Summary: | The six main parameters are subscripted since there is one for every year i each colony has a separate set. The population size had no hyper-parameters, meaning every year’s population was independent, and the two parameters describing tenure had hyper-parameters fixed in advance as narrow priors ( μ d = 31.06, σ d = 0.27, μ v = 0.1212, σ v = 0.0062), a requirement for fitting the model [ 4 ]. The remaining parameters had Gaussian hyper-distributions estimated from the data. In a model covering Y years of censuses, 6 Y + 10 parameters are needed: 6 Y main parameters (6 per year) plus 10 hyper-parameters.
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