Arctic sea ice simulation in the PlioMIP ensemble
Eight general circulation models have simulated the mid-Pliocene warm period (mid-Pliocene, 3.264 to 3.025 Ma) as part of the Pliocene Modelling Intercomparison Project (PlioMIP). Here, we analyse and compare their simulation of Arctic sea ice for both the pre-industrial period and the mid-Pliocene....
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Language: | English |
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Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-12-749-2016 https://cp.copernicus.org/articles/12/749/2016/ |
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fttriple:oai:gotriple.eu:VOvkjvpq1ClhXz-N3gmfd 2023-05-15T14:47:47+02:00 Arctic sea ice simulation in the PlioMIP ensemble Howell, Fergus W. Haywood, Alan M. Otto-Bliesner, Bette L. Bragg, Fran Chan, Wing-Le Chandler, Mark A. Contoux, Camille Kamae, Youichi Abe-Ouchi, Ayako Rosenbloom, Nan A. Stepanek, Christian Zhang, Zhongshi 2018-09-27 https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-12-749-2016 https://cp.copernicus.org/articles/12/749/2016/ en eng Copernicus Publications doi:10.5194/cp-12-749-2016 10670/1.njcelc 1814-9324 1814-9332 https://cp.copernicus.org/articles/12/749/2016/ undefined Geographica Helvetica - geography eISSN: 1814-9332 geo envir Text https://vocabularies.coar-repositories.org/resource_types/c_18cf/ Journal Article https://vocabularies.coar-repositories.org/resource_types/c_6501/ 2018 fttriple https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-12-749-2016 2023-01-22T17:52:35Z Eight general circulation models have simulated the mid-Pliocene warm period (mid-Pliocene, 3.264 to 3.025 Ma) as part of the Pliocene Modelling Intercomparison Project (PlioMIP). Here, we analyse and compare their simulation of Arctic sea ice for both the pre-industrial period and the mid-Pliocene. Mid-Pliocene sea ice thickness and extent is reduced, and the model spread of extent is more than twice the pre-industrial spread in some summer months. Half of the PlioMIP models simulate ice-free conditions in the mid-Pliocene. This spread amongst the ensemble is in line with the uncertainties amongst proxy reconstructions for mid-Pliocene sea ice extent. Correlations between mid-Pliocene Arctic temperatures and sea ice extents are almost twice as strong as the equivalent correlations for the pre-industrial simulations. The need for more comprehensive sea ice proxy data is highlighted, in order to better compare model performances. Article in Journal/Newspaper Arctic Sea ice Unknown Arctic Climate of the Past 12 3 749 767 |
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language |
English |
topic |
geo envir |
spellingShingle |
geo envir Howell, Fergus W. Haywood, Alan M. Otto-Bliesner, Bette L. Bragg, Fran Chan, Wing-Le Chandler, Mark A. Contoux, Camille Kamae, Youichi Abe-Ouchi, Ayako Rosenbloom, Nan A. Stepanek, Christian Zhang, Zhongshi Arctic sea ice simulation in the PlioMIP ensemble |
topic_facet |
geo envir |
description |
Eight general circulation models have simulated the mid-Pliocene warm period (mid-Pliocene, 3.264 to 3.025 Ma) as part of the Pliocene Modelling Intercomparison Project (PlioMIP). Here, we analyse and compare their simulation of Arctic sea ice for both the pre-industrial period and the mid-Pliocene. Mid-Pliocene sea ice thickness and extent is reduced, and the model spread of extent is more than twice the pre-industrial spread in some summer months. Half of the PlioMIP models simulate ice-free conditions in the mid-Pliocene. This spread amongst the ensemble is in line with the uncertainties amongst proxy reconstructions for mid-Pliocene sea ice extent. Correlations between mid-Pliocene Arctic temperatures and sea ice extents are almost twice as strong as the equivalent correlations for the pre-industrial simulations. The need for more comprehensive sea ice proxy data is highlighted, in order to better compare model performances. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Howell, Fergus W. Haywood, Alan M. Otto-Bliesner, Bette L. Bragg, Fran Chan, Wing-Le Chandler, Mark A. Contoux, Camille Kamae, Youichi Abe-Ouchi, Ayako Rosenbloom, Nan A. Stepanek, Christian Zhang, Zhongshi |
author_facet |
Howell, Fergus W. Haywood, Alan M. Otto-Bliesner, Bette L. Bragg, Fran Chan, Wing-Le Chandler, Mark A. Contoux, Camille Kamae, Youichi Abe-Ouchi, Ayako Rosenbloom, Nan A. Stepanek, Christian Zhang, Zhongshi |
author_sort |
Howell, Fergus W. |
title |
Arctic sea ice simulation in the PlioMIP ensemble |
title_short |
Arctic sea ice simulation in the PlioMIP ensemble |
title_full |
Arctic sea ice simulation in the PlioMIP ensemble |
title_fullStr |
Arctic sea ice simulation in the PlioMIP ensemble |
title_full_unstemmed |
Arctic sea ice simulation in the PlioMIP ensemble |
title_sort |
arctic sea ice simulation in the pliomip ensemble |
publisher |
Copernicus Publications |
publishDate |
2018 |
url |
https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-12-749-2016 https://cp.copernicus.org/articles/12/749/2016/ |
geographic |
Arctic |
geographic_facet |
Arctic |
genre |
Arctic Sea ice |
genre_facet |
Arctic Sea ice |
op_source |
Geographica Helvetica - geography eISSN: 1814-9332 |
op_relation |
doi:10.5194/cp-12-749-2016 10670/1.njcelc 1814-9324 1814-9332 https://cp.copernicus.org/articles/12/749/2016/ |
op_rights |
undefined |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-12-749-2016 |
container_title |
Climate of the Past |
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12 |
container_issue |
3 |
container_start_page |
749 |
op_container_end_page |
767 |
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1766318875210678272 |