Extremely Strong Winds and Weather Patterns over Arctic seas
Strong wind is the main cause of storm sea waves. In order to minimize risks and damages from this phenomenon in the future, precise projections of future climate conditions are necessary. Extremely high wind speed events in the 20th - 21st centuries over Arctic seas were investigated using ERA-Inte...
Published in: | GEOGRAPHY, ENVIRONMENT, SUSTAINABILITY |
---|---|
Main Authors: | , |
Format: | Article in Journal/Newspaper |
Language: | English |
Published: |
Lomonosov Moscow State University
2019
|
Subjects: | |
Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.24057/2071-9388-2019-22 https://doaj.org/article/8c5edd27a6fd4c9e85272ac85517328d |
id |
fttriple:oai:gotriple.eu:oai:doaj.org/article:8c5edd27a6fd4c9e85272ac85517328d |
---|---|
record_format |
openpolar |
spelling |
fttriple:oai:gotriple.eu:oai:doaj.org/article:8c5edd27a6fd4c9e85272ac85517328d 2023-05-15T14:51:55+02:00 Extremely Strong Winds and Weather Patterns over Arctic seas Galina Surkova Aleksey Krylov 2019-10-01 https://doi.org/10.24057/2071-9388-2019-22 https://doaj.org/article/8c5edd27a6fd4c9e85272ac85517328d en eng Lomonosov Moscow State University 2071-9388 2542-1565 doi:10.24057/2071-9388-2019-22 https://doaj.org/article/8c5edd27a6fd4c9e85272ac85517328d undefined Geography, Environment, Sustainability, Vol 12, Iss 3, Pp 34-42 (2019) wind speed extremes global warming arctic weather patterns oceanatmosphere interaction geo envir Journal Article https://vocabularies.coar-repositories.org/resource_types/c_6501/ 2019 fttriple https://doi.org/10.24057/2071-9388-2019-22 2023-01-22T18:38:46Z Strong wind is the main cause of storm sea waves. In order to minimize risks and damages from this phenomenon in the future, precise projections of future climate conditions are necessary. Extremely high wind speed events in the 20th - 21st centuries over Arctic seas were investigated using ERA-Interim reanalysis data (1981-2010) and CMIP5 models ensemble (RCP8.5 scenario, 2005-2100). Two different approaches were applied to investigate extreme wind events. The first one is traditional and involves direct analysis of wind speed data. It was used for the entire area of the Arctic seas. The second approach is based on an assumption that local and mesoscale extreme weather events are connected with large-scale synoptic processes. As it was shown in previous studies for the Black, Caspian and Baltic seas, it is possible to make climate projection of sea storm waves indirectly, studying the heterogeneity of sea level atmospheric pressure (SLP) fields that are the main factors of strong wind speed and wind waves. In this case, it is not necessary to run long-term simulations with a sea wave model to predict storm activity for the future climate. It is possible to analyze projections of storm SLP fields that are predicted by climate models much better than the wind speed required for a wave model. This method was implemented for the high wind speed events over the Barents Sea. Four major types of SLP fields accompanying high wind speed were revealed for the modern climate. It was shown that the frequency of their occurrence is expected to increase by the end of the 21st century. Article in Journal/Newspaper Arctic Barents Sea Global warming Unknown Arctic Barents Sea GEOGRAPHY, ENVIRONMENT, SUSTAINABILITY 12 3 34 42 |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
Unknown |
op_collection_id |
fttriple |
language |
English |
topic |
wind speed extremes global warming arctic weather patterns oceanatmosphere interaction geo envir |
spellingShingle |
wind speed extremes global warming arctic weather patterns oceanatmosphere interaction geo envir Galina Surkova Aleksey Krylov Extremely Strong Winds and Weather Patterns over Arctic seas |
topic_facet |
wind speed extremes global warming arctic weather patterns oceanatmosphere interaction geo envir |
description |
Strong wind is the main cause of storm sea waves. In order to minimize risks and damages from this phenomenon in the future, precise projections of future climate conditions are necessary. Extremely high wind speed events in the 20th - 21st centuries over Arctic seas were investigated using ERA-Interim reanalysis data (1981-2010) and CMIP5 models ensemble (RCP8.5 scenario, 2005-2100). Two different approaches were applied to investigate extreme wind events. The first one is traditional and involves direct analysis of wind speed data. It was used for the entire area of the Arctic seas. The second approach is based on an assumption that local and mesoscale extreme weather events are connected with large-scale synoptic processes. As it was shown in previous studies for the Black, Caspian and Baltic seas, it is possible to make climate projection of sea storm waves indirectly, studying the heterogeneity of sea level atmospheric pressure (SLP) fields that are the main factors of strong wind speed and wind waves. In this case, it is not necessary to run long-term simulations with a sea wave model to predict storm activity for the future climate. It is possible to analyze projections of storm SLP fields that are predicted by climate models much better than the wind speed required for a wave model. This method was implemented for the high wind speed events over the Barents Sea. Four major types of SLP fields accompanying high wind speed were revealed for the modern climate. It was shown that the frequency of their occurrence is expected to increase by the end of the 21st century. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Galina Surkova Aleksey Krylov |
author_facet |
Galina Surkova Aleksey Krylov |
author_sort |
Galina Surkova |
title |
Extremely Strong Winds and Weather Patterns over Arctic seas |
title_short |
Extremely Strong Winds and Weather Patterns over Arctic seas |
title_full |
Extremely Strong Winds and Weather Patterns over Arctic seas |
title_fullStr |
Extremely Strong Winds and Weather Patterns over Arctic seas |
title_full_unstemmed |
Extremely Strong Winds and Weather Patterns over Arctic seas |
title_sort |
extremely strong winds and weather patterns over arctic seas |
publisher |
Lomonosov Moscow State University |
publishDate |
2019 |
url |
https://doi.org/10.24057/2071-9388-2019-22 https://doaj.org/article/8c5edd27a6fd4c9e85272ac85517328d |
geographic |
Arctic Barents Sea |
geographic_facet |
Arctic Barents Sea |
genre |
Arctic Barents Sea Global warming |
genre_facet |
Arctic Barents Sea Global warming |
op_source |
Geography, Environment, Sustainability, Vol 12, Iss 3, Pp 34-42 (2019) |
op_relation |
2071-9388 2542-1565 doi:10.24057/2071-9388-2019-22 https://doaj.org/article/8c5edd27a6fd4c9e85272ac85517328d |
op_rights |
undefined |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.24057/2071-9388-2019-22 |
container_title |
GEOGRAPHY, ENVIRONMENT, SUSTAINABILITY |
container_volume |
12 |
container_issue |
3 |
container_start_page |
34 |
op_container_end_page |
42 |
_version_ |
1766323064701714432 |