Delay risk analysis of ship sailing the northern sea route

The northern sea route (NSR) has evolved as an international trade route alternative from 2009. The lack of understanding and the lack of information are two key elements restricting the use of the NSR. Therefore, this paper seeks to overcome those restrictions with a bow-tie analysis to qualitative...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Ship Technology Research
Main Authors: Marken, Vegard B., Ehlers, Sören, Khan, Faisal I.
Format: Article in Journal/Newspaper
Language:English
Published: 2015
Subjects:
Arctic shipping
Bow-tie analysis
Defuzzification
Fuzzy set theory
Information updating
Uncertainty modelling
Northern Sea Route
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/11420/7036
Description
Summary:The northern sea route (NSR) has evolved as an international trade route alternative from 2009. The lack of understanding and the lack of information are two key elements restricting the use of the NSR. Therefore, this paper seeks to overcome those restrictions with a bow-tie analysis to qualitatively perform a risk analysis with a fuzzy set theory to model uncertainness in the data.

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