A review of the main drivers and variability of Central America’s Climate and seasonal forecast systems
Central America is a region susceptible to natural disasters and climate change. We reviewed the literature on the main atmospheric and oceanographic forces and climate modulators affecting Central America, for different spatial and time scales. We also reviewed the reported correlation between clim...
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Universidad de Costa Rica
2018
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ftucostaricaojs:oai:portal.ucr.ac.cr:article/33294 2023-07-30T04:05:29+02:00 A review of the main drivers and variability of Central America’s Climate and seasonal forecast systems Maldonado, Tito Alfaro, Eric J. Hidalgo, Hugo G. 2018-04-01 application/pdf text/html https://revistas.ucr.ac.cr/index.php/rbt/article/view/33294 https://doi.org/10.15517/rbt.v66i1.33294 eng eng Universidad de Costa Rica https://revistas.ucr.ac.cr/index.php/rbt/article/view/33294/32769 https://revistas.ucr.ac.cr/index.php/rbt/article/view/33294/32789 https://revistas.ucr.ac.cr/index.php/rbt/article/view/33294/33077 https://revistas.ucr.ac.cr/index.php/rbt/article/view/33294 doi:10.15517/rbt.v66i1.33294 Revista de Biología Tropical; Vol. 66 No. S1 (2018): Volume 66 – Supplement 1 – April 2018: Aquatic Ecosystems of Costa Rica VI; S153-S175 Revista de Biología Tropical; Vol. 66 Núm. S1 (2018): Volumen 66 – Suplemento 1 – Abril 2018: Ecosistemas Acuáticos de Costa Rica VI; S153-S175 Revista Biología Tropical; Vol. 66 N.º S1 (2018): Volumen 66 – Suplemento 1 – Abril 2018: Ecosistemas Acuáticos de Costa Rica VI; S153-S175 2215-2075 0034-7744 10.15517/rbt.v66i1-1 Natural threats seasonal climate prediction climate variability climate change A info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion Article 2018 ftucostaricaojs https://doi.org/10.15517/rbt.v66i1.3329410.15517/rbt.v66i1-1 2023-07-11T20:48:31Z Central America is a region susceptible to natural disasters and climate change. We reviewed the literature on the main atmospheric and oceanographic forces and climate modulators affecting Central America, for different spatial and time scales. We also reviewed the reported correlation between climate variability, natural hazards and climate change aspects (in the past and future). In addition, we examined the current state of seasonal prediction systems being applied to the region. At inter-annual scales, El Niño/Southern Oscillation is the main climate modulator; however, other indices such as the Tropical North Atlantic, Atlantic Multi-Decadal Oscillation and Pacific Decadal Oscillation, have shown a correlation with precipitation anomalies in the region. Current seasonal forecast systems in the region have shown a constant development, including incorporation of different approaches ranging from statistical to dynamical downscaling, improving prediction of variables such as precipitation. Many studies have revealed the need of including –in addition to the climatic information– socio-economic variables to assess the impact of natural disasters and climate change in the region. These studies highlight the importance of socio-economic and human life losses associated with the impacts caused by natural hazards for organizations and governments. Rev. Biol. Trop. 66(Suppl. 1): S153-S175. Epub 2018 April 01. Article in Journal/Newspaper North Atlantic Portal de revistas académicas de la Universidad de Costa Rica Pacific Revista de Biología Tropical 66 1-1 153 |
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Portal de revistas académicas de la Universidad de Costa Rica |
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ftucostaricaojs |
language |
English |
topic |
Natural threats seasonal climate prediction climate variability climate change A |
spellingShingle |
Natural threats seasonal climate prediction climate variability climate change A Maldonado, Tito Alfaro, Eric J. Hidalgo, Hugo G. A review of the main drivers and variability of Central America’s Climate and seasonal forecast systems |
topic_facet |
Natural threats seasonal climate prediction climate variability climate change A |
description |
Central America is a region susceptible to natural disasters and climate change. We reviewed the literature on the main atmospheric and oceanographic forces and climate modulators affecting Central America, for different spatial and time scales. We also reviewed the reported correlation between climate variability, natural hazards and climate change aspects (in the past and future). In addition, we examined the current state of seasonal prediction systems being applied to the region. At inter-annual scales, El Niño/Southern Oscillation is the main climate modulator; however, other indices such as the Tropical North Atlantic, Atlantic Multi-Decadal Oscillation and Pacific Decadal Oscillation, have shown a correlation with precipitation anomalies in the region. Current seasonal forecast systems in the region have shown a constant development, including incorporation of different approaches ranging from statistical to dynamical downscaling, improving prediction of variables such as precipitation. Many studies have revealed the need of including –in addition to the climatic information– socio-economic variables to assess the impact of natural disasters and climate change in the region. These studies highlight the importance of socio-economic and human life losses associated with the impacts caused by natural hazards for organizations and governments. Rev. Biol. Trop. 66(Suppl. 1): S153-S175. Epub 2018 April 01. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Maldonado, Tito Alfaro, Eric J. Hidalgo, Hugo G. |
author_facet |
Maldonado, Tito Alfaro, Eric J. Hidalgo, Hugo G. |
author_sort |
Maldonado, Tito |
title |
A review of the main drivers and variability of Central America’s Climate and seasonal forecast systems |
title_short |
A review of the main drivers and variability of Central America’s Climate and seasonal forecast systems |
title_full |
A review of the main drivers and variability of Central America’s Climate and seasonal forecast systems |
title_fullStr |
A review of the main drivers and variability of Central America’s Climate and seasonal forecast systems |
title_full_unstemmed |
A review of the main drivers and variability of Central America’s Climate and seasonal forecast systems |
title_sort |
review of the main drivers and variability of central america’s climate and seasonal forecast systems |
publisher |
Universidad de Costa Rica |
publishDate |
2018 |
url |
https://revistas.ucr.ac.cr/index.php/rbt/article/view/33294 https://doi.org/10.15517/rbt.v66i1.33294 |
geographic |
Pacific |
geographic_facet |
Pacific |
genre |
North Atlantic |
genre_facet |
North Atlantic |
op_source |
Revista de Biología Tropical; Vol. 66 No. S1 (2018): Volume 66 – Supplement 1 – April 2018: Aquatic Ecosystems of Costa Rica VI; S153-S175 Revista de Biología Tropical; Vol. 66 Núm. S1 (2018): Volumen 66 – Suplemento 1 – Abril 2018: Ecosistemas Acuáticos de Costa Rica VI; S153-S175 Revista Biología Tropical; Vol. 66 N.º S1 (2018): Volumen 66 – Suplemento 1 – Abril 2018: Ecosistemas Acuáticos de Costa Rica VI; S153-S175 2215-2075 0034-7744 10.15517/rbt.v66i1-1 |
op_relation |
https://revistas.ucr.ac.cr/index.php/rbt/article/view/33294/32769 https://revistas.ucr.ac.cr/index.php/rbt/article/view/33294/32789 https://revistas.ucr.ac.cr/index.php/rbt/article/view/33294/33077 https://revistas.ucr.ac.cr/index.php/rbt/article/view/33294 doi:10.15517/rbt.v66i1.33294 |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.15517/rbt.v66i1.3329410.15517/rbt.v66i1-1 |
container_title |
Revista de Biología Tropical |
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66 |
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1-1 |
container_start_page |
153 |
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