ESD Ideas: Arctic amplification's contribution to breaches of the Paris Agreement
The Arctic is warming at almost 4 times the global average rate. Here we reframe this amplified Arctic warming in terms of global climate ambition to show that without Arctic amplification, the world would breach the Paris Agreement's 1.5 and 2 ∘C limits 5 and 8 years later, respectively. We al...
Main Authors: | , , , , |
---|---|
Format: | Article in Journal/Newspaper |
Language: | English |
Published: |
Copernicus GmbH
2023
|
Subjects: | |
Online Access: | https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10181732/1/esd-14-1165-2023.pdf https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10181732/ |
id |
ftucl:oai:eprints.ucl.ac.uk.OAI2:10181732 |
---|---|
record_format |
openpolar |
spelling |
ftucl:oai:eprints.ucl.ac.uk.OAI2:10181732 2023-12-24T10:12:46+01:00 ESD Ideas: Arctic amplification's contribution to breaches of the Paris Agreement Duffey, Alistair Mallett, Robbie Irvine, Peter J Tsamados, Michel Stroeve, Julienne 2023 text https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10181732/1/esd-14-1165-2023.pdf https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10181732/ eng eng Copernicus GmbH https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10181732/1/esd-14-1165-2023.pdf https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10181732/ open Earth System Dynamics , 14 (6) pp. 1165-1169. (2023) Article 2023 ftucl 2023-11-27T13:07:36Z The Arctic is warming at almost 4 times the global average rate. Here we reframe this amplified Arctic warming in terms of global climate ambition to show that without Arctic amplification, the world would breach the Paris Agreement's 1.5 and 2 ∘C limits 5 and 8 years later, respectively. We also find the Arctic to be a disproportionate contributor to uncertainty in the timing of breaches. The outsized influence of Arctic warming on global climate targets highlights the need for better modelling and monitoring of Arctic change. Article in Journal/Newspaper Arctic University College London: UCL Discovery Arctic |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
University College London: UCL Discovery |
op_collection_id |
ftucl |
language |
English |
description |
The Arctic is warming at almost 4 times the global average rate. Here we reframe this amplified Arctic warming in terms of global climate ambition to show that without Arctic amplification, the world would breach the Paris Agreement's 1.5 and 2 ∘C limits 5 and 8 years later, respectively. We also find the Arctic to be a disproportionate contributor to uncertainty in the timing of breaches. The outsized influence of Arctic warming on global climate targets highlights the need for better modelling and monitoring of Arctic change. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Duffey, Alistair Mallett, Robbie Irvine, Peter J Tsamados, Michel Stroeve, Julienne |
spellingShingle |
Duffey, Alistair Mallett, Robbie Irvine, Peter J Tsamados, Michel Stroeve, Julienne ESD Ideas: Arctic amplification's contribution to breaches of the Paris Agreement |
author_facet |
Duffey, Alistair Mallett, Robbie Irvine, Peter J Tsamados, Michel Stroeve, Julienne |
author_sort |
Duffey, Alistair |
title |
ESD Ideas: Arctic amplification's contribution to breaches of the Paris Agreement |
title_short |
ESD Ideas: Arctic amplification's contribution to breaches of the Paris Agreement |
title_full |
ESD Ideas: Arctic amplification's contribution to breaches of the Paris Agreement |
title_fullStr |
ESD Ideas: Arctic amplification's contribution to breaches of the Paris Agreement |
title_full_unstemmed |
ESD Ideas: Arctic amplification's contribution to breaches of the Paris Agreement |
title_sort |
esd ideas: arctic amplification's contribution to breaches of the paris agreement |
publisher |
Copernicus GmbH |
publishDate |
2023 |
url |
https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10181732/1/esd-14-1165-2023.pdf https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10181732/ |
geographic |
Arctic |
geographic_facet |
Arctic |
genre |
Arctic |
genre_facet |
Arctic |
op_source |
Earth System Dynamics , 14 (6) pp. 1165-1169. (2023) |
op_relation |
https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10181732/1/esd-14-1165-2023.pdf https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10181732/ |
op_rights |
open |
_version_ |
1786176331961073664 |