Holocene carbon dynamics at the forest-steppe ecotone of southern Siberia
The forest–steppe ecotone in southern Siberia is highly sensitive to climate change; global warming is expected to push the ecotone northwards, at the same time resulting in degradation of the underlying permafrost. To gain a deeper understanding of long-term forest–steppe carbon dynamics, we use a...
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ftucl:oai:eprints.ucl.ac.uk.OAI2:1547117 2023-12-24T10:24:09+01:00 Holocene carbon dynamics at the forest-steppe ecotone of southern Siberia Mackay, AW Seddon, AWR Leng, MJ Heumann, G Morley, DW Piotrowska, N Rioual, P Roberts, S Swann, GEA 2017-05 text https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/1547117/1/Mackay_et_al-2016-Global_Change_Biology.pdf https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/1547117/ eng eng WILEY https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/1547117/1/Mackay_et_al-2016-Global_Change_Biology.pdf https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/1547117/ open Global Change Biology , 23 (5) pp. 1942-1960. (2017) abrupt climate change carbon forest–steppe ecotone Holocene Lake Baikal palaeolimnology permafrost Article 2017 ftucl 2023-11-27T13:07:29Z The forest–steppe ecotone in southern Siberia is highly sensitive to climate change; global warming is expected to push the ecotone northwards, at the same time resulting in degradation of the underlying permafrost. To gain a deeper understanding of long-term forest–steppe carbon dynamics, we use a highly resolved, multiproxy, palaeolimnological approach, based on sediment records from Lake Baikal. We reconstruct proxies that are relevant to understanding carbon dynamics including carbon mass accumulation rates (CMAR; g C m−2 yr−1) and isotope composition of organic matter (δ13CTOC). Forest–steppe dynamics were reconstructed using pollen, and diatom records provided measures of primary production from near- and off-shore communities. We used a generalized additive model (GAM) to identify significant change points in temporal series, and by applying generalized linear least-squares regression modelling to components of the multiproxy data, we address (1) What factors influence carbon dynamics during early Holocene warming and late Holocene cooling? (2) How did carbon dynamics respond to abrupt sub-Milankovitch scale events? and (3) What is the Holocene carbon storage budget for Lake Baikal. CMAR values range between 2.8 and 12.5 g C m−2 yr−1. Peak burial rates (and greatest variability) occurred during the early Holocene, associated with melting permafrost and retreating glaciers, while lowest burial rates occurred during the neoglacial. Significant shifts in carbon dynamics at 10.3, 4.1 and 2.8 kyr bp provide compelling evidence for the sensitivity of the region to sub-Milankovitch drivers of climate change. We estimate that 1.03 Pg C was buried in Lake Baikal sediments during the Holocene, almost one-quarter of which was buried during the early Holocene alone. Combined, our results highlight the importance of understanding the close linkages between carbon cycling and hydrological processes, not just temperatures, in southern Siberian environments. Article in Journal/Newspaper permafrost Siberia University College London: UCL Discovery Gam ENVELOPE(-57.955,-57.955,-61.923,-61.923) |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
University College London: UCL Discovery |
op_collection_id |
ftucl |
language |
English |
topic |
abrupt climate change carbon forest–steppe ecotone Holocene Lake Baikal palaeolimnology permafrost |
spellingShingle |
abrupt climate change carbon forest–steppe ecotone Holocene Lake Baikal palaeolimnology permafrost Mackay, AW Seddon, AWR Leng, MJ Heumann, G Morley, DW Piotrowska, N Rioual, P Roberts, S Swann, GEA Holocene carbon dynamics at the forest-steppe ecotone of southern Siberia |
topic_facet |
abrupt climate change carbon forest–steppe ecotone Holocene Lake Baikal palaeolimnology permafrost |
description |
The forest–steppe ecotone in southern Siberia is highly sensitive to climate change; global warming is expected to push the ecotone northwards, at the same time resulting in degradation of the underlying permafrost. To gain a deeper understanding of long-term forest–steppe carbon dynamics, we use a highly resolved, multiproxy, palaeolimnological approach, based on sediment records from Lake Baikal. We reconstruct proxies that are relevant to understanding carbon dynamics including carbon mass accumulation rates (CMAR; g C m−2 yr−1) and isotope composition of organic matter (δ13CTOC). Forest–steppe dynamics were reconstructed using pollen, and diatom records provided measures of primary production from near- and off-shore communities. We used a generalized additive model (GAM) to identify significant change points in temporal series, and by applying generalized linear least-squares regression modelling to components of the multiproxy data, we address (1) What factors influence carbon dynamics during early Holocene warming and late Holocene cooling? (2) How did carbon dynamics respond to abrupt sub-Milankovitch scale events? and (3) What is the Holocene carbon storage budget for Lake Baikal. CMAR values range between 2.8 and 12.5 g C m−2 yr−1. Peak burial rates (and greatest variability) occurred during the early Holocene, associated with melting permafrost and retreating glaciers, while lowest burial rates occurred during the neoglacial. Significant shifts in carbon dynamics at 10.3, 4.1 and 2.8 kyr bp provide compelling evidence for the sensitivity of the region to sub-Milankovitch drivers of climate change. We estimate that 1.03 Pg C was buried in Lake Baikal sediments during the Holocene, almost one-quarter of which was buried during the early Holocene alone. Combined, our results highlight the importance of understanding the close linkages between carbon cycling and hydrological processes, not just temperatures, in southern Siberian environments. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Mackay, AW Seddon, AWR Leng, MJ Heumann, G Morley, DW Piotrowska, N Rioual, P Roberts, S Swann, GEA |
author_facet |
Mackay, AW Seddon, AWR Leng, MJ Heumann, G Morley, DW Piotrowska, N Rioual, P Roberts, S Swann, GEA |
author_sort |
Mackay, AW |
title |
Holocene carbon dynamics at the forest-steppe ecotone of southern Siberia |
title_short |
Holocene carbon dynamics at the forest-steppe ecotone of southern Siberia |
title_full |
Holocene carbon dynamics at the forest-steppe ecotone of southern Siberia |
title_fullStr |
Holocene carbon dynamics at the forest-steppe ecotone of southern Siberia |
title_full_unstemmed |
Holocene carbon dynamics at the forest-steppe ecotone of southern Siberia |
title_sort |
holocene carbon dynamics at the forest-steppe ecotone of southern siberia |
publisher |
WILEY |
publishDate |
2017 |
url |
https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/1547117/1/Mackay_et_al-2016-Global_Change_Biology.pdf https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/1547117/ |
long_lat |
ENVELOPE(-57.955,-57.955,-61.923,-61.923) |
geographic |
Gam |
geographic_facet |
Gam |
genre |
permafrost Siberia |
genre_facet |
permafrost Siberia |
op_source |
Global Change Biology , 23 (5) pp. 1942-1960. (2017) |
op_relation |
https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/1547117/1/Mackay_et_al-2016-Global_Change_Biology.pdf https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/1547117/ |
op_rights |
open |
_version_ |
1786198629133844480 |