5e86-4a5e-9b04-b0cdb178282a https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-39573-4 https://lacris.ulapland.fi/ws/files/37974139/Plant-traits-poorly-predict-winner-and-loser-shrub-species-in-a-warming-tundra-biome.pdf eng eng https://research.ulapland.fi/fi/publications/7d334c79-5e86-4a5e-9b04-b0cdb178282a info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess García Criado , M , Myers-Smith , I H , Bjorkman , A D , Normand , S , Blach-Overgaard , A , Thomas , H J D , Eskelinen , A , Happonen , K , Alatalo , J M , Anadon-Rosell , A , Aubin , I , te Beest , M , Betway-May , K R , Blok , D , Buras , A , Cerabolini , B E L , Christie , K , Cornelissen , J H C , Forbes , B C , Frei , E R , Grogan , P , Hermanutz , L , Hollister , R D , Hudson , J , Iturrate-Garcia , M , Kaarlejärvi , E , Kleyer , M , Lamarque , L J , Lembrechts , J J , Lévesque , E , Luoto , M , Macek , P , May , J L , Prevéy , J S , Schaepman-Strub , G , Sheremetiev , S N , Siegwart Collier , L , Soudzilovskaia , N A , Trant , A , Venn , S E & Virkkala , A-M 2023 , ' Plant traits poorly predict winner and loser shrub species in a warming tundra biome ' , Nature Communications , vol. 14 , 3837 . https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-39573-4 biodiversity biogeography climate-change ecology plants shrubs tundra /dk/atira/pure/person/fieldofscience2010/1/18/1 name=Ecology evolutionary biology /dk/atira/pure/person/fieldofscience2010/1/18/3 name=Plant biology microbiology virology article 2023 ftulaplandcdispu https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-39573-4 2024-09-05T23:45:35Z Climate change is leading to species redistributions. In the tundra biome, shrubs are generally expanding, but not all tundra shrub species will benefit from warming. Winner and loser species, and the characteristics that may determine success or failure, have not yet been fully identified. Here, we investigate whether past abundance changes, current range sizes and projected range shifts derived from species distribution models are related to plant trait values and intraspecific trait variation. We combined 17,921 trait records with observed past and modelled future distributions from 62 tundra shrub species across three continents. We found that species with greater variation in seed mass and specific leaf area had larger projected range shifts, and projected winner species had greater seed mass values. However, trait values and variation were not consistently related to current and projected ranges, nor to past abundance change. Overall, our findings indicate that abundance change and range shifts will not lead to directional modifications in shrub trait composition, since winner and loser species share relatively similar trait spaces. Climate change is leading to species redistributions. In the tundra biome, shrubs are generally expanding, but not all tundra shrub species will benefit from warming. Winner and loser species, and the characteristics that may determine success or failure, have not yet been fully identified. Here, we investigate whether past abundance changes, current range sizes and projected range shifts derived from species distribution models are related to plant trait values and intraspecific trait variation. We combined 17,921 trait records with observed past and modelled future distributions from 62 tundra shrub species across three continents. We found that species with greater variation in seed mass and specific leaf area had larger projected range shifts, and projected winner species had greater seed mass values. However, trait values and variation were not consistently related to ... Article in Journal/Newspaper Tundra LaCRIS - University of Lapland Current Research System Nature Communications 14 1 |