Social drivers forewarn of marine regime shifts
Some ecosystems can undergo regime shifts to alternative compositions of species. Although ecological indicators can identify approaching regime shifts, we propose that rapid changes in the social drivers underlying ecosystem change may provide additional and potentially earlier indicators of impend...
Published in: | Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment |
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ftulancaster:oai:eprints.lancs.ac.uk:80029 2023-08-27T04:11:12+02:00 Social drivers forewarn of marine regime shifts Hicks, Christina Crowder, Larry B. Graham, Nicholas Anthony James Kittinger, John N. Le Cornu, Elodie 2016-06 application/pdf https://eprints.lancs.ac.uk/id/eprint/80029/ https://eprints.lancs.ac.uk/id/eprint/80029/1/Hicks_Frontiers_resubmitted_2.pdf https://doi.org/10.1002/fee.1284 en eng https://eprints.lancs.ac.uk/id/eprint/80029/1/Hicks_Frontiers_resubmitted_2.pdf Hicks, Christina and Crowder, Larry B. and Graham, Nicholas Anthony James and Kittinger, John N. and Le Cornu, Elodie (2016) Social drivers forewarn of marine regime shifts. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment, 14 (5). pp. 252-260. ISSN 1540-9295 creative_commons_attribution_noncommercial_4_0_international_license Journal Article PeerReviewed 2016 ftulancaster https://doi.org/10.1002/fee.1284 2023-08-03T22:29:31Z Some ecosystems can undergo regime shifts to alternative compositions of species. Although ecological indicators can identify approaching regime shifts, we propose that rapid changes in the social drivers underlying ecosystem change may provide additional and potentially earlier indicators of impending shifts. We demonstrate this by reconstructing the underlying social drivers of four iconic marine regime shifts: Pacific kelp forests, Northwest Atlantic continental shelf, Jamaican coral reefs, and the Chesapeake Bay estuary. In all cases, a range of social drivers – including opening of lucrative markets, technological innovations, and policies that enhanced the driver – ultimately prompted these ecosystem shifts. Drawing on examples emerging from environmental management practice, we present three practical recommendations for using social drivers as early indicators: monitor social change, determine social trigger points, and identify policy responses. We argue that accounting for the underlying social drivers of ecosystem change could improve decision making. Article in Journal/Newspaper Northwest Atlantic Lancaster University: Lancaster Eprints Pacific Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment 14 5 252 260 |
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Open Polar |
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Lancaster University: Lancaster Eprints |
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ftulancaster |
language |
English |
description |
Some ecosystems can undergo regime shifts to alternative compositions of species. Although ecological indicators can identify approaching regime shifts, we propose that rapid changes in the social drivers underlying ecosystem change may provide additional and potentially earlier indicators of impending shifts. We demonstrate this by reconstructing the underlying social drivers of four iconic marine regime shifts: Pacific kelp forests, Northwest Atlantic continental shelf, Jamaican coral reefs, and the Chesapeake Bay estuary. In all cases, a range of social drivers – including opening of lucrative markets, technological innovations, and policies that enhanced the driver – ultimately prompted these ecosystem shifts. Drawing on examples emerging from environmental management practice, we present three practical recommendations for using social drivers as early indicators: monitor social change, determine social trigger points, and identify policy responses. We argue that accounting for the underlying social drivers of ecosystem change could improve decision making. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Hicks, Christina Crowder, Larry B. Graham, Nicholas Anthony James Kittinger, John N. Le Cornu, Elodie |
spellingShingle |
Hicks, Christina Crowder, Larry B. Graham, Nicholas Anthony James Kittinger, John N. Le Cornu, Elodie Social drivers forewarn of marine regime shifts |
author_facet |
Hicks, Christina Crowder, Larry B. Graham, Nicholas Anthony James Kittinger, John N. Le Cornu, Elodie |
author_sort |
Hicks, Christina |
title |
Social drivers forewarn of marine regime shifts |
title_short |
Social drivers forewarn of marine regime shifts |
title_full |
Social drivers forewarn of marine regime shifts |
title_fullStr |
Social drivers forewarn of marine regime shifts |
title_full_unstemmed |
Social drivers forewarn of marine regime shifts |
title_sort |
social drivers forewarn of marine regime shifts |
publishDate |
2016 |
url |
https://eprints.lancs.ac.uk/id/eprint/80029/ https://eprints.lancs.ac.uk/id/eprint/80029/1/Hicks_Frontiers_resubmitted_2.pdf https://doi.org/10.1002/fee.1284 |
geographic |
Pacific |
geographic_facet |
Pacific |
genre |
Northwest Atlantic |
genre_facet |
Northwest Atlantic |
op_relation |
https://eprints.lancs.ac.uk/id/eprint/80029/1/Hicks_Frontiers_resubmitted_2.pdf Hicks, Christina and Crowder, Larry B. and Graham, Nicholas Anthony James and Kittinger, John N. and Le Cornu, Elodie (2016) Social drivers forewarn of marine regime shifts. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment, 14 (5). pp. 252-260. ISSN 1540-9295 |
op_rights |
creative_commons_attribution_noncommercial_4_0_international_license |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1002/fee.1284 |
container_title |
Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment |
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14 |
container_issue |
5 |
container_start_page |
252 |
op_container_end_page |
260 |
_version_ |
1775353760529252352 |