Operational prediction of ash concentrations in the distal volcanic cloud from the 2010 Eyjafjallajökull eruption

• Published in: Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres
• Main Authors: Webster, H. N., Thomson, D. J., Johnson, B. T., Heard, I. P. C., Turnbull, K., Marenco, F., Kristiansen, N. I., Dorsey, J., Minikin, A., Weinzierl, B., Schumann, U., Sparks, R. S. J., Loughlin, S. C., Hort, M. C., Leadbetter, S. J., Devenish, B. J., Manning, A. J., Witham, C. S., Haywood, J. M., Golding, B. W.
• Format: Article in Journal/Newspaper
• Language: English
• Published: 2012
• Subjects: Eyjafjallajokull; Eyjafjallajökull
• Online Access: https://hdl.handle.net/1983/0d39d594-f4bb-4ada-b3ac-68957b58def0; https://research-information.bris.ac.uk/en/publications/0d39d594-f4bb-4ada-b3ac-68957b58def0; https://doi.org/10.1029/2011JD016790; http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?eid=2-s2.0-84855654871&partnerID=8YFLogxK

During the 2010 eruption of Eyjafjallajokull, improvements were made to the modeling procedure at the Met Office, UK, enabling peak ash concentrations within the volcanic cloud to be estimated. In this paper we describe the ash concentration forecasting method, its rationale and how it evolved over...