Twenty-First Century Wave Climate Projections for Ireland and Surface Winds in the North Atlantic Ocean
Ireland has a highly energetic wave and wind climate, and is therefore uniquely placed in terms of its ocean renewable energy resource. The socio-economic importance of the marine resource to Ireland makes it critical to quantify how the wave and wind climate may change in the future due to global c...
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fttrinitycoll:oai:www.tara.tcd.ie:2262/76220 2024-09-15T18:22:02+00:00 Twenty-First Century Wave Climate Projections for Ireland and Surface Winds in the North Atlantic Ocean Gallagher, Sarah Gleeson, Emily Tiron, Roxana McGrath, Ray Dias, Frédéric 2016 application/pdf http://hdl.handle.net/2262/76220 en eng Copernicus Publications IE 2016 Advances in Science and Research 13 Sarah Gallagher, Emily Gleeson, Roxana Tiron, Ray McGrath, Frédéric Dias, 'Twenty-First Century Wave Climate Projections for Ireland and Surface Winds in the North Atlantic Ocean', Copernicus Publications, 2016, Advances in Science and Research, 13, 2016 http://hdl.handle.net/2262/76220 Y openAccess Surface winds North Atlantic Ocean Climate projections WAVEWATCH III ® wave model Renewable energy journal article edepositireland 2016 fttrinitycoll 2024-08-15T04:52:31Z Ireland has a highly energetic wave and wind climate, and is therefore uniquely placed in terms of its ocean renewable energy resource. The socio-economic importance of the marine resource to Ireland makes it critical to quantify how the wave and wind climate may change in the future due to global climate change. Projected changes in winds, ocean waves and the frequency and severity of extreme weather events should be carefully assessed for long-term marine and coastal planning. We derived an ensemble of future wave climate projections for Ireland using the EC-Earth global climate model and the WAVEWATCH III® wave model, by comparing the future 30-year period 2070–2099 to the period 1980–2009 for the RCP4.5 and the RCP8.5 forcing scenarios. This dataset is currently the highest resolution wave projection dataset available for Ireland. The EC- Earth ensemble predicts decreases in mean (up to 2 % for RCP4.5 and up to 3.5 % for RCP8.5) 10m windspeeds over the North Atlantic Ocean (5–75 degrees N, 0–80 degrees W) by the end of the century, which will consequently affect swell generation for the Irish wave climate. The WAVEWATCH III® model predicts an overall decrease in annual and seasonal mean significant wave heights around Ireland, with the largest decreases in summer (up to 15 %) and winter (up to 10 %) for RCP8.5. Projected decreases in mean significant wave heights for spring and autumn were found to be small for both forcing scenarios (less than 5 %), with no significant decrease found for RCP4.5 off the west coast in those seasons. Article in Journal/Newspaper North Atlantic The University of Dublin, Trinity College: TARA (Trinity's Access to Research Archive) |
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Open Polar |
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The University of Dublin, Trinity College: TARA (Trinity's Access to Research Archive) |
op_collection_id |
fttrinitycoll |
language |
English |
topic |
Surface winds North Atlantic Ocean Climate projections WAVEWATCH III ® wave model Renewable energy |
spellingShingle |
Surface winds North Atlantic Ocean Climate projections WAVEWATCH III ® wave model Renewable energy Gallagher, Sarah Gleeson, Emily Tiron, Roxana McGrath, Ray Dias, Frédéric Twenty-First Century Wave Climate Projections for Ireland and Surface Winds in the North Atlantic Ocean |
topic_facet |
Surface winds North Atlantic Ocean Climate projections WAVEWATCH III ® wave model Renewable energy |
description |
Ireland has a highly energetic wave and wind climate, and is therefore uniquely placed in terms of its ocean renewable energy resource. The socio-economic importance of the marine resource to Ireland makes it critical to quantify how the wave and wind climate may change in the future due to global climate change. Projected changes in winds, ocean waves and the frequency and severity of extreme weather events should be carefully assessed for long-term marine and coastal planning. We derived an ensemble of future wave climate projections for Ireland using the EC-Earth global climate model and the WAVEWATCH III® wave model, by comparing the future 30-year period 2070–2099 to the period 1980–2009 for the RCP4.5 and the RCP8.5 forcing scenarios. This dataset is currently the highest resolution wave projection dataset available for Ireland. The EC- Earth ensemble predicts decreases in mean (up to 2 % for RCP4.5 and up to 3.5 % for RCP8.5) 10m windspeeds over the North Atlantic Ocean (5–75 degrees N, 0–80 degrees W) by the end of the century, which will consequently affect swell generation for the Irish wave climate. The WAVEWATCH III® model predicts an overall decrease in annual and seasonal mean significant wave heights around Ireland, with the largest decreases in summer (up to 15 %) and winter (up to 10 %) for RCP8.5. Projected decreases in mean significant wave heights for spring and autumn were found to be small for both forcing scenarios (less than 5 %), with no significant decrease found for RCP4.5 off the west coast in those seasons. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Gallagher, Sarah Gleeson, Emily Tiron, Roxana McGrath, Ray Dias, Frédéric |
author_facet |
Gallagher, Sarah Gleeson, Emily Tiron, Roxana McGrath, Ray Dias, Frédéric |
author_sort |
Gallagher, Sarah |
title |
Twenty-First Century Wave Climate Projections for Ireland and Surface Winds in the North Atlantic Ocean |
title_short |
Twenty-First Century Wave Climate Projections for Ireland and Surface Winds in the North Atlantic Ocean |
title_full |
Twenty-First Century Wave Climate Projections for Ireland and Surface Winds in the North Atlantic Ocean |
title_fullStr |
Twenty-First Century Wave Climate Projections for Ireland and Surface Winds in the North Atlantic Ocean |
title_full_unstemmed |
Twenty-First Century Wave Climate Projections for Ireland and Surface Winds in the North Atlantic Ocean |
title_sort |
twenty-first century wave climate projections for ireland and surface winds in the north atlantic ocean |
publisher |
Copernicus Publications |
publishDate |
2016 |
url |
http://hdl.handle.net/2262/76220 |
genre |
North Atlantic |
genre_facet |
North Atlantic |
op_relation |
2016 Advances in Science and Research 13 Sarah Gallagher, Emily Gleeson, Roxana Tiron, Ray McGrath, Frédéric Dias, 'Twenty-First Century Wave Climate Projections for Ireland and Surface Winds in the North Atlantic Ocean', Copernicus Publications, 2016, Advances in Science and Research, 13, 2016 http://hdl.handle.net/2262/76220 |
op_rights |
Y openAccess |
_version_ |
1810461328470441984 |