A comparison of two ship performance models against full scale measurements on a cargo ship on the Northern Sea Route

• Main Authors: Li, Z, Ryan, C, Huang, L, Ding, L, Ringsburg, J, Thomas, G
• Format: Article in Journal/Newspaper
• Language: English
• Published: Taylor & Francis 2021
• Subjects: Arctic; Northern Sea Route
• Online Access: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10107879/1/Huang_A%20comparison%20of%20two%20ship%20performance%20models%20against%20full%20scale%20measurements%20on%20a%20cargo%20ship%20on%20the%20Northern%20Sea%20Route.pdf; https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10107879/

The present paper introduces the development and verification of two ship performance models which have been implemented in a voyage planning tool designed for summer Arctic operations of commercial vessels. A novel ice resistance estimation algorithm for ice-floe conditions is implemented in the ship performance models. The fuel consumption predicted using both of the models are compared against full-scale measurements collected on a cargo ship of lower ice-class on the Northern Sea Route. This work found that both models meet the purpose of estimating ship fuel consumption for such a voyage planning tool and identified directions for future efforts. In addition, the typical transit scenarios in summer Arctic conditions presented in this study prove that a voyage planning tool with viable ship performance models facilitates Arctic shipping in a safe and sustainable way.