Predictions of type 2 diabetes and complications in Greenland in 2014
Udgivelsesdato: 2006-Jun OBJECTIVES: The objective of this study was to predict the prevalence of type 2 diabetes and the associated burden to the health care system in Greenland posed by diabetic complications by 2014. The predictions were based on changes in demographic variables and obesity. STUD...
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Online Access: | https://portal.findresearcher.sdu.dk/da/publications/7f2d1240-71f5-11de-9c46-000ea68e967b https://doi.org/10.3402/ijch.v65i3.18106 |
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ftsydanskunivpub:oai:sdu.dk:publications/7f2d1240-71f5-11de-9c46-000ea68e967b 2024-05-19T07:39:01+00:00 Predictions of type 2 diabetes and complications in Greenland in 2014 Martinsen, Nina Jørgensen, Marit E Bjerregaard, Peter Krasnik, Allan Carstensen, Bendix Borch-Johnsen, Knut 2006-06-01 https://portal.findresearcher.sdu.dk/da/publications/7f2d1240-71f5-11de-9c46-000ea68e967b https://doi.org/10.3402/ijch.v65i3.18106 eng eng https://portal.findresearcher.sdu.dk/da/publications/7f2d1240-71f5-11de-9c46-000ea68e967b info:eu-repo/semantics/closedAccess Martinsen , N , Jørgensen , M E , Bjerregaard , P , Krasnik , A , Carstensen , B & Borch-Johnsen , K 2006 , ' Predictions of type 2 diabetes and complications in Greenland in 2014 ' , International Journal of Circumpolar Health , vol. 65 , no. 3 , pp. 243-52 . https://doi.org/10.3402/ijch.v65i3.18106 Adult Aged Body Mass Index Cross-Sectional Studies Diabetes Mellitus Type 2 Female Greenland Humans Inuits Male Middle Aged Prevalence Sex Factors article 2006 ftsydanskunivpub https://doi.org/10.3402/ijch.v65i3.18106 2024-05-01T00:14:11Z Udgivelsesdato: 2006-Jun OBJECTIVES: The objective of this study was to predict the prevalence of type 2 diabetes and the associated burden to the health care system in Greenland posed by diabetic complications by 2014. The predictions were based on changes in demographic variables and obesity. STUDY DESIGN: Projection model based on two cross-sectional population surveys from 1993 and 1999. METHODS: The development in BMI was described and projected to 2014 under two assumptions: 1) distribution of BMI is constant from 1999, and 2) the trend in BMI found in the surveys will continue until 2014. The prevalence of type 2 diabetes was predicted under these assumptions and based on the observed association between BMI and type 2 diabetes. The prevalence of complications was estimated using the 2nd assumption, as was the prevalence of hypertension, dyslipidemia, Ischemic Heart Disease (IHD) and stroke in the non-diabetic population in 2014. RESULTS: The prevalence of type 2 diabetes was not predicted to increase by 2014 under the 1st assumption. It was predicted to increase from 11% to 23% for women, but not for men under the 2nd assumption. Approximately half of the cases of cardiovascular disease and cardiovascular risk factors predicted by 2014 were attributable to diabetes. CONCLUSIONS: The prevalence of type 2 diabetes was predicted to increase in Greenland, and the number of complications was predicted to double from 1999 to 2014. Both prophylactic and treatment initiatives are needed to deal with the extra burden posed by type 2 diabetes to the Greenlandic health care system in 2014. Article in Journal/Newspaper Circumpolar Health Greenland greenlandic International Journal of Circumpolar Health inuits University of Southern Denmark Research Portal International Journal of Circumpolar Health 65 3 243 252 |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
University of Southern Denmark Research Portal |
op_collection_id |
ftsydanskunivpub |
language |
English |
topic |
Adult Aged Body Mass Index Cross-Sectional Studies Diabetes Mellitus Type 2 Female Greenland Humans Inuits Male Middle Aged Prevalence Sex Factors |
spellingShingle |
