Wave heights in the 21st century Arctic Ocean simulated with a regional climate model
While wave heights globally have been growing over recent decades, observations of their regional trends vary. Simulations of future wave climate can be achieved by coupling wave and climate models. At present, wave heights and their future trends in the Arctic Ocean remain unknown. We use the third...
Published in: | Geophysical Research Letters |
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Online Access: | http://hdl.handle.net/1959.3/381831 https://doi.org/10.1002/2014GL059847 |
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ftswinburneunicr:oai:researchbank.swinburne.edu.au:3f4e4ccc-bff6-4342-8c15-4892551cc03b/1 2023-05-15T14:37:42+02:00 Wave heights in the 21st century Arctic Ocean simulated with a regional climate model Khon, V. C. Mokhov, I. I. Pogarskiy, F. A. Babanin, A. Dethloff, K. Rinke, A. Matthes, H. Swinburne University of Technology 2014 http://hdl.handle.net/1959.3/381831 https://doi.org/10.1002/2014GL059847 unknown Wiley http://hdl.handle.net/1959.3/381831 https://doi.org/10.1002/2014GL059847 Copyright © 2014 American Geophysical Union. The published version is reproduced in accordance with the copyright policy of the publisher. Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 41, no. 8 (Apr 2014), pp. 2956-2961 Journal article 2014 ftswinburneunicr https://doi.org/10.1002/2014GL059847 2022-09-11T16:48:08Z While wave heights globally have been growing over recent decades, observations of their regional trends vary. Simulations of future wave climate can be achieved by coupling wave and climate models. At present, wave heights and their future trends in the Arctic Ocean remain unknown. We use the third-generation wave forecast model WAVEWATCH-III forced by winds and sea ice concentration produced within the regional model HIRHAM, under the anthropogenic scenario SRES-A1B. We find that significant wave height and its extremes will increase over different inner Arctic areas due to reduction of sea ice cover and regional wind intensification in the 21st century. The opposite tendency, with a slight reduction in wave height appears for the Atlantic sector and the Barents Sea. Our results demonstrate the complex wave response in the Arctic Ocean to a combined effect of wind and sea ice forcings in a climate-change scenario during the 21st century. Key Points Significant wave height will increase over the Arctic Ocean in the 21st century Reduction in wave height is expected for the Atlantic sector and the Barents Sea. Article in Journal/Newspaper Arctic Arctic Ocean Barents Sea Climate change Sea ice Swinburne Research Bank (Swinburne University of Technology) Arctic Arctic Ocean Barents Sea Geophysical Research Letters 41 8 2956 2961 |
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Open Polar |
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Swinburne Research Bank (Swinburne University of Technology) |
op_collection_id |
ftswinburneunicr |
language |
unknown |
description |
While wave heights globally have been growing over recent decades, observations of their regional trends vary. Simulations of future wave climate can be achieved by coupling wave and climate models. At present, wave heights and their future trends in the Arctic Ocean remain unknown. We use the third-generation wave forecast model WAVEWATCH-III forced by winds and sea ice concentration produced within the regional model HIRHAM, under the anthropogenic scenario SRES-A1B. We find that significant wave height and its extremes will increase over different inner Arctic areas due to reduction of sea ice cover and regional wind intensification in the 21st century. The opposite tendency, with a slight reduction in wave height appears for the Atlantic sector and the Barents Sea. Our results demonstrate the complex wave response in the Arctic Ocean to a combined effect of wind and sea ice forcings in a climate-change scenario during the 21st century. Key Points Significant wave height will increase over the Arctic Ocean in the 21st century Reduction in wave height is expected for the Atlantic sector and the Barents Sea. |
author2 |
Swinburne University of Technology |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Khon, V. C. Mokhov, I. I. Pogarskiy, F. A. Babanin, A. Dethloff, K. Rinke, A. Matthes, H. |
spellingShingle |
Khon, V. C. Mokhov, I. I. Pogarskiy, F. A. Babanin, A. Dethloff, K. Rinke, A. Matthes, H. Wave heights in the 21st century Arctic Ocean simulated with a regional climate model |
author_facet |
Khon, V. C. Mokhov, I. I. Pogarskiy, F. A. Babanin, A. Dethloff, K. Rinke, A. Matthes, H. |
author_sort |
Khon, V. C. |
title |
Wave heights in the 21st century Arctic Ocean simulated with a regional climate model |
title_short |
Wave heights in the 21st century Arctic Ocean simulated with a regional climate model |
title_full |
Wave heights in the 21st century Arctic Ocean simulated with a regional climate model |
title_fullStr |
Wave heights in the 21st century Arctic Ocean simulated with a regional climate model |
title_full_unstemmed |
Wave heights in the 21st century Arctic Ocean simulated with a regional climate model |
title_sort |
wave heights in the 21st century arctic ocean simulated with a regional climate model |
publisher |
Wiley |
publishDate |
2014 |
url |
http://hdl.handle.net/1959.3/381831 https://doi.org/10.1002/2014GL059847 |
geographic |
Arctic Arctic Ocean Barents Sea |
geographic_facet |
Arctic Arctic Ocean Barents Sea |
genre |
Arctic Arctic Ocean Barents Sea Climate change Sea ice |
genre_facet |
Arctic Arctic Ocean Barents Sea Climate change Sea ice |
op_source |
Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 41, no. 8 (Apr 2014), pp. 2956-2961 |
op_relation |
http://hdl.handle.net/1959.3/381831 https://doi.org/10.1002/2014GL059847 |
op_rights |
Copyright © 2014 American Geophysical Union. The published version is reproduced in accordance with the copyright policy of the publisher. |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1002/2014GL059847 |
container_title |
Geophysical Research Letters |
container_volume |
41 |
container_issue |
8 |
container_start_page |
2956 |
op_container_end_page |
2961 |
_version_ |
1766309915046969344 |