Levee Decisions and Sustainability for the Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta
California’s Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta has fragile levees subject to several trends that make them increasingly prone to failure. To assess the likely extent of Delta island flooding, this study presents an economic decision analysis approach for evaluating Delta levee upgrade and repair decision...
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fttriple:oai:gotriple.eu:oai:doaj.org/article:7ac4ae67e87c4f3684a2da3804aaaa13 2023-05-15T16:00:31+02:00 Levee Decisions and Sustainability for the Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta Robyn J Suddeth Jeff Mount Jay R Lund 2010-08-01 https://doaj.org/article/7ac4ae67e87c4f3684a2da3804aaaa13 en eng eScholarship Publishing, University of California 1546-2366 https://doaj.org/article/7ac4ae67e87c4f3684a2da3804aaaa13 undefined San Francisco Estuary and Watershed Science, Vol 8, Iss 2 (2010) levee decision analysis reliability policy Delta Biogeochemistry Econometrics and Quantitative Economics Environmental Policy Geophysics and Seismology eco envir Journal Article https://vocabularies.coar-repositories.org/resource_types/c_6501/ 2010 fttriple 2023-01-22T17:49:51Z California’s Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta has fragile levees subject to several trends that make them increasingly prone to failure. To assess the likely extent of Delta island flooding, this study presents an economic decision analysis approach for evaluating Delta levee upgrade and repair decisions for 34 major subsided agricultural islands that make up most of the Delta’s Primary Zone and include all subsided, non-urban islands. The decision analysis provides a quantitative framework to address several relevant questions about reasonable levee upgrade and repair investments. This initial analysis indicates that it is economically optimal not to upgrade levees on any of the 34 subsided Delta islands examined, mostly because levee upgrades are expensive and do not improve reliability much. If upgrades can improve reliability more, it becomes optimal to upgrade some levees. Our analysis also suggests that, accounting for land and asset values, it is not cost effective to repair between 18 and 23 of these islands when they fail. When property values for all islands were doubled, only four islands originally not repaired become cost effective to repair. The decision analysis provides a quantitative framework for addressing several relevant questions regarding reasonable levee upgrade and repair investments. These initial results may act as a springboard for discussion, and the decision analysis model as a working framework for islands of high priority. An inescapable conclusion of this analysis is that maintaining the current Delta landscape is unlikely to be economical from business and land use perspectives. Article in Journal/Newspaper Delta Island Unknown Four Islands ENVELOPE(-108.218,-108.218,56.050,56.050) |
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language |
English |
topic |
levee decision analysis reliability policy Delta Biogeochemistry Econometrics and Quantitative Economics Environmental Policy Geophysics and Seismology eco envir |
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levee decision analysis reliability policy Delta Biogeochemistry Econometrics and Quantitative Economics Environmental Policy Geophysics and Seismology eco envir Robyn J Suddeth Jeff Mount Jay R Lund Levee Decisions and Sustainability for the Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta |
topic_facet |
levee decision analysis reliability policy Delta Biogeochemistry Econometrics and Quantitative Economics Environmental Policy Geophysics and Seismology eco envir |
description |
California’s Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta has fragile levees subject to several trends that make them increasingly prone to failure. To assess the likely extent of Delta island flooding, this study presents an economic decision analysis approach for evaluating Delta levee upgrade and repair decisions for 34 major subsided agricultural islands that make up most of the Delta’s Primary Zone and include all subsided, non-urban islands. The decision analysis provides a quantitative framework to address several relevant questions about reasonable levee upgrade and repair investments. This initial analysis indicates that it is economically optimal not to upgrade levees on any of the 34 subsided Delta islands examined, mostly because levee upgrades are expensive and do not improve reliability much. If upgrades can improve reliability more, it becomes optimal to upgrade some levees. Our analysis also suggests that, accounting for land and asset values, it is not cost effective to repair between 18 and 23 of these islands when they fail. When property values for all islands were doubled, only four islands originally not repaired become cost effective to repair. The decision analysis provides a quantitative framework for addressing several relevant questions regarding reasonable levee upgrade and repair investments. These initial results may act as a springboard for discussion, and the decision analysis model as a working framework for islands of high priority. An inescapable conclusion of this analysis is that maintaining the current Delta landscape is unlikely to be economical from business and land use perspectives. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Robyn J Suddeth Jeff Mount Jay R Lund |
author_facet |
Robyn J Suddeth Jeff Mount Jay R Lund |
author_sort |
Robyn J Suddeth |
title |
Levee Decisions and Sustainability for the Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta |
title_short |
Levee Decisions and Sustainability for the Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta |
title_full |
Levee Decisions and Sustainability for the Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta |
title_fullStr |
Levee Decisions and Sustainability for the Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta |
title_full_unstemmed |
Levee Decisions and Sustainability for the Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta |
title_sort |
levee decisions and sustainability for the sacramento-san joaquin delta |
publisher |
eScholarship Publishing, University of California |
publishDate |
2010 |
url |
https://doaj.org/article/7ac4ae67e87c4f3684a2da3804aaaa13 |
long_lat |
ENVELOPE(-108.218,-108.218,56.050,56.050) |
geographic |
Four Islands |
geographic_facet |
Four Islands |
genre |
Delta Island |
genre_facet |
Delta Island |
op_source |
San Francisco Estuary and Watershed Science, Vol 8, Iss 2 (2010) |
op_relation |
1546-2366 https://doaj.org/article/7ac4ae67e87c4f3684a2da3804aaaa13 |
op_rights |
undefined |
_version_ |
1766396503353458688 |