Lagrangian modeling of Arctic ocean circulation pathways: impact of advection on spread of pollutants
Sea-ice-free summers are projected to become a prominent feature of the Arctic environment in the coming decades. From a shipping perspective, this means larger areas of open water in the summer, thinner and less compact ice all year round, and longer operating seasons. Therefore, the possibility fo...
Published in: | Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans |
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Online Access: | https://eprints.soton.ac.uk/422056/ https://eprints.soton.ac.uk/422056/1/Kelly_et_al_2018_Journal_of_Geophysical_Research_3A_Oceans.pdf |
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ftsouthampton:oai:eprints.soton.ac.uk:422056 2023-07-30T03:59:50+02:00 Lagrangian modeling of Arctic ocean circulation pathways: impact of advection on spread of pollutants Kelly, S. Popova, E. Aksenov, Y. Marsh, R. Yool, A. 2018-04 text https://eprints.soton.ac.uk/422056/ https://eprints.soton.ac.uk/422056/1/Kelly_et_al_2018_Journal_of_Geophysical_Research_3A_Oceans.pdf en English eng https://eprints.soton.ac.uk/422056/1/Kelly_et_al_2018_Journal_of_Geophysical_Research_3A_Oceans.pdf Kelly, S., Popova, E., Aksenov, Y., Marsh, R. and Yool, A. (2018) Lagrangian modeling of Arctic ocean circulation pathways: impact of advection on spread of pollutants. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 123 (4), 2882-2902. (doi:10.1002/2017JC013460 <http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2017JC013460>). cc_by_4 Article PeerReviewed 2018 ftsouthampton https://doi.org/10.1002/2017JC013460 2023-07-09T22:23:34Z Sea-ice-free summers are projected to become a prominent feature of the Arctic environment in the coming decades. From a shipping perspective, this means larger areas of open water in the summer, thinner and less compact ice all year round, and longer operating seasons. Therefore, the possibility for easier navigation along trans-Arctic shipping routes arises. The Northern Sea Route (NSR) is one trans-Arctic route, and it offers a potential 10 day shortcut between Western Europe and the Far East. More ships transiting the NSR means an increased risk of an accident, and associated oil spill, occurring. Previous research suggests that current infrastructure is insufficient for increased shipping. Therefore, should an oil spill occur, the window for a successful clean-up will be short. In the event of a failed recovery, the long-term fate of the unrecovered pollutants must be considered, at least until the next melt season when it could become accessible again. Here we investigate the role of oceanic advection in determining the long-term fate of Arctic pollutants using a high-resolution ocean model along with Lagrangian particle-tracking to simulate the spread of pollutants. The resulting “advective footprints” of pollutants are proposed as an informative metric for analyzing such experiments. We characterize the circulation along different parts of the NSR, defining three main regions in the Eurasian Arctic, and relate the distinctive circulation pathways of each to the long-term fate of spilled oil. We conclude that a detailed understanding of ocean circulation is critical for determining the long-term fate of Arctic pollutants. Article in Journal/Newspaper Arctic Arctic Arctic Ocean Northern Sea Route Sea ice University of Southampton: e-Prints Soton Arctic Arctic Ocean Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans 123 4 2882 2902 |
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Open Polar |
collection |
University of Southampton: e-Prints Soton |
op_collection_id |
ftsouthampton |
language |
English |
description |
Sea-ice-free summers are projected to become a prominent feature of the Arctic environment in the coming decades. From a shipping perspective, this means larger areas of open water in the summer, thinner and less compact ice all year round, and longer operating seasons. Therefore, the possibility for easier navigation along trans-Arctic shipping routes arises. The Northern Sea Route (NSR) is one trans-Arctic route, and it offers a potential 10 day shortcut between Western Europe and the Far East. More ships transiting the NSR means an increased risk of an accident, and associated oil spill, occurring. Previous research suggests that current infrastructure is insufficient for increased shipping. Therefore, should an oil spill occur, the window for a successful clean-up will be short. In the event of a failed recovery, the long-term fate of the unrecovered pollutants must be considered, at least until the next melt season when it could become accessible again. Here we investigate the role of oceanic advection in determining the long-term fate of Arctic pollutants using a high-resolution ocean model along with Lagrangian particle-tracking to simulate the spread of pollutants. The resulting “advective footprints” of pollutants are proposed as an informative metric for analyzing such experiments. We characterize the circulation along different parts of the NSR, defining three main regions in the Eurasian Arctic, and relate the distinctive circulation pathways of each to the long-term fate of spilled oil. We conclude that a detailed understanding of ocean circulation is critical for determining the long-term fate of Arctic pollutants. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Kelly, S. Popova, E. Aksenov, Y. Marsh, R. Yool, A. |
spellingShingle |
Kelly, S. Popova, E. Aksenov, Y. Marsh, R. Yool, A. Lagrangian modeling of Arctic ocean circulation pathways: impact of advection on spread of pollutants |
author_facet |
Kelly, S. Popova, E. Aksenov, Y. Marsh, R. Yool, A. |
author_sort |
Kelly, S. |
title |
Lagrangian modeling of Arctic ocean circulation pathways: impact of advection on spread of pollutants |
title_short |
Lagrangian modeling of Arctic ocean circulation pathways: impact of advection on spread of pollutants |
title_full |
Lagrangian modeling of Arctic ocean circulation pathways: impact of advection on spread of pollutants |
title_fullStr |
Lagrangian modeling of Arctic ocean circulation pathways: impact of advection on spread of pollutants |
title_full_unstemmed |
Lagrangian modeling of Arctic ocean circulation pathways: impact of advection on spread of pollutants |
title_sort |
lagrangian modeling of arctic ocean circulation pathways: impact of advection on spread of pollutants |
publishDate |
2018 |
url |
https://eprints.soton.ac.uk/422056/ https://eprints.soton.ac.uk/422056/1/Kelly_et_al_2018_Journal_of_Geophysical_Research_3A_Oceans.pdf |
geographic |
Arctic Arctic Ocean |
geographic_facet |
Arctic Arctic Ocean |
genre |
Arctic Arctic Arctic Ocean Northern Sea Route Sea ice |
genre_facet |
Arctic Arctic Arctic Ocean Northern Sea Route Sea ice |
op_relation |
https://eprints.soton.ac.uk/422056/1/Kelly_et_al_2018_Journal_of_Geophysical_Research_3A_Oceans.pdf Kelly, S., Popova, E., Aksenov, Y., Marsh, R. and Yool, A. (2018) Lagrangian modeling of Arctic ocean circulation pathways: impact of advection on spread of pollutants. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 123 (4), 2882-2902. (doi:10.1002/2017JC013460 <http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2017JC013460>). |
op_rights |
cc_by_4 |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1002/2017JC013460 |
container_title |
Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans |
container_volume |
123 |
container_issue |
4 |
container_start_page |
2882 |
op_container_end_page |
2902 |
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1772810587545272320 |