Summary: | A) Mean annual arrival date, , and B) date of peak female census, both estimated from the census model. Three curves are from colonies with long time series (ANI: Año Nuevo Island; ANML: Año Nuevo Mainland; PR: Point Reyes); the four green points are individual years from the Channel Islands (CI), and the three gray points from King Range (KR). Dashed vertical lines show 95% credible intervals in each year. At the far right, open circles and solid lines show the hyper-means (long-term means) and credible intervals for each site.
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