Breeding propensity of successfully breeding Manx shearwaters decreased with increasing values of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) during the non-breeding season (from December to March) with a two-year lag.

• Main Authors: Matt J. Wood (7314125), Coline Canonne (11846359), Aurélien Besnard (556790), Shelly Lachish (117228), Stace M. Fairhurst (11846362), Miriam Liedvogel (81003), Dave Boyle (214895), Samantha C. Patrick (8033321), Simon Josey (11846365), Holly Kirk (214900), Ben Dean (214898), Tim Guilford (214890), Robin M. McCleery (11846368), Chris M. Perrins (3194190), Cat Horswill (4436629)
• Format: Still Image
• Language: unknown
• Published: 2021
• Subjects: Neuroscience; Evolutionary Biology; Ecology; Science Policy; Biological Sciences not elsewhere classified; species may respond; seabirds represent one; puffinus puffinus </; oceanic migratory seabird; oceanic migrant seabird; guiding effective conservation; examining population demography; central place constraint; suggests individual spatio; species breeding cycle; different breeding states; understanding interannual demography; severe weather conditions; div >< p; environmental conditions experienced; annual breeding cycle; different demographic profiles; individual breeding state; annual cycle; severe weather; breeding state; demographic profiles; different stages; breeding season; breeding propensity; individual ’; considering individual; state capture; environmental fluctuations; environmental drivers; wind force; variation relate; threatened groups; temporal variation; study highlights; results imply; relationships vary; recapture model; previous year; negative relationship; manx shearwaters; manx shearwater; lived trans; level factors; increasing threat; habitat use; failed breeder; demographic rates; climate change; breeder ); birds experienced; North Atlantic; North Atlantic oscillation
• Online Access: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0260812.g004

Grey shading shows 95% CI.