Country-level assessment of future risk of water scarcity in Europe
A methodology for regional assessment of current and future water availability in Europe is presented in this study. The methodology is based on a proposed indicator of risk of water scarcity based on the projections of runoff and water availability for European countries. The risk of water scarcity...
Published in: | Proceedings of the International Association of Hydrological Sciences |
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Copernicus Publications
2018
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fttriple:oai:gotriple.eu:oai:doaj.org/article:970b888bba3f4dd4a436cd8ee3616ced 2023-05-15T15:06:11+02:00 Country-level assessment of future risk of water scarcity in Europe L. Garrote A. Iglesias A. Granados 2018-06-01 https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-379-455-2018 https://www.proc-iahs.net/379/455/2018/piahs-379-455-2018.pdf https://doaj.org/article/970b888bba3f4dd4a436cd8ee3616ced en eng Copernicus Publications doi:10.5194/piahs-379-455-2018 2199-8981 2199-899X https://www.proc-iahs.net/379/455/2018/piahs-379-455-2018.pdf https://doaj.org/article/970b888bba3f4dd4a436cd8ee3616ced undefined Proceedings of the International Association of Hydrological Sciences, Vol 379, Pp 455-462 (2018) geo envir Journal Article https://vocabularies.coar-repositories.org/resource_types/c_6501/ 2018 fttriple https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-379-455-2018 2023-01-22T19:11:53Z A methodology for regional assessment of current and future water availability in Europe is presented in this study. The methodology is based on a proposed indicator of risk of water scarcity based on the projections of runoff and water availability for European countries. The risk of water scarcity is the combined result of hydrological processes, which determine streamflow in natural conditions, and human intervention, which determines water management using the available hydraulic infrastructure and establishes water supply conditions through operating rules. Model results show that changes in runoff and availability obtained for individual GCM projections can be large and even contradictory. These heterogeneous results are summarized in the water scarcity risk index, a global value that accounts for the results obtained with the ensemble of model results and emission scenarios. The countries at larger risk are (in this order) Spain, Portugal, Macedonia, Greece, Bulgaria, Albania, France and Italy. They are mostly Mediterranean countries already exposed to significant water scarcity problems. There are countries, like Slovakia, Ireland, Belgium, Luxembourg, Croatia and Romania, with mild risk. Northern Arctic countries, like Sweden, Finland, Norway and Russia, show a robust however mild increase in water availability. Article in Journal/Newspaper Arctic Unknown Arctic Norway Proceedings of the International Association of Hydrological Sciences 379 455 462 |
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English |
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geo envir L. Garrote A. Iglesias A. Granados Country-level assessment of future risk of water scarcity in Europe |
topic_facet |
geo envir |
description |
A methodology for regional assessment of current and future water availability in Europe is presented in this study. The methodology is based on a proposed indicator of risk of water scarcity based on the projections of runoff and water availability for European countries. The risk of water scarcity is the combined result of hydrological processes, which determine streamflow in natural conditions, and human intervention, which determines water management using the available hydraulic infrastructure and establishes water supply conditions through operating rules. Model results show that changes in runoff and availability obtained for individual GCM projections can be large and even contradictory. These heterogeneous results are summarized in the water scarcity risk index, a global value that accounts for the results obtained with the ensemble of model results and emission scenarios. The countries at larger risk are (in this order) Spain, Portugal, Macedonia, Greece, Bulgaria, Albania, France and Italy. They are mostly Mediterranean countries already exposed to significant water scarcity problems. There are countries, like Slovakia, Ireland, Belgium, Luxembourg, Croatia and Romania, with mild risk. Northern Arctic countries, like Sweden, Finland, Norway and Russia, show a robust however mild increase in water availability. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
L. Garrote A. Iglesias A. Granados |
author_facet |
L. Garrote A. Iglesias A. Granados |
author_sort |
L. Garrote |
title |
Country-level assessment of future risk of water scarcity in Europe |
title_short |
Country-level assessment of future risk of water scarcity in Europe |
title_full |
Country-level assessment of future risk of water scarcity in Europe |
title_fullStr |
Country-level assessment of future risk of water scarcity in Europe |
title_full_unstemmed |
Country-level assessment of future risk of water scarcity in Europe |
title_sort |
country-level assessment of future risk of water scarcity in europe |
publisher |
Copernicus Publications |
publishDate |
2018 |
url |
https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-379-455-2018 https://www.proc-iahs.net/379/455/2018/piahs-379-455-2018.pdf https://doaj.org/article/970b888bba3f4dd4a436cd8ee3616ced |
geographic |
Arctic Norway |
geographic_facet |
Arctic Norway |
genre |
Arctic |
genre_facet |
Arctic |
op_source |
Proceedings of the International Association of Hydrological Sciences, Vol 379, Pp 455-462 (2018) |
op_relation |
doi:10.5194/piahs-379-455-2018 2199-8981 2199-899X https://www.proc-iahs.net/379/455/2018/piahs-379-455-2018.pdf https://doaj.org/article/970b888bba3f4dd4a436cd8ee3616ced |
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op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-379-455-2018 |
container_title |
Proceedings of the International Association of Hydrological Sciences |
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379 |
container_start_page |
455 |
op_container_end_page |
462 |
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1766337842669158400 |