Adult Aged Body Mass Index Cross-Sectional Studies Diabetes Mellitus Type 2 Female Greenland Humans Inuits Male Middle Aged Prevalence Sex Factors Martinsen, Nina Jørgensen, Marit E Bjerregaard, Peter Krasnik, Allan Carstensen, Bendix Borch-Johnsen, Knut Predictions of type 2 diabetes and complications in Greenland in 2014 |
topic_facet |
Adult Aged Body Mass Index Cross-Sectional Studies Diabetes Mellitus Type 2 Female Greenland Humans Inuits Male Middle Aged Prevalence Sex Factors |
description |
Udgivelsesdato: 2006-Jun OBJECTIVES: The objective of this study was to predict the prevalence of type 2 diabetes and the associated burden to the health care system in Greenland posed by diabetic complications by 2014. The predictions were based on changes in demographic variables and obesity. STUDY DESIGN: Projection model based on two cross-sectional population surveys from 1993 and 1999. METHODS: The development in BMI was described and projected to 2014 under two assumptions: 1) distribution of BMI is constant from 1999, and 2) the trend in BMI found in the surveys will continue until 2014. The prevalence of type 2 diabetes was predicted under these assumptions and based on the observed association between BMI and type 2 diabetes. The prevalence of complications was estimated using the 2nd assumption, as was the prevalence of hypertension, dyslipidemia, Ischemic Heart Disease (IHD) and stroke in the non-diabetic population in 2014. RESULTS: The prevalence of type 2 diabetes was not predicted to increase by 2014 under the 1st assumption. It was predicted to increase from 11% to 23% for women, but not for men under the 2nd assumption. Approximately half of the cases of cardiovascular disease and cardiovascular risk factors predicted by 2014 were attributable to diabetes. CONCLUSIONS: The prevalence of type 2 diabetes was predicted to increase in Greenland, and the number of complications was predicted to double from 1999 to 2014. Both prophylactic and treatment initiatives are needed to deal with the extra burden posed by type 2 diabetes to the Greenlandic health care system in 2014. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Martinsen, Nina Jørgensen, Marit E Bjerregaard, Peter Krasnik, Allan Carstensen, Bendix Borch-Johnsen, Knut |
author_facet |
Martinsen, Nina Jørgensen, Marit E Bjerregaard, Peter Krasnik, Allan Carstensen, Bendix Borch-Johnsen, Knut |
author_sort |
Martinsen, Nina |
title |
Predictions of type 2 diabetes and complications in Greenland in 2014 |
title_short |
Predictions of type 2 diabetes and complications in Greenland in 2014 |
title_full |
Predictions of type 2 diabetes and complications in Greenland in 2014 |
title_fullStr |
Predictions of type 2 diabetes and complications in Greenland in 2014 |
title_full_unstemmed |
Predictions of type 2 diabetes and complications in Greenland in 2014 |
title_sort |
predictions of type 2 diabetes and complications in greenland in 2014 |
publishDate |
2006 |
url |
https://portal.findresearcher.sdu.dk/da/publications/7f2d1240-71f5-11de-9c46-000ea68e967b https://doi.org/10.3402/ijch.v65i3.18106 |
genre |
Circumpolar Health Greenland greenlandic International Journal of Circumpolar Health inuits |
genre_facet |
Circumpolar Health Greenland greenlandic International Journal of Circumpolar Health inuits |
op_source |
Martinsen , N , Jørgensen , M E , Bjerregaard , P , Krasnik , A , Carstensen , B & Borch-Johnsen , K 2006 , ' Predictions of type 2 diabetes and complications in Greenland in 2014 ' , International Journal of Circumpolar Health , vol. 65 , no. 3 , pp. 243-52 . https://doi.org/10.3402/ijch.v65i3.18106 |
op_relation |
https://portal.findresearcher.sdu.dk/da/publications/7f2d1240-71f5-11de-9c46-000ea68e967b |
op_rights |
info:eu-repo/semantics/closedAccess |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.3402/ijch.v65i3.18106 |
container_title |
International Journal of Circumpolar Health |
container_volume |
65 |
container_issue |
3 |
container_start_page |
243 |
op_container_end_page |
252 |
_version_ |
1799478543253504000 |