Potential Economic Impact of an Avian Flu Pandemic on Asia
"This brief looks at the possible economic consequences for Asia of a mutation of avian flu leading to human-to-human transmission, using different assumptions about the duration and virulence of the flu pandemic. A flu pandemic would put at risk the health of millions and have serious economic...
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Asian Development Bank
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ftthinkasia:oai:think-asia.org:11540/2165 2023-05-15T15:34:14+02:00 Potential Economic Impact of an Avian Flu Pandemic on Asia ERD Policy Briefs no 42 Erik Bloom Vincent de Wit Mary Jane Carangal-San Jose Asian Development Bank 2005-11-15 http://hdl.handle.net/11540/2165 English eng Asian Development Bank 1655-5260 http://hdl.handle.net/11540/2165 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo CC-BY Health World Health Organization Water Health Risk Health Objectives Health Issues Contaminated Water Groundwater Basins Freshwater Biology Surface Water Water Related Diseases Waterborne Diseases Watershed Management Communities Disease Control Diseases Water Quality River basin development Catchment areas Hydrogeology Community Cost of medical care Illness Fresh water Aquatic biology Freshwater microbiology Freshwater organisms Drinking water protection Integrated water development Rainwater catchment Briefs 2005 ftthinkasia 2022-12-29T11:44:05Z "This brief looks at the possible economic consequences for Asia of a mutation of avian flu leading to human-to-human transmission, using different assumptions about the duration and virulence of the flu pandemic. A flu pandemic would put at risk the health of millions and have serious economic consequences. The recent outbreak of the avian influenza H5N1 (avian flu), which started in late 2003, has raised concerns about a new global pandemic. The outbreak has already severely damaged poultry production in several countries. Coming one year after the outbreak of SARS1 in 2003, the public was quite alert and governments took action to cull and destroy poultry at risk. However, the reappearance of the disease in 2005 shows that this action was not sufficient and there is continued risk of human infection. This brief looks at the possible economic consequences for Asia of a mutation of avian flu leading to human-to-human transmission, using different assumptions about the duration and virulence of the flu pandemic. The analysis looks at a relatively mild outbreak, based on the historical experience of previous flu outbreaks and SARS. It focuses on the short-run impact of a pandemic on aggregate economic activity. A pandemic will likely slow or halt economic growth in Asia and lead to a significant reduction in trade, particularly of services. In the long run, potential economic growth will be lower and poverty will increase." Other/Unknown Material Avian flu Think Asia |
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Open Polar |
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Think Asia |
op_collection_id |
ftthinkasia |
language |
English |
topic |
Health World Health Organization Water Health Risk Health Objectives Health Issues Contaminated Water Groundwater Basins Freshwater Biology Surface Water Water Related Diseases Waterborne Diseases Watershed Management Communities Disease Control Diseases Water Quality River basin development Catchment areas Hydrogeology Community Cost of medical care Illness Fresh water Aquatic biology Freshwater microbiology Freshwater organisms Drinking water protection Integrated water development Rainwater catchment |
spellingShingle |
Health World Health Organization Water Health Risk Health Objectives Health Issues Contaminated Water Groundwater Basins Freshwater Biology Surface Water Water Related Diseases Waterborne Diseases Watershed Management Communities Disease Control Diseases Water Quality River basin development Catchment areas Hydrogeology Community Cost of medical care Illness Fresh water Aquatic biology Freshwater microbiology Freshwater organisms Drinking water protection Integrated water development Rainwater catchment Erik Bloom Vincent de Wit Mary Jane Carangal-San Jose Potential Economic Impact of an Avian Flu Pandemic on Asia |
topic_facet |
Health World Health Organization Water Health Risk Health Objectives Health Issues Contaminated Water Groundwater Basins Freshwater Biology Surface Water Water Related Diseases Waterborne Diseases Watershed Management Communities Disease Control Diseases Water Quality River basin development Catchment areas Hydrogeology Community Cost of medical care Illness Fresh water Aquatic biology Freshwater microbiology Freshwater organisms Drinking water protection Integrated water development Rainwater catchment |
description |
"This brief looks at the possible economic consequences for Asia of a mutation of avian flu leading to human-to-human transmission, using different assumptions about the duration and virulence of the flu pandemic. A flu pandemic would put at risk the health of millions and have serious economic consequences. The recent outbreak of the avian influenza H5N1 (avian flu), which started in late 2003, has raised concerns about a new global pandemic. The outbreak has already severely damaged poultry production in several countries. Coming one year after the outbreak of SARS1 in 2003, the public was quite alert and governments took action to cull and destroy poultry at risk. However, the reappearance of the disease in 2005 shows that this action was not sufficient and there is continued risk of human infection. This brief looks at the possible economic consequences for Asia of a mutation of avian flu leading to human-to-human transmission, using different assumptions about the duration and virulence of the flu pandemic. The analysis looks at a relatively mild outbreak, based on the historical experience of previous flu outbreaks and SARS. It focuses on the short-run impact of a pandemic on aggregate economic activity. A pandemic will likely slow or halt economic growth in Asia and lead to a significant reduction in trade, particularly of services. In the long run, potential economic growth will be lower and poverty will increase." |
author2 |
Asian Development Bank |
format |
Other/Unknown Material |
author |
Erik Bloom Vincent de Wit Mary Jane Carangal-San Jose |
author_facet |
Erik Bloom Vincent de Wit Mary Jane Carangal-San Jose |
author_sort |
Erik Bloom |
title |
Potential Economic Impact of an Avian Flu Pandemic on Asia |
title_short |
Potential Economic Impact of an Avian Flu Pandemic on Asia |
title_full |
Potential Economic Impact of an Avian Flu Pandemic on Asia |
title_fullStr |
Potential Economic Impact of an Avian Flu Pandemic on Asia |
title_full_unstemmed |
Potential Economic Impact of an Avian Flu Pandemic on Asia |
title_sort |
potential economic impact of an avian flu pandemic on asia |
publisher |
Asian Development Bank |
publishDate |
2005 |
url |
http://hdl.handle.net/11540/2165 |
genre |
Avian flu |
genre_facet |
Avian flu |
op_relation |
1655-5260 http://hdl.handle.net/11540/2165 |
op_rights |
CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo |
op_rightsnorm |
CC-BY |
_version_ |
1766364711403651072 |